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Related papers: GARCH options via local risk minimization

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Sparsity-constrained optimization has wide applicability in machine learning, statistics, and signal processing problems such as feature selection and compressive Sensing. A vast body of work has studied the sparsity-constrained…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-17 Sohail Bahmani , Bhiksha Raj , Petros Boufounos

This paper applies an AR(1)-GARCH (1, 1) process to detail the conditional distributions of the return distributions for the S&P500, FT100, DAX, Hang Seng, and Nikkei225 futures contracts. It then uses the conditional distribution for these…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-29 John Cotter , Kevin Dowd

A spin model is used for simulations of financial markets. To determine return volatility in the spin financial market we use the GARCH model often used for volatility estimation in empirical finance. We apply the Bayesian inference…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-28 Tetsuya Takaishi

This paper offers a new approach for estimating and forecasting the volatility of financial time series. No assumption is made about the parametric form of the processes. On the contrary, we only suppose that the volatility can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Danilo Mercurio , Vladimir Spokoiny

This paper presents a new approach for the optimization of GARCH parameters estimation. Firstly, we propose a method for the localization of the maximum. Thereafter, using the methods of least squares, we make a local approximation for the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Yakoub Boularouk , Nasr-eddine Hamri

The AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and its generalized version (GARCH) family of models have grown to encompass a wide range of specifications, each of them is designed to enhance the ability of the model to capture…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. R. Jafari , A. Bahraminasab , P. Norouzzadeh

We present a numerical method for the frequent pricing of financial derivatives that depends on a large number of variables. The method is based on the construction of a polynomial basis to interpolate the value function of the problem by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-27 Javier de Frutos , Victor Gaton

In this paper we propose an efficient variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains relying on a novel discrete time martingale representation. Our approach is fully non-asymptotic and does not require the knowledge…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-22 D. Belomestny , E. Moulines , S. Samsonov

Proof that under simple assumptions, such as constraints of Put-Call Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the mean derived from the forward price which can, but does not have to be the risk-neutral one,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-05 Nassim N. Taleb

This work considers a stochastic model in which the uncertainty is driven by a multidimensional Brownian motion. The market price of risk process makes the transition between real world probability measure and risk neutral probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-04 Traian A. Pirvu , Ulrich G. Haussmann

We study the finite horizon Merton portfolio optimization problem in a general local-stochastic volatility setting. Using model coefficient expansion techniques, we derive approximations for the both the value function and the optimal…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Matthew Lorig , Ronnie Sircar

This work considers the computation of risk measures for quantities of interest governed by PDEs with Gaussian random field parameters using Taylor approximations. While efficient, Taylor approximations are local to the point of expansion,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Dingcheng Luo , Joshua Chen , Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

We develop algorithms for the numerical computation of the quadratic hedging strategy in incomplete markets modeled by pure jump Markov process. Using the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman approach, the value function of the quadratic hedging problem…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-12 Carmine De Franco , Peter Tankov , Xavier Warin

This paper introduces a spatiotemporal exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (spatiotemporal E-GARCH) model, extending traditional spatiotemporal GARCH models by incorporating asymmetric volatility…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-10 Ariane Nidelle Meli Chrisko , Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid

We propose an abstract discontinuous Galerkin neural network (DGNN) framework for analyzing the convergence of least-squares methods based on the residual minimization when feasible solutions are neural networks. Within this framework, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Long Yuan , Hongxing Rui

We consider plain vanilla European options written on an underlying asset that follows a continuous time semi-Markov multiplicative process. We derive a formula and a renewal type equation for the martingale option price. In the case in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Enrico Scalas , Bruno Toaldo

We develop sampling methods, which consist of Gaussian invariant versions of random walk Metropolis (RWM), Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA) and second order Hessian or Manifold MALA. Unlike standard RWM and MALA we show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-27 Michalis K. Titsias , Angelos Alexopoulos , Siran Liu , Petros Dellaportas

Monte Carlo Approaches for calculating Value-at-Risk (VaR) are powerful tools widely used by financial risk managers across the globe. However, they are time consuming and sometimes inaccurate. In this paper, a fast and accurate Monte Carlo…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-17 Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi , Hamidreza Arian

This work elaborates on the TRust-region-ish (TRish) algorithm, a stochastic optimization method for finite-sum minimization problems proposed by Curtis et al. in [Curtis2019, Curtis2022]. A theoretical analysis that complements the results…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Stefania Bellavia , Benedetta Morini , Simone Rebegoldi

The log-Gaussian Cox process is a flexible and popular class of point pattern models for capturing spatial and space-time dependence for point patterns. Model fitting requires approximation of stochastic integrals which is implemented…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-24 Shinichiro Shirota , Sudipto Banerjee