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Given data generated by an observable stochastic process, we study how to construct statistically optimal decisions for general stochastic optimization problems. Our setting encompasses non-standard data structures, including data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Radek Salač , Michael Kupper , Tobias Sutter

Existing approaches to model uncertainty typically either compare models using a quantitative model selection criterion or evaluate posterior model probabilities having set a prior. In this paper, we propose an alternative strategy which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Vik Shirvaikar , Stephen G. Walker , Chris Holmes

Mathematical programming formulations of influence diagrams can bridge the gap between representing and solving decision problems. However, they suffer from both modeling and computational limitations. Aiming to address modeling…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Olli Herrala , Tommi Ekholm , Fabricio Oliveira

This paper proposes a data-driven control framework to regulate an unknown, stochastic linear dynamical system to the solution of a (stochastic) convex optimization problem. Despite the centrality of this problem, most of the available…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-31 Gianluca Bianchin , Miguel Vaquero , Jorge Cortes , Emiliano Dall'Anese

Suppose that local characteristics of several independent compound Poisson and Wiener processes change suddenly and simultaneously at some unobservable disorder time. The problem is to detect the disorder time as quickly as possible after…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-04-01 Savas Dayanik , H. Vincent Poor , Semih O. Sezer

In this paper, a stochastic control problem under model uncertainty with general penalty term is studied. Two types of penalties are considered. The first one is of type f-divergence penalty treated in the general framework of a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Wahid Faidi , Anis Matoussi , Mohamed Mnif

In many physical situations, there appears the problem of reaching a single target that is spatially distributed. Here we analyse how stochastic resetting, also spatially distributed, can be used to improve the search process when the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-22 Gregorio García-Valladares , Carlos A. Plata , Antonio Prados , Alessandro Manacorda

We study the Wiener disorder detection problem where each observation is associated with a positive cost. In this setting, a strategy is a pair consisting of a sequence of observation times and a stopping time corresponding to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Erhan Bayraktar , Erik Ekstrom , Jia Guo

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

We propose a modified density estimation problem that is highly effective for detecting anomalies in tabular data. Our approach assumes that the density function is relatively stable (with lower variance) around normal samples. We have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Amit Rozner , Barak Battash , Henry Li , Lior Wolf , Ofir Lindenbaum

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

In this paper, a first sample-based formulation of the recently considered population observers, or ensemble observers, which estimate the state distribution of dynamic populations from measurements of the output distribution is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Shen Zeng

A fundamental problem in the field of unsupervised machine learning is the detection of anomalies corresponding to rare and unusual observations of interest; reasons include for their rejection, accommodation or further investigation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Nassir Mohammad

We consider a control problem constrained by the unsteady stochastic Stokes equations with nonhomogeneous boundary conditions in connected and bounded domains. In this paper, controls are defined inside the domain as well as on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Peter Benner , Christoph Trautwein

Classification is an important task in many fields including biomedical research and machine learning. Traditionally, a classification rule is constructed based a bunch of labeled data. Recently, due to technological innovation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-19 Jing Wang , Eunsik Park , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

With reference to a previous work, the problem of the experimental detection of non-causal synordination patterns between two series of physical events is examined. It is necessary that the patterns in question act in a reproducible, or at…

General Physics · Physics 2008-07-22 Leonardo Chiatti

Problems involving disordered systems are usually analyzed for systems with random disorder. However, there are many systems in which the main disorder involves clusters with correlated differences between their properties and those of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Z. Shemer , V. Halpern

The positivity assumption is central in the identification of a causal effect, and especially the stochastic variant is an issue many applied researchers face, yet is rarely discussed, especially in conjunction with continuous treatments or…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-03 Katharina Ring , Michael Schomaker

We provide an overview on how to use the measurable selection techniques to derive the dynamic programming principle for a general stochastic optimal control/stopping problem. By considering its martingale problem formulation on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Nicole El Karoui , Xiaolu Tan

We study high-dimensional stochastic optimal control problems in which many agents cooperate to minimize a convex cost functional. We consider both the full-information problem, in which each agent observes the states of all other agents,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Joe Jackson , Daniel Lacker
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