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We formulate a causal extension to the recently introduced paradigm of instance-wise feature selection to explain black-box visual classifiers. Our method selects a subset of input features that has the greatest causal effect on the models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Pranoy Panda , Sai Srinivas Kancheti , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

A probabilistic framework to study the dependence structure induced by deterministic discrete-time state-space systems between input and output processes is introduced. General sufficient conditions are formulated under which output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Juan-Pablo Ortega , Florian Rossmannek

The logic of Dependence and Independence Bunched Implications (DIBI) is a logic to reason about conditional independence (CI); for instance, DIBI formulas can characterise CI in probability distributions and relational databases, using the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Tao Gu , Jialu Bao , Justin Hsu , Alexandra Silva , Fabio Zanasi

Conditional independence testing (CIT) is a common task in machine learning, e.g., for variable selection, and a main component of constraint-based causal discovery. While most current CIT approaches assume that all variables are numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Oana-Iuliana Popescu , Andreas Gerhardus , Jakob Runge

The validity OF a causal model can be tested ONLY IF the model imposes constraints ON the probability distribution that governs the generated data. IN the presence OF unmeasured variables, causal models may impose two types OF constraints :…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Jin Tian , Judea Pearl

Dependence is undoubtedly a central concept in statistics. Though, it proves difficult to locate in the literature a formal definition which goes beyond the self-evident 'dependence = non-independence'. This absence has allowed the term…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Gery Geenens

The estimation of causal effects using quasiexperiments often relies on the use of unusual or serendipitous sources of exogenous variation. When the goal is estimating the same causal effects across many different settings, the same unusual…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-26 Nick Huntington-Klein

Conditional independence (CI) tests underlie many approaches to model testing and structure learning in causal inference. Most existing CI tests for categorical and ordinal data stratify the sample by the conditioning variables, perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Ankur Ankan , Johannes Textor

Reliability sensitivity analysis is concerned with measuring the influence of a system's uncertain input parameters on its probability of failure. Statistically dependent inputs present a challenge in both computing and interpreting these…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-21 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Many relations of scientific interest are nonlinear, and even in linear systems distributions are often non-Gaussian, for example in fMRI BOLD data. A class of search procedures for causal relations in high dimensional data relies on sample…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-30 Joseph D. Ramsey

It is well known that the dependence structure for jointly Gaussian variables can be fully captured using correlations, and that the conditional dependence structure in the same way can be described using partial correlations. The partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Håkon Otneim , Dag Tjøstheim

At the heart of causal structure learning from observational data lies a deceivingly simple question: given two statistically dependent random variables, which one has a causal effect on the other? This is impossible to answer using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Nikolaos Nikolaou , Konstantinos Sechidis

We present a general class of spatio-temporal stochastic processes describing the causal evolution of a positive-valued field in space and time. The field construction is based on independently scattered random measures of Levy type whose…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. Schmiegel , O. E. Barndorff-Nielsen , H. C. Eggers

Causal graphs may inform covariate adjustment for estimating causal effects and improve estimation efficiency by exploiting the graphical structure. In many applications, however, the target causal parameter may not be point-identified due…

We investigate causal inference in the asymptotic regime as the number of variables approaches infinity using an information-theoretic framework. We define structural entropy of a causal model in terms of its description complexity measured…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Sridhar Mahadevan

The aim of this article is to refine a weak invariance principle for stationary sequences given by Doukhan & Louhichi (1999). Since our conditions are not causal our assumptions need to be stronger than the mixing and causal $\theta$-weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-19 Paul Doukhan , Olivier Wintenberger

We give conditions under which a scalar random variable T can be coupled to a random scaling factor $\xi$ such that T and $\xi$T are rendered stochastically independent. A similar result is obtained for random measures. One consequence is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Lancelot F. James , Peter Orbanz

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

Causal analyses of longitudinal data generally assume that the qualitative causal structure relating variables remains invariant over time. In structured systems that transition between qualitatively different states in discrete time steps,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Ranjani Srinivasan , Jaron Lee , Rohit Bhattacharya , Narges Ahmidi , Ilya Shpitser

Marginal structural models were introduced in order to provide estimates of causal effects from interventions based on observational studies in epidemiological research. The key point is that this can be understood in terms of Girsanov's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Kjetil Røysland