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In epidemics many interesting quantities, like the reproduction number, depend on the incubation period (time from infection to symptom onset) and/or the generation time (time until a new person is infected from another infected person).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Alexander Kreiss , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Contextual bandit algorithms suffer from high regret during cold-start, when the learner has insufficient data to distinguish good arms from bad. We propose augmenting Disjoint LinUCB with LLM pseudo-observations: after each round, a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Maksim Pershin , Ivan Golovanov , Pavel Baltabaev , Natalia Trankova

The lack of explainability of deep learning models limits the adoption of such models in clinical practice. Prototype-based models can provide inherent explainable predictions, but these have predominantly been designed for classification…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Linde S. Hesse , Nicola K. Dinsdale , Ana I. L. Namburete

We analyze a probabilistic cellular automaton describing the dynamics of coexistence of a predator-prey system. The individuals of each species are localized over the sites of a lattice and the local stochastic updating rules are inspired…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-14 Tânia Tomé , Kelly C de Carvalho

We use several main-sequence models to derive distances (and extinctions), with statistically meaningful uncertainties for 11 star-forming-regions and young clusters. The model dependency is shown to be small, allowing us to adopt the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 N. J. Mayne , Tim Naylor

By employing the Coulomb proximity potential model (CPPM) in conjunction with 22 distinct proximity potential models, we investigated the temperature dependence and the effects of proton number and neutron number on the diffusion parameters…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-04-03 Panpan Qi , Xuanpeng Xiao , Gongming Yu , Haitao Yang , Qiang Hu

Heart disease remains the leading cause of death in the United States. Compared with risk assessment guidelines that require manual calculation of scores, machine learning-based prediction for disease outcomes such as mortality can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-13 Laura A. Barrett , Seyedeh Neelufar Payrovnaziri , Jiang Bian , Zhe He

Around 5-10\% of newborns need assistance to start breathing. Currently, there is a lack of evidence-based research, objective data collection, and opportunities for learning from real newborn resuscitation emergency events. Generating and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Jorge García-Torres , Øyvind Meinich-Bache , Anders Johannessen , Siren Rettedal , Vilde Kolstad , Kjersti Engan

The Covid-19 pandemic has made clear the need to improve modern multivariate time-series forecasting models. Current state of the art predictions of future daily deaths and, especially, hospital resource usage have confidence intervals that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-25 Richard Bao , August Chen , Jethin Gowda , Shiva Mudide

We propose a two-stage estimation procedure for a copula-based model with semi-competing risks data, where the non-terminal event is subject to dependent censoring by the terminal event, and both events are subject to independent censoring.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Sakie J. Arachchige , Xinyuan Chen , Qian M. Zhou

Prompt injection attacks pose a pervasive threat to the security of Large Language Models (LLMs). State-of-the-art prevention-based defenses typically rely on fine-tuning an LLM to enhance its security, but they achieve limited…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Yupei Liu , Yanting Wang , Yuqi Jia , Jinyuan Jia , Neil Zhenqiang Gong

This paper extends the empirical minimum divergence approach for models which satisfy linear constraints with respect to the probability measure of the underlying variable (moment constraints) to the case where such constraints pertain to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Alexis Decurninge , Michel Broniatowski

The kinetics of domain growth and aging in conserved order parameter systems, in the presence of short-range interaction, is widely studied. Due to technical difficulties and lack of resources, regarding computation, the dynamics is still…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-12 Soumik Ghosh , Subir K. Das

Large language models (LLMs) have shown impressive capabilities in adapting to various tasks when provided with task-specific instructions. However, LLMs using standard decoding strategies often struggle with deviations from the inputs.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Jinliang Lu , Chen Wang , Jiajun Zhang

The aim of this paper is to study the construction of prospective mortality tables from a low number of persons subjected to risk. The presented models are the Lee-Carter and log-Poisson methods respectively. The low number of people…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-13 Frédéric Planchet , Vincent Lelieur

Accurate temperature estimation of pouch cells with indirect liquid cooling is essential for optimizing battery thermal management systems for transportation electrification. However, it is challenging due to the computational expense of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Zheng Liu

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated promise in medical knowledge assessments, yet their practical utility in real-world clinical decision-making remains underexplored. In this study, we evaluated the performance of three…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Mengdi Chai , Ali R. Zomorrodi

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly utilized in clinical reasoning and risk assessment. However, their interpretive reliability in critical and indeterminate domains such as psychiatry remains unclear. Prior work has identified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Shevya Panda , Shinjini Bose , Ananya Joshi

Environmental and individualistic variables affect the rate of human decomposition in complex ways. These effects complicate the estimation of the postmortem interval (PMI) based on observed decomposition characteristics. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 D. Hudson Smith , Noah Nisbet , Carl Ehrett , Cristina I. Tica , Madeline M. Atwell , Katherine E. Weisensee

Continuous-time birth-death-shift (BDS) processes are frequently used in stochastic modeling, with many applications in ecology and epidemiology. In particular, such processes can model evolutionary dynamics of transposable elements -…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-02 Jason Xu , Peter Guttorp , Midori Kato-Maeda , Vladimir N. Minin
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