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Random matrix theory has become a cornerstone in modern statistics and data science, providing fundamental tools for understanding high-dimensional covariance structures. Within this framework, the Wishart matrix plays a central role in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Fengcheng Liu

In the study of extremes, the presence of asymptotic independence signifies that extreme events across multiple variables are probably less likely to occur together. Although well-understood in a bivariate context, the concept remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-26 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of the implied volatility in the Bachelier setting, extending the large-strike results established for the Black-Scholes framework. Exploiting the theory of regular variation, we derive explicit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-24 Roberto Baviera , Michele Domenico Massaria

The asymptotic tail behaviour of sums of independent subexponential random variables is well understood, one of the main characteristics being the principle of the single big jump. We study the case of dependent subexponential random…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Andrew Richards

In this paper we derive the tail asymptotics of a Kotz Type III elliptical random vector. As an application of our asymptotic expansion we derive an approximation for the conditional excess distribution. Furthermore, we discuss the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Enkelejd Hashorva

Let $\{X(s,t):s,t\geqslant 0\}$ be a centered homogeneous Gaussian field with a.s. continuous sample paths and correlation function $r(s,t)=Cov(X(s,t),X(0,0))$ such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-11 Krzysztof Dębicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Natalia Soja-Kukieła

We present a universal concentration bound for sums of random variables under arbitrary dependence, and we prove that it is asymptotically optimal for broad families of marginals admitting a uniform integrable tail-quantile envelope. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Cosme Louart , Sicheng Tan

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random vectors on $\mathbb{R}^2$, with unknown, common distribution function $F$. Under a sharpening of the extreme value condition on $F$, we derive a weighted approximation of the corresponding tail copula process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Laurens de Haan , Deyuan Li

A random variable $\xi$ has a {\it light-tailed} distribution (for short: is light-tailed) if it possesses a finite exponential moment, $\E \exp (\lambda \xi) <\infty$ for some $\lambda >0$, and has a {\it heavy-tailed} distribution (is…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Sergey Foss , Anton Tarasenko , Georgiy Krivtsov

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of higher-order conditional tail moments, which quantify the contribution of individual losses in the event of systemic collapse. The study is conducted within a framework comprising two…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Zhangting Chen , Bingjie Wang , Dongya Cheng

This note is devoted to the study of the maximum of the excursion of a random walk with negative drift and light-tailed increments. More precisely, we determine the local asymptotics of the joint distribution of the length, maximum and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and light-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for local probabilities for the area and prove a local…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

Let $\{Z(\tau,s), (\tau,s)\in [a,b]\times[0,T]\}$ with some positive constants $a,b,T$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)$ satisfying $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)=\sigma^{2}(\tau)$. We firstly derive the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Zhongquan Tan , Shengchao Zheng

There are many ways of measuring and modeling tail-dependence in random vectors: from the general framework of multivariate regular variation and the flexible class of max-stable vectors down to simple and concise summary measures like the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-05 Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung , Stilian Stoev

In previous work Majda and McLaughlin computed explicit expressions for the $2N$th moments of a passive scalar advected by a linear shear flow in the form of an integral over ${\bf R}^N$. In this paper we first compute the asymptotics of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. C. Bronski , R. M. McLaughlin

The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Christian Y. Robert , Johan Segers

A discrete version of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution has been derived by using the general approach of discretization of a continuous distribution. Important distributional and reliability properties have been explored. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-29 Subrata Chakraborty , Dhrubajyoti Chakravarty

Let $\mathbf{X}(n) \in \mathbb{R}^d$ be a sequence of random vectors, where $n\in\mathbb{N}$ and $d = d(n)$. Under certain weakly dependence conditions, we prove that the distribution of the maximal component of $\mathbf{X}$ and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Mikhail Isaev , Igor Rodionov , Rui-Ray Zhang , Maksim Zhukovskii

We consider a Markov chain on $R^+$ with asymptotically zero drift and finite second moments of jumps which is positive recurrent. A power-like asymptotic behaviour of the invariant tail distribution is proven; such a heavy-tailed invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-16 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

We discuss in this paper a possibility of constructing a whole class of asymptotic distribution-free tests for testing regularly varying tail distributions. The idea is that we treat the tails of distributions as members of a parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-07 Thuong Nguyen