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We discuss the accuracy of mass models for extrapolating to very asymmetric nuclei and the impact of such extrapolations on the predictions of isotopic observables in multifragmentation. We obtain improved mass predictions by incorporating…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2009-11-10 S. R. Souza , P. Danielewicz , S. Das Gupta , R. Donangelo , W. A. Friedman , W. G. Lynch , W. P. Tan , M. B. Tsang

As the amount of economic and other data generated worldwide increases vastly, a challenge for future generations of econometricians will be to master efficient algorithms for inference in empirical models with large information sets. This…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-27 Dimitris Korobilis , Davide Pettenuzzo

One way that an anthropic selection mechanism may be manifest in a physical theory involves multiple domains in the universe with different values of the physical parameters. If this mechanism is to be relevant for understanding the small…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-31 John F. Donoghue

Modern cosmology relies on the assumption of large-scale isotropy and homogeneity of the Universe. However, locally the Universe is inhomogeneous and anisotropic. So, how can local measurements (at the 100 Mpc scale) be used to determine…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-02-21 Alexander Wiegand , Dominik J. Schwarz

In almost every scientific field, an experiment involves collecting data and then analysing it. The analysis stage will often consist in trying to extract some physical parameter and estimating its uncertainty; this is known as Parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 Louis Lyons

Gaussian processes provide a method for extracting cosmological information from observations without assuming a cosmological model. We carry out cosmography -- mapping the time evolution of the cosmic expansion -- in a model-independent…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-07-11 Arman Shafieloo , Alex G. Kim , Eric V. Linder

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

Handling big data has largely been a major bottleneck in traditional statistical models. Consequently, when accurate point prediction is the primary target, machine learning models are often preferred over their statistical counterparts for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Arindam Fadikar , Stefan M. Wild , Jonas Chaves-Montero

We revisit the issue of cosmological parameter estimation in light of current and upcoming high-precision measurements of the cosmic microwave background power spectrum. Physical quantities which determine the power spectrum are reviewed,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 Arthur Kosowsky , Milos Milosavljevic , Raul Jimenez

Fitting a simplifying model with several parameters to real data of complex objects is a highly nontrivial task, but enables the possibility to get insights into the objects physics. Here, we present a method to infer the parameters of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-21 Johannes Oberpriller , T. A. Enßlin

The current status of the theoretical and observational cosmology is reviewed.

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. N. Lukash

We investigate cosmological parameter inference and model selection from a Bayesian perspective. Type Ia supernova data from the Dark Energy Survey (DES-SN5YR) are used to test the $\Lambda$CDM, $w$CDM, and CPL cosmological models.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-12 Nikoloz Gigiberia

Constraining theoretical models with measuring the parameters of those from cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy data is one of the most active areas in cosmology. WMAP, Planck and other recent experiments have shown that the six…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-12-11 Jayanti Prasad

The classical stochastic model of cosmology recently developed by us is reconsidered. In that approach the parameter $w$ defined by the equation of state $p=w{\rho}$ was taken to be fluctuating with mean zero and we compared the theoretical…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 Moncy V. John , C. Sivakumar , K. Babu Joseph

Comparing mathematical models offers a means to evaluate competing scientific theories. However, exact methods of model calibration are not applicable to many probabilistic models which simulate high-dimensional spatio-temporal data.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Robert A McDonald , Helen M Byrne , Heather A Harrington , Thomas Thorne , Bernadette J Stolz

The CMB anisotropy depends sensitively upon the slope and amplitude of primordial density and gravitational wave fluctuations, the baryon density, the Hubble constant, the cosmological constant, the ionization history, {\it etc.} We report…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-09-25 J. Richard Bond , Richard L. Davis , Paul J. Steinhardt

We determine a cosmological model that include a positive acceleration of the Universe and a time decreasing fine structure constant. The present day deceleration parameter is estimated by us, according to our model and the available…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 Marcelo S. Berman , Luis A. Trevisan

The Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) is an abundant source of cosmological information. However, this information is encoded in non-trivial ways in a signal that is difficult to observe. The resulting challenges in extracting this…

Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 Benjamin D. Wandelt

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables parameter inference by training neural networks on forward simulations. It is being applied both for intractable likelihoods as well as under time constraints on the posterior sampling. After…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-12 Leander Thiele

We discuss the constraints one can place on cosmological parameters using current cosmic microwave background data. A standard $\chi^2$--minimization over band--power estimates is first presented, followed by a discussion of the more…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. G. Bartlett , A. Blanchard , M. Douspis , M. Le Dour
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