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In a discrete-time financial market, a generalized duality is established for model-free superhedging, given marginal distributions of the underlying asset. Contrary to prior studies, we do not require contingent claims to be upper…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-17 Arash Fahim , Yu-Jui Huang , Saeed Khalili

We present results on simulations of a stock market with heterogeneous, cumulative information setup. We find a non-monotonic behaviour of traders' returns as a function of their information level. Particularly, the average informed agents…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas

This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior of a variety of functionals of increments of continuous semimartingales. Sampling times are assumed to follow a rather general discretization scheme. If an underlying semimartingale is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Michael Levine , Xiaoguang Wang , Jian Frank Zou

"Fundamental theorem of asset pricing" roughly states that absence of arbitrage opportunity in a market is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral probability. We give a simple counterexample to this oversimplified statement. Prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-07 Louis Paulot

We consider an agent who has access to a financial market, including derivative contracts, who looks to maximise her utility. Whilst the agent looks to maximise utility over one probability measure, or class of probability measures, she…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-01 Alexander M. G. Cox , Daniel Hernandez-Hernandez

In an incomplete model, where under an appropriate num\'eraire, the stock price process is driven by a sigma-bounded semimartingale, we investigate the behavior of the expected utility maximization problem under small perturbations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Oleksii Mostovyi

We study the analyticity of the value function in optimal investment with expected utility from terminal wealth and the relation to stochastically dominant financial models. We identify both a class of utilities and a class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Oleskii Mostovyi , Mihai Sîrbu , Thaleia Zariphopoulou

In this paper, we introduce a numeraire-free and original probability based framework for financial markets. We reformulate or characterize fair markets, the optional decomposition theorem, superhedging, attainable claims and complete…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jia-An Yan

We investigate how asymmetric information affects equilibrium price formation in an economy with many interacting agents. Motivated by a finite-player model with two populations of asymmetrically informed agents, we study its mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Alekos Cecchin , Markus Fischer , Claudio Fontana , Giacomo Lanaro

Within a general semimartingale framework, we study the relationship between collective market efficiency and individual rationality. We derive a necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of (possibly zero-sum) exchanges among…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-06 Alessandro Doldi , Marco Frittelli , Marco Maggis

We explore a decomposition in which returns on a large class of portfolios relative to the market depend on a smooth non-negative drift and changes in the asset price distribution. This decomposition is obtained using general continuous…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-31 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Caleb Stroup

In a general semimartingale financial model, we study the stability of the No Arbitrage of the First Kind (NA1) (or, equivalently, No Unbounded Profit with Bounded Risk) condition under initial and under progressive filtration enlargements.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-20 Beatrice Acciaio , Claudio Fontana , Constantinos Kardaras

We consider the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) and hedging prices of options under non-dominated model uncertainty and portfolio constrains in discrete time. We first show that no arbitrage holds if and only if there exists…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-30 Erhan Bayraktar , Zhou Zhou

We consider a class of generalized capital asset pricing models in continuous time with a finite number of agents and tradable securities. The securities may not be sufficient to span all sources of uncertainty. If the agents have…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-23 Ulrich Horst , Michael Kupper , Andrea Macrina , Christoph Mainberger

It has been assumed that arbitrage profits are not possible in efficient markets, because future prices are not predictable. Here we show that predictability alone is not a sufficient measure of market efficiency. We instead propose to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Rothenstein , K. Pawelzik

We study the sensitivity of the expected utility maximization problem in a continuous semi-martingale market with respect to small changes in the market price of risk. Assuming that the preferences of a rational economic agent are modeled…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 Oleksii Mostovyi , Mihai Sîrbu

I study the limit of a large random economy, where a set of consumers invests in financial instruments engineered by banks, in order to optimize their future consumption. This exercise shows that, even in the ideal case of perfect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-09 Matteo Marsili

Given a stock price process, we analyse the potential of arbitrage by insiders in a context of short-selling prohibitions. We introduce the notion of minimal supermartingale measure, and we analyse its properties in connection to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-13 Delia Coculescu , Aditi Dandapani

In Chakraborti's yard-sale model of an economy, identical agents engage in trades that result in wealth exchanges, but conserve the combined wealth of all agents and each agent's expected wealth. In this model, wealth condensation, that is,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-04 Christoph Börgers , Claude Greengard

In this short paper we define the wealth process in a spin model for market microstructure, for individual agents and in aggregate. The agents in our model try to balance their desire to belong to the local majority (herding behavior),…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Ted Theodosopoulos , Ming Yuen