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Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC) is a popular evaluation metric for binary classifiers. In this paper, we discuss techniques to segment the AUC-ROC along human-interpretable dimensions. AUC-ROC is not an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Arya Tafvizi , Besim Avci , Mukund Sundararajan

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are plots of true positive rate versus false positive rate which are useful for evaluating binary classification models, but difficult to use for learning since the Area Under the Curve (AUC)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-06 Jonathan Hillman , Toby Dylan Hocking

Discrimination measures such as the concordance index and the cumulative-dynamic time-dependent area under the ROC-curve (AUC) are widely used in the medical literature for evaluating the predictive accuracy of a scoring rule which relates…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Marie Skov Breum , Torben Martinussen

Diagnostic tests are of critical importance in health care and medical research. Motivated by the impact that atypical and outlying test outcomes might have on the assessment of the discriminatory ability of a diagnostic test, we develop a…

Optimal performance is critical for decision-making tasks from medicine to autonomous driving, however common performance measures may be too general or too specific. For binary classifiers, diagnostic tests or prognosis at a timepoint,…

Continuous biomarkers are common for disease screening and diagnosis. To reach a dichotomous clinical decision, a threshold would be imposed to distinguish subjects with disease from non-diseased individuals. Among various performance…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-21 Ziyi Li , Yijuan Huang , Dattatraya Patil , Martin G. Sanda

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis is one of the most popular approaches for evaluating and comparing the accuracy of medical diagnostic tests. Although various methodologies have been developed for estimating ROC curves and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Ainesh Sewak , Torsten Hothorn

Assessment of risk prediction models has primarily utilized measures of discrimination, the ROC curve AUC and C-statistic. These derive from the risk distributions of patients and nonpatients, which in turn are derived from a population…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-12-05 Ralph H. Stern

Estimating average human performance has been performed inconsistently in research in diagnostic medicine. This has been particularly apparent in the field of medical artificial intelligence, where humans are often compared against AI…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-28 Luke Oakden-Rayner , Lyle Palmer

In this paper, we propose a mean score equation-based approach to estimate the the volume under the receiving operating characteristic (ROC) surface (VUS) of a diagnostic test, under nonignorable (NI) verification bias. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-21 Duc-Khanh To , Gianfranco Adimari , Monica Chiogna

We propose efficient nonparametric statistics to compare medical imaging modalities in multi-reader multi-test data and to compare markers in longitudinal ROC data. The proposed methods are based on the weighted area under the ROC curve…

Applications · Statistics 2012-06-11 Liansheng Larry Tang , Aiyi Liu , Zhen Chen , Enrique F. Schisterman , Bo Zhang , Zhuang Miao

The Area Under the the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) Curve, referred to as AUC, is a well-known performance measure in the supervised learning domain. Due to its compelling features, it has been employed in a number of studies to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Pablo Andretta Jaskowiak , Ivan Gesteira Costa , Ricardo José Gabrielli Barreto Campello

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are widely used as a measure of accuracy of diagnostic tests and can be summarized using the area under the ROC curve (AUC). Often, it is useful to construct a confidence intervals for the AUC,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-18 Hunyong Cho , Gregory J. Matthews , Ofer Harel

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are used ubiquitously to evaluate covariates, markers, or features as potential predictors in binary problems. We distinguish raw ROC diagnostics and ROC curves, elucidate the special role of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-14 Tilmann Gneiting , Peter Vogel

Many problems that appear in biomedical decision making, such as diagnosing disease and predicting response to treatment, can be expressed as binary classification problems. The costs of false positives and false negatives vary across…

The area under receiver operating characteristics (AUC) is the standard measure for comparison of anomaly detectors. Its advantage is in providing a scalar number that allows a natural ordering and is independent on a threshold, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Vít Škvára , Tomáš Pevný , Václav Šmídl

Flexible estimation of the mean outcome under a treatment regimen (i.e., value function) is the key step toward personalized medicine. We define our target parameter as a conditional value function given a set of baseline covariates which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Ashkan Ertefaie , Luke Duttweiler , Brent A. Johnson , Mark J. van der Laan

The Partial Area Under the ROC Curve (PAUC), typically including One-way Partial AUC (OPAUC) and Two-way Partial AUC (TPAUC), measures the average performance of a binary classifier within a specific false positive rate and/or true positive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Huiyang Shao , Qianqian Xu , Zhiyong Yang , Shilong Bao , Qingming Huang

The area under the ROC curve (AUC) is a widely used performance measure in machine learning. Increasingly, however, in several applications, ranging from ranking to biometric screening to medicine, performance is measured not in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-29 Harikrishna Narasimhan , Shivani Agarwal

In high-stakes risk prediction, quantifying uncertainty through interval-valued predictions is essential for reliable decision-making. However, standard evaluation tools like the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Yuqi Li , Matthew M. Engelhard