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Although the growth of share-based payments with performance conditions (hereafter, SPPC) is prominent today, the theoretical price of SPPC has not been sufficiently studied. Reflecting such a situation, the current accounting standards for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-15 Masahiro Fujimoto

Periodic operation often emerges as the economically optimal mode in industrial processes, particularly under varying economic or environmental conditions. This paper proposes a robust model predictive control (MPC) framework for uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-23 Filippo Badalamenti , Jose A. Borja-Conde , Sampath Kumar Mulagaleti , Boris Houska , Alberto Bemporad , Mario Eduardo Villanueva

This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a market where the drift is driven by an unobserved Markov chain. Information on the state of this chain is obtained from stock prices and expert opinions in the form of signals at…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-03 Rüdiger Frey , Abdelali Gabih , Ralf Wunderlich

In this paper, we analyse piecewise deterministic Markov processes, as introduced in Davis (1984). Many models in insurance mathematics can be formulated in terms of the general concept of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Peter Kritzer , Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Stefan Thonhauser

Conformal prediction is a popular technique for constructing prediction intervals with distribution-free coverage guarantees. The coverage is marginal, meaning it only holds on average over the entire population but not necessarily for any…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Yao Zhang , Emmanuel J. Candès

Statistical estimation often involves tradeoffs between expensive, high-quality measurements and a variety of lower-quality proxies. We introduce Multiple-Prediction-Powered Inference (MultiPPI): a general framework for constructing…

We consider a multi-stock continuous time incomplete market model with random coefficients. We study the investment problem in the class of strategies which do not use direct observations of the appreciation rates of the stocks, but rather…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-10 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We consider the numerical approximation of the quantile hedging price in a non-linear market. In a Markovian framework, we propose a numerical method based on a Piecewise Constant Policy Timestepping (PCPT) scheme coupled with a monotone…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-17 Cyril Bénézet , Jean-François Chassagneux , Christoph Reisinger

This paper investigates market-consistent valuation of insurance liabilities in the context of, for instance, Solvency II and to some extent IFRS 4. We propose an explicit and consistent framework for the valuation of insurance liabilities…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-01-04 Christoph Moehr

Assuming frictionless trading, classical stochastic portfolio theory (SPT) provides relative arbitrage strategies. However, the costs associated with real-world execution are state-dependent, volatile, and under increasing stress during…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Nader Karimi , Erfan Salavati

We propose a model for an insurance loss index and the claims process of a single insurance company holding a fraction of the total number of contracts that captures both ordinary losses and losses due to catastrophes. In this model we…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-17 Andreas Eichler , Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi

This paper presents a novel approach to pricing American options using piecewise diffusion Markov processes (PDifMPs), a type of generalised stochastic hybrid system that integrates continuous dynamics with discrete jump processes. Standard…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-13 Evelyn Buckwar , Sascha Desmettre , Agnes Mallinger , Amira Meddah

Equivalent characterizations of multiportfolio time consistency are deduced for closed convex and coherent set-valued risk measures on $L^p(\Omega,\mathcal F, P; R^d)$ with image space in the power set of $L^p(\Omega,\mathcal F_t,P;R^d)$.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-27 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff

This paper gives yet another definition of game-theoretic probability in the context of continuous-time idealized financial markets. Without making any probabilistic assumptions (but assuming positive and continuous price paths), we obtain…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-05 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer

The discrete-time multifactor Vasi\v{c}ek model is a tractable Gaussian spot rate model. Typically, two- or three-factor versions allow one to capture the dependence structure between yields with different times to maturity in an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-05 Philipp Harms , David Stefanovits , Josef Teichmann , Mario V. Wüthrich

Quantitative markets are characterized by swift dynamics and abundant uncertainties, making the pursuit of profit-driven stock trading actions inherently challenging. Within this context, reinforcement learning (RL), which operates on a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-25 Hengxi Zhang , Zhendong Shi , Yuanquan Hu , Wenbo Ding , Ercan E. Kuruoglu , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Automated matching engines execute millions of orders per session, yet systematic asymmetries in latency, order size, and market access compound into persistent execution disparities that erode participant trust. We formulate provably fair…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Zehua Cheng , Zhipeng Wang , Wei Dai , Wenhu Zhang , Vadzim Mahilny , David Shi , Elena Jia , Jiahao Sun

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang

Constant product markets with concentrated liquidity (CL) are the most popular type of automated market makers. In this paper, we characterise the continuous-time wealth dynamics of strategic LPs who dynamically adjust their range of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-14 Álvaro Cartea , Fayçal Drissi , Marcello Monga

This paper investigates the investment behaviour of a large unregulated financial institution (FI) with CARA risk preferences. It shows how the FI optimizes its trading to account for market illiquidity using an extension of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 T. R. Hurd , Quentin H. Shao , Tuan Tran