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This study examines portfolio selection using predictive models for portfolio returns. Portfolio selection is a fundamental task in finance, and a variety of methods have been developed to achieve this goal. For instance, the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Masahiro Kato

This paper presents numerical algorithm and results for pricing a capital protection option offered by many asset managers for investment portfolios to take advantage of market growth and protect savings. Under optimal withdrawal…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-09 Xiaolin Luo , Pavel V. Shevchenko

This paper studies a portfolio optimization problem in a discrete-time Markovian model of a financial market, in which asset price dynamics depend on an external process of economic factors. There are transaction costs with a structure that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Jan Palczewski , Lukasz Stettner

We study portfolio selection in a complete continuous-time market where the preference is dictated by the rank-dependent utility. As such a model is inherently time inconsistent due to the underlying probability weighting, we study the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-04 Ying Hu , Hanqing Jin , Xun Yu Zhou

Model predictive path integral (MPPI) is a sampling-based method for solving complex model predictive control (MPC) problems, but its real-time implementation faces two key challenges: the computational cost and sample requirements grow…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 Viet-Anh Le , Renukanandan Tumu , Rahul Mangharam

Portfolio's optimal drivers for diversification are common causes of the constituents' correlations. A closed-form formula for the conditional probability of the portfolio given its optimal common drivers is presented, with each pair…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-19 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

We present a new guaranteed-safe model predictive path integral (GS-MPPI) control algorithm that enhances sample efficiency in nonlinear systems with multiple safety constraints. The approach use a composite control barrier function (CBF)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-04 Pedram Rabiee , Jesse B. Hoagg

Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) control has proven to be a powerful tool for the control of uncertain systems (such as systems subject to disturbances and systems with unmodeled dynamics). One important limitation of the baseline MPPI…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-28 Steven Patrick , Efstathios Bakolas

Safe Policy Improvement (SPI) aims at provable guarantees that a learned policy is at least approximately as good as a given baseline policy. Building on SPI with Soft Baseline Bootstrapping (Soft-SPIBB) by Nadjahi et al., we identify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Philipp Scholl , Felix Dietrich , Clemens Otte , Steffen Udluft

The paper studies problem of continuous time optimal portfolio selection for a incom- plete market diffusion model. It is shown that, under some mild conditions, near optimal strategies for investors with different performance criteria can…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-15 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Given a discounted cost, we study deterministic discrete-time systems whose inputs are generated by policy iteration (PI). We provide novel near-optimality and stability properties, while allowing for non stabilizing initial policies. That…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-29 Jonathan de Brusse , Mathieu Granzotto , Romain Postoyan , Dragan Nešić

Multi-period portfolio optimization is important for real portfolio management, as it accounts for transaction costs, path-dependent risks, and the intertemporal structure of trading decisions that single-period models cannot capture.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yuxuan Linghu , Zhiyuan Liu , Qi Deng

We propose a unified approach to several problems in Stochastic Portfolio Theory (SPT), which is a framework for equity markets with a large number $d$ of stocks. Our approach combines open markets, where trading is confined to the top $N$…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-08 David Itkin , Martin Larsson

In this paper we present an algorithm for pricing barrier options in one-dimensional Markov models. The approach rests on the construction of an approximating continuous-time Markov chain that closely follows the dynamics of the given…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius

We consider approximate dynamic programming for the infinite-horizon stationary $\gamma$-discounted optimal control problem formalized by Markov Decision Processes. While in the exact case it is known that there always exists an optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-23 Boris Lesner , Bruno Scherrer

This paper studies a variable proportion portfolio insurance (VPPI) strategy. The objective is to determine the risk multiplier by maximizing the extended Omega ratio of the investor's cushion, using a binary stochastic benchmark. When the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-03-21 Guohui Guan , Lin He , Zongxia Liang , Litian Zhang

Market conditions change continuously. However, in portfolio's investment strategies, it is hard to account for this intrinsic non-stationarity. In this paper, we propose to address this issue by using the Inverse Covariance Clustering…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Yuanrong Wang , Tomaso Aste

We consider an investor, whose portfolio consists of a single risky asset and a risk free asset, who wants to maximize his expected utility of the portfolio subject to the Value at Risk assuming a heavy tail distribution of the stock prices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-02 Subhojit Biswas , Diganta Mukherjee

Risk diversification is one of the dominant concerns for portfolio managers. Various portfolio constructions have been proposed to minimize the risk of the portfolio under some constrains including expected returns. We propose a portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-20 Yusuke Uchiyama , Takanori Kadoya , Kei Nakagawa

Decision-making problems in uncertain or stochastic domains are often formulated as Markov decision processes (MDPs). Policy iteration (PI) is a popular algorithm for searching over policy-space, the size of which is exponential in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Yishay Mansour , Satinder Singh