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Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart

We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

We present a new method to sample conditioned trajectories of a system evolving under Langevin dynamics, based on Brownian bridges. The trajectories are conditioned to end at a certain point (or in a certain region) in space. The bridge…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-08-17 Patrice Koehl , Henri Orland

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We define the concept of an "open" Markov process, or more precisely, continuous-time Markov chain, which is one where probability can flow in or out of certain states called "inputs" and "outputs". One can build up a Markov process from…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-08-22 John C. Baez , Brendan Fong , Blake S. Pollard

In this paper, we study a class of quasi-invariant measures on paths generated by discrete dynamical systems. Our main result characterizes the subfamily of these measures which admit a certain desintegration. This is a desintegration with…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-10-25 Dorin Ervin Dutkay , Palle E. T. Jorgensen

Let $(Z_n)_{n\geqslant 0}$ be a branching process in a random environment defined by a Markov chain $(X_n)_{n\geqslant 0}$ with values in a finite state space $\mathbb X$ starting at $X_0=i \in\mathbb X$. We extend from the i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Ion Grama , Ronan Lauvergnat , Emile Le Page

In this note, we present few examples of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes and their long time behavior. They share two important features: they are related to concrete models (in biology, networks, chemistry,. . .) and they are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Florent Malrieu

When the initial and transition probabilities of a finite Markov chain in discrete time are not well known, we should perform a sensitivity analysis. This is done by considering as basic uncertainty models the so-called credal sets that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Erik Quaeghebeur

Rate processes are simple and analytically tractable models for many dynamical systems which switch stochastically between a discrete set of quasi stationary states but they may also approximate continuous processes by coarse grained,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-11 R. Toenjes , H. Kori

Recently, several powerful tools for the reconstruction of stochastic differential equations from measured data sets have been proposed [e.g. Siegert et al., Physics Letters A 243, 275 (1998); Hurn et al., Journal of Time Series Analysis…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 David Kleinhans , Rudolf Friedrich , Matthias Waechter , Joachim Peinke

For a continuous function $f \in \mathcal{C}([0,1])$, define the Vervaat transform $V(f)(t):=f(\tau(f)+t \mod1)+f(1)1_{\{t+\tau(f) \geq 1\}}-f(\tau(f))$, where $\tau(f)$ corresponds to the first time at which the minimum of $f$ is attained.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-16 Jim Pitman , Wenpin Tang

Time change is one of the most basic and very useful transformations for Markov processes. The time changed process can also be regarded as the trace of the original process on the support of the Revuz measure used in the time change. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zhen-Qing Chen , Masatoshi Fukushima , Jiangang Ying

Localized perturbations in a real-world network have the potential to trigger cascade failures at the whole system level, hindering its operations and functions. Standard approaches analytically tackling this problem are mostly based either…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-19 Angelo Valente , Manlio De Domenico , Oriol Artime

Aldous and Pitman (1994) studied asymptotic distributions, as n tends to infinity, of various functionals of a uniform random mapping of a set of n elements, by constructing a mapping-walk and showing these mapping-walks converge weakly to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Aldous , Jim Pitman

We examine a completely positive and trace preserving evolution of finite dimensional open quantum system, coupled to large environment via periodically modulated interaction Hamiltonian. We derive a corresponding Markovian Master Equation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-01-12 Krzysztof Szczygielski

We consider a Schr\"odinger bridge problem where the Markov process is subject to parameter perturbations, forming an ensemble of systems. Our objective is to steer this ensemble from the initial distribution to the final distribution using…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Daniel Owusu Adu , Yongxin Chen

An extension of the conditional expectations (those under a given subalgebra of events and not the simple ones under a single event) from the classical to the quantum case is presented. In the classical case, the conditional expectations…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-01-22 Gerd Niestegge

Asymptotic properties of Markov Processes, such as steady state probabilities or hazard rate for absorbing states can be efficiently calculated by means of linear algebra even for large-scale problems. This paper discusses the methods for…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-05-17 Vitali Volovoi

The $\alpha$-Brownian bridge, or scaled Brownian bridge, is a generalization of the Brownian bridge with a scaling parameter that determines how strong the force that pulls the process back to 0 is. The bias of the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-11 Maik Görgens , Måns Thulin