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We study a general setting of neutral evolution in which the population is of finite, constant size and can have spatial structure. Mutation leads to different genetic types ("traits"), which can be discrete or continuous. Under minimal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-02 Alex McAvoy , Ben Adlam , Benjamin Allen , Martin A. Nowak

We are interested in the long-time behavior of a diploid population with sexual reproduction, characterized by its genotype composition at one bi-allelic locus. The population is modeled by a 3-dimensional birth-and-death process with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Camille Coron

A branching random walk in presence of an absorbing wall moving at a constant velocity $v$ undergoes a phase transition as the velocity $v$ of the wall varies. Below the critical velocity $v_c$, the population has a non-zero survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-02-12 Damien Simon , Bernard Derrida

We consider a continuous time Markov process on $\mathbb{N}_0$ which can be interpreted as generalized alternating birth-death process in a non-autonomous random environment. Depending on the status of the environment the process either…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Hans Daduna

We present an individual-based model of phenotypic trait evolution in two-sex populations, which includes semi-random mating of individuals of the opposite sex, natural death and intra-specific competition. By passing the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-24 Paweł Zwoleński

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

For general, almost surely absorbed Markov processes, we obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-25 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

The environment in which a population evolves can have a crucial impact on selection. We study evolutionary dynamics in finite populations of fixed size in a changing environment. The population dynamics are driven by birth and death…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-01 Peter Ashcroft , Philipp M Altrock , Tobias Galla

We are interested in modelling Darwinian evolution, resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. Our models are rooted in the microscopic, stochastic description of a population…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Nicolas Champagnat , Régis Ferrière , Sylvie Méléard

In the setting of stochastic dynamical systems that eventually go extinct, the quasi-stationary distributions are useful to understand the long-term behavior of a system before evanescence. For a broad class of applicable continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Mads Christian Hansen , Carsten Wiuf

In this paper, we review recent results of ours concerning branching processes with general lifetimes and neutral mutations, under the infinitely many alleles model, where mutations can occur either at birth of individuals or at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert , Mathieu Richard

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

For a time-changed symmetric $\alpha$-stable process killed upon hitting zero, under the condition of entrance from infinity, we prove the existence and uniqueness of quasi-stationary distribution (QSD). The exponential convergence to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-14 Zhe-Kang Fang , Yong-Hua Mao , Tao Wang

We introduce two stochastic chemostat models consisting in a coupled population-nutrient process reflecting the interaction between the nutrient and the bacterias in the chemostat with finite volume. The nutrient concentration evolves…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Meleard , Jaime San Martin

Extinction of a long-lived isolated stochastic population can be described as an exponentially slow decay of quasi-stationary probability distribution of the population size. We address extinction of a population in a two-population system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

We are interested in modeling Darwinian evolution resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. The population is modeled as a stochastic point process whose generator captures…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-01 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

We extend some results on the convergence of one-dimensional diffusions killed at the boundary, conditioned on extended survival, to the case of general killing on the interior. We show, under fairly general conditions, that a diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Steinsaltz , Steven N. Evans

Horizontal gene transfer consists in exchanging genetic materials between microorganisms during their lives. This is a major mechanism of bacterial evolution and is believed to be of main importance in antibiotics resistance. We consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran

We introduce a class of branching processes in which the reproduction or lifetime distribution at a given time depends on the total cumulative number of individuals who have been born in the population until that time. We focus on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Sophie Hautphenne , Minyuan Li

Motivated by the wide range of known self-replicating systems, some far from genetics, we study a system composed by individuals having an internal dynamics with many possible states that are partially stable, with varying mutation rates.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-10-07 Tommaso Brotto , Guy Bunin , Jorge Kurchan