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This paper presents a continuous-time optimal control framework for the generation of reference trajectories in driving scenarios with uncertainty. A previous work presented a discrete-time stochastic generator for autonomous vehicles;…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Ange Valli , Shangyuan Zhang , Abdel Lisser

The scenario-based optimization approach (`scenario approach') provides an intuitive way of approximating the solution to chance-constrained optimization programs, based on finding the optimal solution under a finite number of sampled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Georg Schildbach , Lorenzo Fagiano , Manfred Morari

In stochastic optimisation, the large number of scenarios required to faithfully represent the underlying uncertainty is often a barrier to finding efficient numerical solutions. This motivates the scenario reduction problem: by find a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Julien Keutchayan , Janosch Ortmann , Walter Rei

When optimizing problems with uncertain parameter values in a linear objective, decision-focused learning enables end-to-end learning of these values. We are interested in a stochastic scheduling problem, in which processing times are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Kim van den Houten , David M. J. Tax , Esteban Freydell , Mathijs de Weerdt

Generating high quality texts with high diversity is important for many NLG applications, but current methods mostly focus on building deterministic models to generate higher quality texts and do not provide many options for promoting…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Wanyu Du , Jianqiao Zhao , Liwei Wang , Yangfeng Ji

Stochastic kinetic models describe systems across biology, chemistry, and physics where discrete events and small populations render deterministic approximations inadequate. Parameter inference and inverse design in these systems require…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-06 Francesco Mottes , Qian-Ze Zhu , Michael P. Brenner

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we extend the stochastic constraint programming framework proposed in [Walsh, 2002] along a number of important dimensions (e.g. to multiple chance constraints…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-05-26 Suresh Manandhar , Armagan Tarim , Toby Walsh

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

These lecture notes introduce the statistical analysis of continuous-time generative models built from Markov dynamics. We begin with the stochastic-calculus foundations of score-based diffusion models, including time reversal, score…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Eddie Aamari , Arthur Stéphanovitch

We present an optimization-based method to plan the motion of an autonomous robot under the uncertainties associated with dynamic obstacles, such as humans. Our method bounds the marginal risk of collisions at each point in time by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-24 O. de Groot , B. Brito , L. Ferranti , D. Gavrila , J. Alonso-Mora

Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) has been a promising solution to complex control problems under uncertain disturbances. However, traditional SMPC approaches either require exact knowledge of probabilistic distributions, or rely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Chao Shang , Fengqi You

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik , Merve Bodur

This paper presents a distributed stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach for large-scale linear systems with private and common uncertainties in a plug-and-play framework. Using the so-called scenario approach, the centralized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-09 V. Rostampour , T. Keviczky

Model predictive control is an advanced control approach for multivariable systems with constraints, which is reliant on an accurate dynamic model. Most real dynamic models are however affected by uncertainties, which can lead to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-10 E. Bradford , L. Imsland

The multidimensional Uncertain Volatility Model leads to robust option pricing problems under joint volatility and correlation uncertainty. Their numerical resolution quickly becomes challenging because the associated stochastic control…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Lokman A Abbas-Turki , Jean-François Chassagneux , Jean-Philippe Lemor , Grégoire Loeper , Simon Sananes

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

Various and ubiquitous information systems are being used in monitoring, exchanging, and collecting information. These systems are generating massive amount of event sequence logs that may help us understand underlying phenomenon. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-13 Yihuang Kang , Vladimir Zadorozhny

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Mixture models are a fundamental tool in applied statistics and machine learning for treating data taken from multiple subpopulations. The current practice for estimating the parameters of such models relies on local search heuristics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-07 Animashree Anandkumar , Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade