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The global financial system is highly complex, with cross-border interconnections and interdependencies. In this highly interconnected environment, local financial shocks and events can be easily amplified and turned into global events.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-22 Matthias Raddant , Dror Y. Kenett

In this article, we investigate whether exchange rate risk is priced. We use a multivariate GARCH-in-Mean specification and test alternative conditional international CAPM versions. Our results support strongly the international…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-26 Mohamed El Hedi Arouri

This paper analyzes the process of long-run co-movements and stock market globalization on the basis of cointegration tests and vector error correction (VEC) models. The cointegration tests used here allow for structural breaks to be…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-01-24 Rui Menezes , Andreia Dioniso

This paper develops the limit theory of the GARCH(1,1) process that moderately deviates from IGARCH process towards both stationary and explosive regimes. The GARCH(1,1) process is defined by equations $u_t = \sigma_t \varepsilon_t$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Yubo Tao

The value of stocks, indices and other assets, are examples of stochastic processes with unpredictable dynamics. In this paper, we discuss asymmetries in short term price movements that can not be associated with a long term positive trend.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Ingve Simonsen , Peter Toke Heden Ahlgren , Mogens H. Jensen , Raul Donangelo , Kim Sneppen

The aim of this paper is to identify the determinants of international stock markets integration. Intuitively we selected a great number of factors linked to financial integration. Then, we developed an international asset-pricing model…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-26 Mohamed El Hedi Arouri

Two markets should be considered isomorphic if they are financially indistinguishable. We define a notion of isomorphism for financial markets in both discrete and continuous time. We then seek to identify the distinct isomorphism classes,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-27 John Armstrong

We pose the estimation and predictability of stock market performance. Three cases are taken: US, Japan, Germany, the monthly index of the value of realized investment in stocks, prices plus the value of dividend payments (OECD data). Once…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-11 Ignacio Escanuela Romana , Clara Escanuela Nieves

We establish the asymptotic behaviour of the sum of squared residuals autocovariances and autocorrelations for the class of multi-variate power transformed asymmetric models. We then derive a portmanteau test. We establish the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-22 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Othman Kadmiri , Bruno Saussereau

Recent studies show that a negative shock in stock prices will generate more volatility than a positive shock of similar magnitude. The aim of this paper is to appraise the hypothesis under which the conditional mean and the conditional…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Nuno B. Ferreira , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

Financial data are as a rule asymmetric, although most econometric models are symmetric. This applies also to continuous-time models for high-frequency and irregularly spaced data. We discuss some asymmetric versions of the continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Anita Behme , Claudia Klüppelberg , Kathrin Mayr

This article investigates the evolution of the Mexican stock market integration into the world market. First, we estimate the time-varying Mexican degree of market integration using an international conditional version of the CAPM with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-26 Mohamed El Hedi Arouri , Jamel Jouini

By incorporating market impact and asymmetric sensitivity into the evolutionary minority game, we study the coevolutionary dynamics of stock prices and investment strategies in financial markets. Both the stock price movement and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Fei Ren , Yong-Dong Shi

Financial markets are highly correlated systems that reveal both the inter-market dependencies and the correlations among their different components. Standard analyzing techniques include correlation coefficients for pairs of signals and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 J. Kwapien , S. Drozdz , A. Z. Gorski , P. Oswiecimka

Although the CML (Capital Market Line), the Intertemporal-CAPM, the CAPM/SML (Security Market Line) and the Intertemporal Arbitrage Pricing Theory (IAPT) are widely used in portfolio management, valuation and capital markets financing;…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-05 Michael Nwogugu

This article studies the financial integration between the six main Latin American markets and the US market in a nonlinear framework. Using the threshold cointegration techniques of Hansen and Seo (2002), we show significant threshold…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-02 Fredj Jawadi , Nicolas Million , Mohamed El Hedi Arouri

Stock market comovements are examined using cointegration, Granger causality tests and nonlinear approaches in context of mutual information and correlations. Underlying data sets are affected by non-stationarities and trends, we also apply…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-07 Paulo Ferreira , Andreia Dionísio , S. M. S. Movahed

Asymmetric causality tests are increasingly gaining popularity in different scientific fields. This approach corresponds better to reality since logical reasons behind asymmetric behavior exist and need to be considered in empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-10 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

In this paper, we derive some asymptotic theory for the extremogram and cross-extremogram of a bivariate GARCH(1,1) process. We show that the tails of the components of a bivariate GARCH(1,1) process may exhibit power law behavior but,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Muneya Matsui , Thomas Mikosch

Providing a measure of market risk is an important issue for investors and financial institutions. However, the existing models for this purpose are per definition symmetric. The current paper introduces an asymmetric capital asset pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J
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