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Related papers: Reconciling Model Selection and Prediction

200 papers

While variable selection has received extensive attention in the literature, its exploration in the presence of response measurement error remains underexplored. In this paper, we investigate this important problem within the context of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Hui Guo , Grace Y. Yi , Boyu Wang

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

This paper establishes non-asymptotic oracle inequalities for the prediction error and estimation accuracy of the LASSO in stationary vector autoregressive models. These inequalities are used to establish consistency of the LASSO even when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-16 Anders Bredahl Kock , Laurent A. F. Callot

Sparse estimation methods capable of tolerating outliers have been broadly investigated in the last decade. We contribute to this research considering high-dimensional regression problems contaminated by multiple mean-shift outliers which…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Luca Insolia , Ana Kenney , Francesca Chiaromonte , Giovanni Felici

In this paper, we consider asymptotics of the optimal value and the optimal solutions of parametric minimax estimation problems. Specifically, we consider estimators of the optimal value and the optimal solutions in a sample minimax problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Mika Meitz , Alexander Shapiro

We study the asymptotic properties of Lasso+mLS and Lasso+Ridge under the sparse high-dimensional linear regression model: Lasso selecting predictors and then modified Least Squares (mLS) or Ridge estimating their coefficients. First, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-14 Hanzhong Liu , Bin Yu

We establish the asymptotic normality of the regression estimator in a fixed-design setting when the errors are given by a field of dependent random variables. The result applies to martingale-difference or strongly mixing random fields. On…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-07-10 Mohamed El Machkouri , Radu Stoica

In this work we study the metric distortion problem in voting theory under a limited amount of ordinal information. Our primary contribution is threefold. First, we consider mechanisms which perform a sequence of pairwise comparisons…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Ioannis Anagnostides , Dimitris Fotakis , Panagiotis Patsilinakos

Functional linear regression has recently attracted considerable interest. Many works focus on asymptotic inference. In this paper we consider in a non asymptotic framework a simple estimation procedure based on functional Principal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Elodie Brunel , André Mas , Angelina Roche

We study the problem of predicting the results of computations that are too expensive to run, via the observation of the results of smaller computations. We model this as an online learning problem with delayed feedback, where the length of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Scott Garrabrant , Nate Soares , Jessica Taylor

Maximum likelihood estimation has been extensively used in the joint analysis of repeated measurements and survival time. However, there is a lack of theoretical justification of the asymptotic properties for the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Donglin Zeng , Jianwen Cai

We consider the estimation of a scalar parameter, when two estimators are available. The first is always consistent. The second is inconsistent in general, but has a smaller asymptotic variance than the first, and may be consistent if an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

This paper investigates asymptotic properties of algorithms that can be viewed as robust analogues of the classical empirical risk minimization. These strategies are based on replacing the usual empirical average by a robust proxy of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Stanislav Minsker

Regression problems are traditionally analyzed via univariate characteristics like the regression function, scale function and marginal density of regression errors. These characteristics are useful and informative whenever the association…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Sam Efromovich

While model selection is a well-studied topic in parametric and nonparametric regression or density estimation, selection of possibly high-dimensional nuisance parameters in semiparametric problems is far less developed. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

The problem is that of sequential probability forecasting for finite-valued time series. The data is generated by an unknown probability distribution over the space of all one-way infinite sequences. It is known that this measure belongs to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-02 Daniil Ryabko

We consider a stochastic process model with time trend and measurement error. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distributions of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the covariance function parameters under a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

In this paper, we consider a functional linear regression model, where both the covariate and the response variable are functional random variables. We address the problem of optimal nonparametric estimation of the conditional expectation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Gaëlle Chagny , Anouar Meynaoui , Angelina Roche

We consider the problem of simultaneous variable selection and estimation in additive, partially linear models for longitudinal/clustered data. We propose an estimation procedure via polynomial splines to estimate the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Shujie Ma , Qiongxia Song , Li Wang

We consider the problem of estimating the unconditional distribution of a post-model-selection estimator. The notion of a post-model-selection estimator here refers to the combined procedure resulting from first selecting a model (e.g., by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-08 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Poetscher