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Using the tools developed for statistical physics, we simultaneously analyze statistical properties of the Jakarta and Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange indices. In spite of the small number of data used in the analysis, the result shows the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 T. Mart

Some techniques for the study of intermittency by means of wavelet transforms, are presented on an example of synthetic turbulent signal. Several features of the turbulent field, that cannot be probed looking at standard structure function…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Piero Olla , Paolo Paradisi

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

Recently a method which employs computing of fluctuations in a measure of nonlinear similarity based on local recurrence properties in a univariate time series, was introduced to identify distinct dynamical regimes and transitions between…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-06-24 Nishant Malik , Norbert Marwan , Yong Zou , Peter J. Mucha , Jürgen Kurths

We use Daubechies' orthonormal compact wavelets as a variational basis for the $XY$ model in two and three dimensions. Assuming that the fluctuations of the wavelet coefficients are Gaussian and uncorrelated, minimization of the free energy…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-22 C. Best , A. Schaefer

The fluctuations in the elastic light scattering spectra of normal and dysplastic human cervical tissues analyzed through wavelet transform based techniques reveal clear signatures of self-similar behavior in the spectral fluctuations.…

We propose a random walk model of asset returns where the parameters depend on market stress. Stress is measured by, e.g., the value of an implied volatility index. We show that model parameters including standard deviations and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-11 Martin Gremm

In this paper we have analyzed scaling properties of time series of stock market indices (SMIs) of developing economies of Western Balkans, and have compared the results we have obtained with the results from more developed economies. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-14 Darko Sarvan , Djordje Stratimirovic , Suzana Blesic , Vladimir Miljkovic

We analyze whether the prediction of the fractal markets hypothesis about a dominance of specific investment horizons during turbulent times holds. To do so, we utilize the continuous wavelet transform analysis and obtained wavelet power…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-20 Ladislav Kristoufek

Experimentally observed networks of interacting dynamical systems are inferred from recorded multivariate time series by evaluating a statistical measure of dependence, usually the cross-correlation coefficient, or mutual information. These…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-07-03 Milan Palus

This dissertation investigates the ability of the Ising model to replicate statistical characteristics, or stylized facts, commonly observed in financial assets. The study specifically examines in the S&P500 index the following features:…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-29 Bruno Giorgio

In India financial markets have existed for many years. A functionally accented, diverse, efficient and flexible financial system is vital to the national objective of creating a market driven, productive and competitive economy. Today…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-07-09 Arindam Chaudhuri , Kajal De , Dipak Chatterjee

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $ S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0} $ is given by \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jaksa Cvitanic , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

An analysis of the stylized facts in financial time series is carried out. We find that, instead of the heavy tails in asset return distributions, the slow decay behaviour in autocorrelation functions of absolute returns is actually…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Jie-Jun Tseng , Sai-Ping Li

The frequency of occurrence of prime numbers at unit number spacing intervals exhibits selfsimilar fractal fluctuations concomitant with inverse power law form for power spectrum generic to dynamical systems in nature such as fluid flows,…

General Physics · Physics 2008-11-13 A. M. Selvam

The usage of a spot volatility estimate based on a volatility decomposition in a time-changed price-model according to the trading times is investigated. In this model clock-time volatility splits up into the product of tick-time volatility…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Sophon Tunyavetchakit

We study the price dynamics of stocks traded in the NASDAQ market by considering the statistical properties of an ensemble of stocks traded simultaneously. For each trading day of our database, we study the ensemble return distribution by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

Time-varying volatility is an inherent feature of most economic time-series, which causes standard correlation estimators to be inconsistent. The quadrant correlation estimator is consistent but very inefficient. We propose a novel…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-01 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Yiyao Luo

The dynamics of prices in financial markets has been studied intensively both experimentally (data analysis) and theoretically (models). Nevertheless, a complete stochastic characterization of volatility is still lacking. What it is well…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

Financial time series typically exhibit strong fluctuations that cannot be described by a Gaussian distribution. In recent empirical studies of stock market indices it was examined whether the distribution P(r) of returns r(tau) after some…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ofer Biham , Zhi-Feng Huang , Ofer Malcai , Sorin Solomon