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We study the long-term behavior of weighted multi-type branching processes, focusing on extending classical laws of large numbers and martingale convergence to settings with infinitely many weighted particles, arbitrary type spaces and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Denis Villemonais , Nicolas Zalduendo

Dynamic regression trees are an attractive option for automatic regression and classification with complicated response surfaces in on-line application settings. We create a sequential tree model whose state changes in time with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-23 Matthew A. Taddy , Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

Empirical data on real complex systems are becoming increasingly available. Parallel to this is the need for new methods of reconstructing (inferring) the topology of networks from time-resolved observations of their node-dynamics. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Marc G. Leguia , Zoran Levnajic , Ljupco Todorovski , Bernard Zenko

Dual-tree algorithms are a widely used class of branch-and-bound algorithms. Unfortunately, developing dual-tree algorithms for use with different trees and problems is often complex and burdensome. We introduce a four-part logical split:…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-04-17 Ryan R. Curtin , William B. March , Parikshit Ram , David V. Anderson , Alexander G. Gray , Charles L. Isbell

A random forest prediction can be computed by the scalar product of the labels of the training examples and a set of weights that are determined by the leafs of the forest into which the test object falls; each prediction can hence be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Henrik Boström

We study tails of the supremum of a perturbed random walk under regime which was not yet considered in the literature. Our approach is based on a new renewal theorem, which is of independent interest. We obtain first and second order…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Ewa Damek , Bartosz Kołodziejek

Consider a tree network T, where each edge acts as an independent copy of a given channel M, and information is propagated from the root. For which T and M does the configuration obtained at level n of T typically contain significant…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Elchanan Mossel

We design a recursive measure of voting power based on partial as well as full voting efficacy. Classical measures, by contrast, incorporate solely full efficacy. We motivate our design by representing voting games using a division lattice…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-25 Arash Abizadeh , Adrian Vetta

Tree-based methods are powerful nonparametric techniques in statistics and machine learning. However, their effectiveness, particularly in finite-sample settings, is not fully understood. Recent applications have revealed their surprising…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Hengrui Luo , Meng Li

Even if path planning can be solved using standard techniques from dynamic programming and control, the problem can also be approached using probabilistic inference. The algorithms that emerge using the latter framework bear some appealing…

We consider moderately trimmed sums of non-negative i.i.d. random variables. We show that for every distribution function there exists a proper moderate trimming such that for the trimmed sum a non-trivial strong law of large numbers holds.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Marc Kesseböhmer , Tanja Schindler

Power law or generalized polynomial regressions with unknown real-valued exponents and coefficients, and weakly dependent errors, are considered for observations over time, space or space--time. Consistency and asymptotic normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Peter M. Robinson

We propose a new mechanism for generating power laws. Starting from a random walk, we first outline a simple derivation of the Fokker-Planck equation. By analogy, starting from a certain Markov chain, we derive a master equation for power…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-09 Sabin Roman , Francesco Bertolotti

Some data analysis problems require the computation of (regularised) inverse traces, i.e. quantities of the form $\Tr (q \bI + \bL)^{-1}$. For large matrices, direct methods are unfeasible and one must resort to approximations, for example…

We study the rank distribution, the cumulative probability, and the probability density of returns of stock prices of listed firms traded in four stock markets. We find that the rank distribution and the cumulative probability of stock…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , S. -M. Yoon , K. H. Chang

We consider growing random recursive trees in random environment, in which at each step a new vertex is attached (by an edge of a random length) to an existing tree vertex according to a probability distribution that assigns the tree…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Konstantin Borovkov , Vladimir Vatutin

The weighted shifts are long known and important class of operators. One of known generalisation of this class are weighted shifts on directed trees, where we replace the linear order of coordinates in $\ell^2$ with a possibly more…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-21 Piotr Pikul

We analyse the statistical properties of genealogical trees in a neutral model of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. By reconstructing the genealogy of an individual from the population evolution,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Bernard Derrida , Susanna C. Manrubia , Damian H. Zanette

Leaves, i.e., vertices of degree one, can play a significant role in graph structure, especially in sparsely connected settings in which leaves often constitute the largest fraction of vertices. We consider a leaf-based counterpart of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-07 Harrison Hartle , P. L. Krapivsky

Weighted recursive trees are built by adding successively vertices with predetermined weights to a tree: each new vertex is attached to a parent chosen at random with probability proportional to its weight. In the case where the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Michel Pain , Delphin Sénizergues