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Given a set of baseline assumptions, a breakdown frontier is the boundary between the set of assumptions which lead to a specific conclusion and those which do not. In a potential outcomes model with a binary treatment, we consider two…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-05 Matthew A. Masten , Alexandre Poirier

A general upper bound for topological entropy of switched nonlinear systems is constructed, using an asymptotic average of upper limits of the matrix measures of Jacobian matrices of strongly persistent individual modes, weighted by their…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-31 Guosong Yang , Daniel Liberzon , João P. Hespanha

A method of constructing Markov chains on finite state spaces is provided. The chain is specified by three constraints: stationarity, dependence and marginal distributions. The generalized Pythagorean theorem in information geometry plays a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Tomonari Sei

We consider a two-node queue modeled as a two-dimensional random walk. In particular, we consider the case that one or both queues have finite buffers. We develop an approximation scheme based on the Markov reward approach to error bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Yanting Chen , Xinwei Bai , Richard J. Boucherie , Jasper Goseling

It is known that from purely observational data, a causal DAG is identifiable only up to its Markov equivalence class, and for many ground truth DAGs, the direction of a large portion of the edges will be remained unidentified. The golden…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 AmirEmad Ghassami , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

We are interested in the analysis of very large continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with many distinct rates. Such models arise naturally in the context of reliability analysis, e.g., of computer network performability analysis, of power…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-24 Ernst Moritz Hahn , Holger Hermanns , Ralf Wimmer , Bernd Becker

We study the three state toric homogeneous Markov chain model and three special cases of it, namely: (i) when the initial state parameters are constant, (ii) without self-loops, and (iii) when both cases are satisfied at the same time.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-08-04 David Haws , Abraham Martin Del Campo , Ruriko Yoshida

We study the random binary contingency tables with non-uniform margin. More precisely, for parameters $n,\delta,B,C$, we consider $X=(X_{ij})$ with $X_{ij}\in \lbrace 0,1\rbrace$, the random binary contingency tables whose first…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Da Wu

This paper gives new, efficient algorithms for approximate uniform sampling of contingency tables and integer partitions. The algorithms use the Burnside process, a general algorithm for sampling a uniform orbit of a finite group acting on…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-03 Persi Diaconis , Michael Howes

We introduce a new PAC-Bayes oracle bound for unbounded losses that extends Cram\'er-Chernoff bounds to the PAC-Bayesian setting. The proof technique relies on controlling the tails of certain random variables involving the Cram\'er…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Ioar Casado , Luis A. Ortega , Aritz Pérez , Andrés R. Masegosa

This report considers the problem of computing the Cramer-Rao bound for the parameters of a Markov random field. Computation of the exact bound is not feasible for most fields of interest because their likelihoods are intractable and have…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-18 Marcelo Pereyra , Nicolas Dobigeon , Hadj Batatia , Jean-Yves Tourneret

Link et al. (2010) define a general framework for analyzing capture-recapture data with potential misidentifications. In this framework, the observed vector of counts, $y$, is considered as a linear function of a vector of latent counts,…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-04 Matthew R. Schofield , Simon J. Bonner

The universal Gr\"obner basis of an ideal is a Gr\"obner basis with respect to all term orders simultaneously. The aim of this paper is to present an algorithmic approach to compute the universal Gr\"obner basis for the toric ideal…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Yannis C. Stamatiou , Christos Tatakis

The computation of amoebas has been a challenging open problem for the last dozen years. The most natural approach, namely to compute an amoeba via its boundary, has not been practical so far since only a superset of the boundary, the…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Franziska Schroeter , Timo de Wolff

We consider the lattice, $\mathcal{L}$, of all subsets of a multidimensional contingency table and establish the properties of monotonicity and supermodularity for the marginalization function, $n(\cdot)$, on $\mathcal{L}$. We derive from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Caroline Uhler , Donald Richards

The fundamental concepts underlying in Markov networks are the conditional independence and the set of rules called Markov properties that translates conditional independence constraints into graphs. In this article we introduce the concept…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-14 Niharika Gauraha

Recently, Forr\'e (arXiv:2104.11547, 2021) introduced transitional conditional independence, a notion of conditional independence that provides a unified framework for both random and non-stochastic variables. The original paper establishes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Leihao Chen

We provide a general framework for computing upper bounds on mixing times of finite Markov chains when its minimal ideal is left zero. Our analysis is based on combining results by Brown and Diaconis with our previous work on stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-04 John Rhodes , Anne Schilling

In this work, we propose a global model selection criterion to estimate the graph of conditional dependencies of a random vector based on a finite sample. By global criterion, we mean optimizing a function over the entire set of possible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-06 Florencia Leonardi , Magno T. F Severino

We improve certain degree bounds for Grobner bases of polynomial ideals in generic position. We work exclusively in deterministically verifiable and achievable generic positions of a combinatorial nature, namely either strongly stable…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2017-05-09 Amir Hashemi , Werner M. Seiler