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Much of economic theory is built on observations of aggregate, rather than individual, behavior. Here, we present novel findings on human shopping patterns at the resolution of a single purchase. Our results suggest that much of our…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-04-23 Coco Krumme , Manuel Cebrian , Alex Pentland

Two powerful and complementary experimental approaches are commonly used to study the cell cycle and cell biology: One class of experiments characterizes the statistics (or demographics) of an unsynchronized exponentially-growing…

Biological Physics · Physics 2022-02-02 Dean Huang , Teresa Lo , Houra Merrikh , Paul A. Wiggins

We introduce a simple model of population dynamics which considers birth and death rates for every individual that depend on the number of particles in its neighborhood. The model shows an inhomogeneous quasistationary pattern with many…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 Emilio Hernandez-Garcia , Cristobal Lopez

The mean residual life function is a key functional for a survival distribution. It has a practically useful interpretation as the expected remaining lifetime given survival up to a particular time point, and it also characterizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-11 Valerie Poynor , Athanasios Kottas

Product Bundling and offering products to customers is of critical importance in retail marketing. In general, product bundling and offering products to customers involves two main issues, namely identification of product taste according to…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2009-12-22 D. Bhanu , S. Pavai Madeshwari

Stochastic kinetic models are often used to describe complex biological processes. Typically these models are analytically intractable and have unknown parameters which need to be estimated from observed data. Ideally we would have…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-13 Richard J. Boys , Holly F. Ainsworth , Colin S. Gillespie

International trade fluxes evolve as countries revise their portfolios of trade products towards economic development. Accordingly products' shares in international trade vary with time, reflecting the transfer of capital between distinct…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-16 Matthieu Barbier , D. -S. Lee

Personalization in marketing aims at improving the shopping experience of customers by tailoring services to individuals. In order to achieve this, businesses must be able to make personalized predictions regarding the next purchase. That…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Mathias Kraus , Stefan Feuerriegel

We consider a preferential growth model where particles are added one by one to the system consisting of clusters of particles. A new particle can either form a new cluster (with probability q) or join an already existing cluster with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. Kullmann , J. Kertesz

When individuals interact in groups, the evolution of cooperation is traditionally modeled using the framework of public goods games. These models often assume that the return of the public good depends linearly on the fraction of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-03 Christoph Hauert , Alex McAvoy

We revisit the classic Cournot model and extend it to a two-echelon supply chain with an upstream supplier who operates under demand uncertainty and multiple downstream retailers who compete over quantity. The supplier's belief about retail…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Constandina Koki , Stefanos Leonardos , Costis Melolidakis

The Weibull distribution is a very applicable model for the lifetime data. In this paper, we have investigated inference on the parameters of Weibull distribution based on record values. We first propose a simple and exact test and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-12 Ali Akbar Jafari , Hojatollah Zakerzadeh

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the price…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-14 Damir Filipović , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

We study analytically and numerically a model metabolic cycle composed of an arbitrary number of species of catalytically active particles. Each species converts a substrate into a product, the latter being used as the substrate by the next…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-09-29 Vincent Ouazan-Reboul , Jaime Agudo-Canalejo , Ramin Golestanian

We develop a theoretical trading conditioning model subject to price volatility and return information in terms of market psychological behavior, based on analytical transaction volume-price probability wave distributions in which we use…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-09 Leilei Shi , Yiwen Wang , Ding Chen , Liyan Han , Yan Piao , Chengling Gou

The interaction of an open system $\s$ with a pre- and post-selected environment is studied. In general, under such circumstances $\s$ can not be described in terms of a density matrix, {\it even when $\s$ in not post-selected}. However, a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-09-08 B. Reznik

The key idea of this model is that firms are the result of an evolutionary process. Based on demand and supply considerations the evolutionary model presented here derives explicitly Gibrat's law of proportionate effects as the result of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Joachim Kaldasch

Understanding customer lifetime value is key to nurturing long-term customer relationships, however, estimating it is far from straightforward. In the retail banking industry, commonly used approaches rely on simple heuristics and do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Greig Cowan , Salvatore Mercuri , Raad Khraishi

We analyze a coupled anonymized dataset collecting the mobile phone communication and bank transactions history of a large number of individuals. After mapping the social structure and introducing indicators of socioeconomic status,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Yannick Leo , Márton Karsai , Carlos Sarraute , Eric Fleury

Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr