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We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

The growing attention on cryptocurrencies has led to increasing research on digital stock markets. Approaches and tools usually applied to characterize standard stocks have been applied to the digital ones. Among these tools is the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-16 Tanya Araújo , Paulo Barbosa

This work concerns estimation of linear autoregressive models with Markov-switching using expectation maximisation (E.M.) algorithm. Our method generalise the method introduced by Elliot for general hidden Markov models and avoid to use…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-22 Joseph Rynkiewicz

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

This work develops a powerful and versatile framework for determining acceptance ratios in Metropolis-Hastings type Markov kernels widely used in statistical sampling problems. Our approach allows us to derive new classes of kernels which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Justin A. Krometis , Cecilia F. Mondaini

This paper considers a Markov-modulated duplication-deletion random graph where at each time instant, one node can either join or leave the network; the probabilities of joining or leaving evolve according to the realization of a finite…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-03-04 Maziyar Hamdi , Vikram Krishnamurthy , George Yin

In this paper, we study a Markov chain-based stochastic gradient algorithm in general Hilbert spaces, aiming at approximating the optimal solution of a quadratic loss function. We establish probabilistic upper bounds on its convergence. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Priyanka Roy , Susanne Saminger-Platz

We present a novel method for computing reachability probabilities of parametric discrete-time Markov chains whose transition probabilities are fractions of polynomials over a set of parameters. Our algorithm is based on two key…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Nils Jansen , Florian Corzilius , Matthias Volk , Ralf Wimmer , Erika Ábrahám , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Bernd Becker

Sampling from complicated probability distributions is a hard computational problem arising in many fields, including statistical physics, optimization, and machine learning. Quantum computers have recently been used to sample from…

Detecting broken time-reversibility at micro- and nanoscale is often difficult when experiments offer limited state resolution. We introduce a lumping method that builds an effective semi-Markov model able to reproduce exactly the full…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-16 Gianluca Teza , Attilio L. Stella , Trevor GrandPre

The paper proposes a new aggregation method, based on the Arnoldi iteration, for computing approximate transient distributions of Markov chains. This aggregation is not partition-based, which means that an aggregate state may represent any…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Patrick Sonnentag , Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

A common tool in the practice of Markov Chain Monte Carlo is to use approximating transition kernels to speed up computation when the desired kernel is slow to evaluate or intractable. A limited set of quantitative tools exist to assess the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Jeffrey Negrea , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

In this paper, a simple transient Markov process with an absorbing point is used to investigate the qualitative behavior of a large scale storage network of non reliable file servers where files can be duplicated. When the size of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-02 Mathieu Feuillet , Philippe Robert

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

The problem of sampling from the stationary distribution of a Markov chain finds widespread applications in a variety of fields. The time required for a Markov chain to converge to its stationary distribution is known as the classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-09-14 Shantanav Chakraborty , Kyle Luh , Jérémie Roland

A stochastic incremental subgradient algorithm for the minimization of a sum of convex functions is introduced. The method sequentially uses partial subgradient information and the sequence of partial subgradients is determined by a general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Rafael Massambone , Eduardo F. Costa , Elias S. Helou

The problem of estimating an unknown discrete distribution from its samples is a fundamental tenet of statistical learning. Over the past decade, it attracted significant research effort and has been solved for a variety of divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Yi Hao , Alon Orlitsky , Venkatadheeraj Pichapati

We identify the measurable absorbing obstruction to uniqueness of invariant probability measures for a Markov kernel. Ordinary absorbing decompositions obstruct global irreducibility and recurrence, but not necessarily uniqueness: an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Jean-Gabriel Attali

We solve the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation and study the exact splitting probabilities of the general stochastic process which describes polymer translocation through membrane pores within the broad class of Markov chains. Transition…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Felipe Mondaini , L. Moriconi

An algorithm for identifying rings in Ring Imaging Cherenkov (RICH) detectors is described. The algorithm is necessarily Bayesian and makes use of a Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler to locate the rings. In particular,…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2007-05-23 Christopher Gorham Lester