Related papers: Large Deviations Application to Billingsley's Exam…
With double-truncated lifespans, we test the hypothesis of a parametric distribution family for the lifespan. The typical finding from demography is an instationary behaviour of the life expectancy, and a copula models the resulting weak…
We consider a system of multiscale stochastic differential equations whose slow component is drivenby a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H greater than 1/2. Under ergodic assumptions ensuring the applicability of the…
We study the statistics of first passage times (FPTs) of trajectory observables in both classical and quantum Markov processes. We consider specifically the FPTs of counting observables, that is, the times to reach a certain threshold of a…
We introduce a strategy to tackle some known obstructions of current approaches to the Fourier uniformity conjecture. Assuming GRH, we then show the conjecture holds for intervals of length at least $(\log X)^{\psi(X)}$, with $\psi(X)…
The results of Koml\'{o}s, Major and Tusn\'{a}dy give optimal Wiener approximation of partial sums of i.i.d. random variables and provide an extremely powerful tool in probability and statistical inference. Recently Wu [Ann. Probab. 35…
We prove non-asymptotic error bounds for particle gradient descent (PGD, Kuntz et al., 2023), a recently introduced algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation of large latent variable models obtained by discretizing a gradient flow of the…
We consider a diffusion process on $\mathbb R^n$ and prove a large deviation principle for the empirical process in the joint limit in which the time window diverges and the noise vanishes. The corresponding rate function is given by the…
We provide the first quantitative estimates for the rate of convergence in the free multiplicative central limit theorem (CLT), in terms of the Kolmogorov and $r$-Wasserstein distances for $r \geq 1$. While the free additive CLT has been…
Let $\phi$ be a smooth function on a compact interval $I$. Let $$\gamma(t)=\left (t,t^2,\cdots,t^{n-1},\phi(t)\right).$$ In this paper, we show that $$\left(\int_I \big|\hat f(\gamma(t))\big|^q \big|\phi^{(n)}(t)\big|^{\frac{2}{n(n+1)}}…
Let $\Delta^o$ be a finite set and, for each probability measure $m$ on $\Delta^o$, let $G(m)$ be a transition probability kernel on $\Delta^o$. Fix $x_0 \in \Delta^o$ and consider the chain $\{X_n, \; n \in \mathbb{N}_0\}$ of…
Localized sufficient conditions for the large deviation principle of the given stochastic differential equations will be presented for stochastic differential equations with non-Lipschitzian and time-inhomogeneous coefficients, which is…
We prove the large deviation principle (LDP) for posterior distributions arising from subfamilies of full exponential families, allowing misspecification of the model. Moreover, motivated by the so-called inverse Sanov Theorem (see e.g.…
Given a sequence of $n$ identically distributed random variables with common distribution $F$, the \emph{fragility distribution of order $m$}, represented by $\FD$, is the limit conditional distribution of the number of exceedances given…
We revisit the following problem, proposed by Kolmogorov: given prescribed marginal distributions $F$ and $G$ for random variables $X,Y$ respectively, characterize the set of compatible distribution functions for the sum $Z=X+Y$. Bounds on…
We study the distribution of partial sums of Rademacher random multiplicative functions $(f(n))_n$ evaluated at polynomial arguments. We show that for a polynomial $P\in \mathbb Z[x]$ that is a product of at least two distinct linear…
We study the asymptotic distribution for the occurrence time of the next large earthquake, by knowing the last large seismic event occurred a long time ago. We prove that, under reasonable conditions, such a distribution is asymptotically…
We formulate large deviations principle (LDP) for diffusion pair $(X^\epsilon,\xi^\epsilon)=(X_t^\epsilon,\xi_t^\epsilon)$, where first component has a small diffusion parameter while the second is ergodic Markovian process with fast time.…
We consider $N$ classical particles interacting via the Coulomb potential in spatial dimension $d$ and in the presence of an external trap, at equilibrium at inverse temperature $\beta$. In the large $N$ limit, the particles are confined…
In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a fully-coupled slow-fast McKean-Vlasov stochastic system. Using the non-linear Poisson equation on Wasserstein space, we first establish the strong convergence in the averaging principle…
We derive a moment formula for generalized fractional polynomial processes, i.e., for polynomial-preserving Markov processes time-changed by an inverse L\'evy-subordinator. If the time change is inverse $\alpha$-stable, the time-derivative…