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Consider a realization of a Poisson process in R^2 with intensity 1 and take a maximal up/right path from the origin to (N,N) consisting of line segments between the points, where maximal means that it contains as many points as possible.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Kurt Johansson

This paper first strictly proved that the growth of the second moment of a large class of Gaussian processes is not greater than power function and the covariance matrix is strictly positive definite. Under these two conditions, the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Shifei Luo

We study the short-time asymptotical behavior of stochastic flows on \mathbb{R} in the \sup-norm. The results are stated in terms of a Gaussian process associated with the covariation of the flow. In case the Gaussian process has a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-27 Alexander Shamov

We study the empirical measure associated to a sample of size $n$ and modified by $N$ iterations of the raking-ratio method. This empirical measure is adjusted to match the true probability of sets in a finite partition which changes each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-10 Mickael Albertus , Philippe Berthet

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated, in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Fabien Brosset , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

We consider a stationary queueing process $Q_X$ fed by a centered Gaussian process $X$ with stationary increments and variance function satisfying classical regularity conditions. A criterion when, for a given function $f$, $\mathbb P…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Kamil Marcin Kosiński , Peng Liu

We study the asymptotic behavior of small deviation probabilities for the critical Galton-Watson processes with infinite variance of the offspring sizes of particles and apply the obtained result to investigate the structure of a reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova , Yakubdjan Khusanbaev

We consider the winding number of planar stationary Gaussian processes defined on the line. Under mild conditions, we obtain the asymptotic variance and the Central Limit Theorem for the winding number as the time horizon tends to infinity.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Federico Dalmao , José R. León

We present the first treatment of the arc length of the Gaussian Process (GP) with more than a single output dimension. GPs are commonly used for tasks such as trajectory modelling, where path length is a crucial quantity of interest.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-24 Justin D. Bewsher , Alessandra Tosi , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

We study random typical minimal factorizations of the $n$-cycle, which are factorizations of $(1, \ldots,n)$ as a product of $n-1$ transpositions, chosen uniformly at random. Our main result is, roughly speaking, a local convergence theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-06 Valentin Féray , Igor Kortchemski

In this paper, the uniformly asymptotic normality for sample quantiles of associated random variables is investigated under some conditions on the decay of the covariances. We obtain the rate of normal approximation of order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-18 L. Douge

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

The persistence of a stochastic variable is the probability that it does not cross a given level during a fixed time interval. Although persistence is a simple concept to understand, it is in general hard to calculate. Here we consider zero…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Markus Nyberg , Ludvig Lizana

We calculate analytically the probability of large deviations from its mean of the largest (smallest) eigenvalue of random matrices belonging to the Gaussian orthogonal, unitary and symplectic ensembles. In particular, we show that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 David S. Dean , Satya N. Majumdar

Suppose the auto-correlations of real-valued, centered Gaussian process $Z(\cdot)$ are non-negative and decay as $\rho(|s-t|)$ for some $\rho(\cdot)$ regularly varying at infinity of order $-\alpha \in [-1,0)$. With $I_\rho(t)=\int_0^t…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-12 Amir Dembo , Sumit Mukherjee

We study the largest gaps between successive zeros of a smooth stationary Gaussian process. Our main result is that, if correlations decay at least polynomially, then after suitable rescaling of the locations and sizes of the largest gaps…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Renjie Feng , Stephen Muirhead

We obtain several extensions of Talagrand's lower bound for the small deviation probability using metric entropy. For Gaussian processes, our investigations are focused on processes with sub-polynomial and, respectively, exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-14 Frank Aurzada , Mikhail Lifshits

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg

This study in centered on models accounting for stochastic deformations of sample paths of random walks, embedded either in $\mathbb{Z}^2$ or in $\mathbb{Z}^3$. These models are immersed in multi-type particle systems with exclusion.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

As Gaussian processes are used to answer increasingly complex questions, analytic solutions become scarcer and scarcer. Monte Carlo methods act as a convenient bridge for connecting intractable mathematical expressions with actionable…