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Related papers: Bayesian MAP Model Selection of Chain Event Graphs

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We develop a sequential low-complexity inference procedure for Dirichlet process mixtures of Gaussians for online clustering and parameter estimation when the number of clusters are unknown a-priori. We present an easily computable, closed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-15 Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Keith W. Forsythe

When analyzing data from multiple sources, it is often convenient to strike a careful balance between two goals: capturing the heterogeneity of the samples and sharing information across them. We introduce a novel framework to model a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Laura D'Angelo , Bernardo Nipoti , Andrea Ongaro

We consider a class of colored graphical Gaussian models obtained by placing symmetry constraints on the precision matrix in a Bayesian framework. The prior distribution on the precision matrix is the colored $G$-Wishart prior which is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-03 Qiong Li , Xin Gao , Helene Massam

Variation in the evolutionary process across the sites of nucleotide sequence alignments is well established, and is an increasingly pervasive feature of datasets composed of gene regions sampled from multiple loci and/or different genomes.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-09-04 Brian R. Moore , Jim McGuire , Fredrik Ronquist , John P. Huelsenbeck

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi

Much of the causal discovery literature prioritises guaranteeing the identifiability of causal direction in statistical models. For structures within a Markov equivalence class, this requires strong assumptions which may not hold in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-29 Anish Dhir , Samuel Power , Mark van der Wilk

Low-dimensional probability models for local distribution functions in a Bayesian network include decision trees, decision graphs, and causal independence models. We describe a new probability model for discrete Bayesian networks, which we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-23 David Heckerman , Chris Meek

In a traditional Gaussian graphical model, data homogeneity is routinely assumed with no extra variables affecting the conditional independence. In modern genomic datasets, there is an abundance of auxiliary information, which often gets…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-16 Yabo Niu , Yang Ni , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

Under the sociological theory of homophily, people who are similar to one another are more likely to interact with one another. Marketers often have access to data on interactions among customers from which, with homophily as a guiding…

Applications · Statistics 2011-07-06 Michael Braun , André Bonfrer

The latent position cluster model is a popular model for the statistical analysis of network data. This approach assumes that there is an underlying latent space in which the actors follow a finite mixture distribution. Moreover, actors…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-23 Nial Friel , Caitriona Ryan , Jason Wyse

To analyze the impacts of certain types of public health interventions we need to estimate the treatment effects and outcomes as these apply to heterogeneous open populations. Dynamically modifying populations containing risk groups that…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-14 Aditi Shenvi , Jim Q. Smith

The random dot product graph is a popular model for network data with extensions that accommodate dynamic (time-varying) networks. However, two significant deficiencies exist in the dynamic random dot product graph literature: (1) no…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Joshua Daniel Loyal

Dependent nonparametric processes extend distributions over measures, such as the Dirichlet process and the beta process, to give distributions over collections of measures, typically indexed by values in some covariate space. Such models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-21 Nicholas J. Foti , Sinead Williamson

Understanding posterior contraction behavior in Bayesian hierarchical models is of fundamental importance, but progress in this question is relatively sparse in comparison to the theory of density estimation. In this paper, we study two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Dat Do , Sunrit Chakraborty , Jonathan Terhorst , XuanLong Nguyen

Directed acyclic graph (DAG) models, also called Bayesian networks, impose conditional independence constraints on a multivariate probability distribution, and are widely used in probabilistic reasoning, machine learning and causal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Robin J. Evans

This article is motivated by challenges in conducting Bayesian inferences on unknown discrete distributions, with a particular focus on count data. To avoid the computational disadvantages of traditional mixture models, we develop a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-12 Davide Agnoletto , Tommaso Rigon , David B. Dunson

In many domains, we are interested in analyzing the structure of the underlying distribution, e.g., whether one variable is a direct parent of the other. Bayesian model-selection attempts to find the MAP model and use its structure to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Nir Friedman , Daphne Koller

Script event prediction requires a model to predict the subsequent event given an existing event context. Previous models based on event pairs or event chains cannot make full use of dense event connections, which may limit their capability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-05-17 Zhongyang Li , Xiao Ding , Ting Liu

Bayesian latent space models offer a principled approach to network representation, but rely on correct specification of both geometry and link function. Real-world networks often violate these assumptions, exhibiting geometric mismatch and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Aldric Labarthe