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We derive the precise asymptotic distributional behavior of Gaussian variational approximate estimators of the parameters in a single-predictor Poisson mixed model. These results are the deepest yet obtained concerning the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Peter Hall , Tung Pham , M. P. Wand , S. S. J. Wang

We find the exponential exact two-terms non-asymptotic expression for the maximum and minimum distribution of a non-Gaussian, in general case, random vector.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-09 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean expressions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. Our technique generalizes and extends the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

In this paper the generalization of the Poisson distribution is derived for the case when each consecutive event changes event rate. A simple formula for the probability of observing of a given number of events for the selected period of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-01-06 E. A. Kushnirenko

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop

In "Recognizing the Maximum of a Sequence", Gilbert and Mosteller analyze a full information game where n measurements from an uniform distribution are drawn and a player (knowing n) must decide at each draw whether or not to choose that…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Marcos Costa Santos Carreira

We present an approximate calculation for the distribution of the maximum of a smooth stationary temporal signal X(t). As an application, we compute the persistence exponent associated to the probability that the process remains below a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Clément Sire

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a multivariatedistribution based on independent samples. The main result is the proof of existence of an estimator with a non-asymptotic sub-Gaussian performance for all distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Emilien Joly , Gábor Lugosi , Roberto I. Oliveira

An asymptotic expansion for inverse moments of positive binomial and Poisson distributions is derived. The expansion coefficients of the asymptotic series are given by the positive central moments of the distribution. Compared to previous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-16 Marko Znidaric

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson distribution is a two-parameter generalisation of the Poisson distribution that can be used to model data that is under- or over-dispersed relative to the Poisson distribution. The normalizing constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Robert E. Gaunt , Satish Iyengar , Adri B. Olde Daalhuis , Burcin Simsek

In this paper, we study the maximum likelihood estimate of the probability mass function (pmf) of $n$ independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables, in the non-asymptotic regime. We are interested in characterizing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Sina Molavipour , Germán Bassi , Mikael Skoglund

In this paper we propose an estimator of the distribution of events of different kinds in a homogeneous Poisson process. We give an explicit solution for the maximum likelihood estimator of the distribution and derive its strong consistency…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Dragi Anevski , Vladimir Pastukhov

We consider the distribution of the sum and the maximum of a collection of independent exponentially distributed random variables. The focus is laid on the explicit form of the density functions (pdf) of non-i.i.d. sequences. Those are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-16 Markus Bibinger

Existing methods for the estimation of stable distribution parameters, such as those based on sample quantiles, sample characteristic functions or maximum likelihood generally assume an independent sample. Little attention has been paid to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-05 Adrian W. Barker

We derive in this article the asymptotic behavior as well as non-asymptotical estimates of tail of distribution for self-normalized sums of random variables (r.v.) under natural classical norming. We investigate also the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

In this paper, we consider asymptotics of the optimal value and the optimal solutions of parametric minimax estimation problems. Specifically, we consider estimators of the optimal value and the optimal solutions in a sample minimax problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Mika Meitz , Alexander Shapiro

In this paper non-asymptotic exact exponential estimates are derived for the tail of maximum distribution of random field in the terms of majoring measures or, equally, generic chaining.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-05 E. Ostrovsky , E. Rogover

We investigate the asymptotic distribution of the maximum of a frequency smoothed estimate of the spectral coherence of a M-variate complex Gaussian time series with mutually independent components when the dimension M and the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-08 Alexis Rosuel , Philippe Loubaton , Pascal Vallet

Bayesian, classical, and extended maximum likelihood approaches to estimation of upper limits in experiments with small numbers of signal events are surveyed. The discussion covers only experiments whose outcomes are well described by a…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2011-07-19 Ilya Narsky

We establish formulas for the constant factor in several asymptotic estimates related to the distribution of integer and polynomial divisors. The formulas are then used to approximate these factors numerically.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Andreas Weingartner