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We explore the concept of a consistent exchangeable survival process - a joint distribution of survival times in which the risk set evolves as a continuous-time Markov process with homogeneous transition rates. We show a correspondence with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Walter Dempsey , Peter McCullagh

In a recent article, Krapivsky and Redner (J. Stat. Mech. 093208 (2018)) established that the distribution of the first hitting times for a diffusing particle subject to hitting an absorber is independent of the direction of the external…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Coline Larmier , Alain Mazzolo , Andrea Zoia

Predictive constructions are a powerful way of characterizing the probability law of stochastic processes with certain forms of invariance, such as exchangeability or Markov exchangeability. When de Finetti-like representation theorems are…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-16 Sandra Fortini , Sonia Petrone

Based on a weak convergence argument, we provide a necessary and sufficient condition that guarantees that a nonnegative local martingale is indeed a martingale. Typically, conditions of this sort are expressed in terms of integrability…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Jose Blanchet , Johannes Ruf

First we give a construction of bridges derived from a general Markov process using only its transition densities. We give sufficient conditions for their existence and uniqueness (in law). Then we prove that the law of the radial part of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Matyas Barczy , Gyula Pap

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

We construct and study branching Markov processes on the space of finite configurations of the state space of a given standard process, controlled by a branching kernel and a killing one. In particular, we may start with a superprocess,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-03 Lucian Beznea , Oana Lupascu

We give a probabilistic characterization of the set of measures that can be represented by the matrix product ansatz. By suitably enlarging the state space, we show that a probability measure can be described in terms of non negative…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-15 Davide Gabrielli , Federica Iacovissi

We show that the Markov semigroups generated by a large class of singular stochastic PDEs satisfy the strong Feller property. These include for example the KPZ equation and the dynamical $\Phi^4_3$ model. As a corollary, we prove that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-26 Martin Hairer , Jonathan Mattingly

Motivated by a biased diffusion of molecular motors with the bias dependent on the state of the substrate, we investigate a random walk on a one-dimensional lattice that contains weak links (called "bridges'') which are affected by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 T. Antal , P. L. Krapivsky

The classical Schrodinger bridge seeks the most likely probability law for a diffusion process, in path space, that matches marginals at two end points in time; the likelihood is quantified by the relative entropy between the sought law and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-19 Tryphon T. Georgiou , Michele Pavon

We propose a path transformation which applied to a cyclically exchangeable increment process conditions its minimum to belong to a given interval. This path transformation is then applied to processes with start and end at zero. It is seen…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-04 Loïc Chaumont , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

We introduce a statistical mechanics formalism for the study of constrained graph evolution as a Markovian stochastic process, in analogy with that available for spin systems, deriving its basic properties and highlighting the role of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-13 A. C. C. Coolen , A. De Martino , A. Annibale

In the paper we consider some piecewise deterministic Markov process whose continuous component evolves according to semiflows, which are switched at the jump times of a Poisson process. The associated Markov chain describes the states of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

Recently Belopolskaya and Suhov studied Markov process's in a random environment, where the environment changes in likeness to a Markov process. Constructions were made to allow the process to "interact with the environment", this was done…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Anirban Das

This article analyzes and compares two general techniques of rare event simulation for generating paths of Markov processes over fixed time horizons: exponential tilting and stochastic bridge. These two methods allow to accurately compute…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-08-27 Javier Aguilar , Riccardo Gatto

This paper provides convergence analysis for the approximation of a class of path-dependent functionals underlying a continuous stochastic process. In the first part, given a sequence of weak convergent processes, we provide a sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-22 Qingshuo Song , George Yin , Qing Zhang

We propose a new definition of metastability of Markov processes on countable state spaces. We obtain sufficient conditions for a sequence of processes to be metastable. In the reversible case these conditions are expressed in terms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Johel Beltrán , Claudio Landim

Classical linear regression is considered for a case when regression parameters depend on the external random environment. The last is described as a continuous time Markov chain with finite state space. Here the expected sojourn times in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Alexander M. Andronov , Nadezda Spiridovska