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A novel Markovian network evolution model is introduced and analysed by means of information theory. It will be proved that the model, called Network Evolution Chain, is a stationary and ergodic stochastic process. Therefore, the Asymptotic…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Amirmohammad Farzaneh , Justin P. Coon

Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Sam A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Colin S. Gillespie , Theodore Kypraios

A dynamical model of an ecological community is analyzed within a "mean-field approximation" in which one of the species interacts with the combination of all of the other species in the community. Within this approximation the model may be…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-10-31 Alan McKane , David Alonso , Ricard V. Sole

Population structure can have a significant effect on evolution. For some systems with sufficient symmetry, analytic results can be derived within the mathematical framework of evolutionary graph theory which relate to the outcome of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-11 Christopher E. Overton , Mark Broom , Christoforos Hadjichrysanthou , Kieran J. Sharkey

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li

State aggregation is a popular model reduction method rooted in optimal control. It reduces the complexity of engineering systems by mapping the system's states into a small number of meta-states. The choice of aggregation map often depends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-17 Yaqi Duan , Zheng Tracy Ke , Mengdi Wang

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

The totally asymmetric simple exclusion process (TASEP) is a basic model of statistical mechanics that has found numerous applications. We consider the case of TASEP with a finite chain where particles may enter from the left and leave to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-23 Lars Grüne , Thomas Kriecherbauer , Michael Margaliot

We present numerical results based on a simplified ecological system in evolution, showing features of extinction similar to that claimed for the biosystem on Earth. In the model each species consists of a population in interaction with the…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-28 Guillermo Abramson

Microbial ecosystems are remarkably diverse, stable, and often consist of a balanced mixture of core and peripheral species. Here we propose a conceptual model exhibiting all these emergent properties in quantitative agreement with real…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-18 Akshit Goyal , Sergei Maslov

Transition Path Theory (TPT) provides a rigorous statistical characterization of the ensemble of trajectories connecting directly, i.e., without detours, two disconnected (sets of) states in a Markov chain, a stochastic process that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-28 G. Bonner , F. J. Beron-Vera , M. J. Olascoaga

We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components. At each time unit, each component can take two values, indicating if it has a spike or not at this precise moment. The system evolves as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Antonio Galves , Eva Löcherbach

This paper presents a conceptual model describing the medium and long-term co-evolution of natural and socio-economic subsystems of Earth. An economy is viewed as an out-of-equilibrium dissipative structure that can only be maintained with…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-09 Éric Herbert , and Gael Giraud , Aurélie Louis-Napoléon , Christophe Goupil

In this paper we revisit the concept of mobility entropy. Over time, the structure of spatial interactions among urban centres tends to become more complex and evolves from centralised models to more scattered origin and destination…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-30 Valentina Marin , Carlos Molinero , Elsa Arcaute

Ecology and evolution are inseparable. Motivated by some recent experiments, we have developed models of evolutionary ecology from the perspective of dynamic networks. In these models, in addition to the intra-node dynamics, which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Debashish Chowdhury , Dietrich Stauffer

We propose a class of evolutionary models that involves an arbitrary exchangeable process as the breeding process and different selection schemes. In those models, a new genome is born according to the breeding process, and then a genome is…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Jüri Lember , Chris Watkins

The existence of the {\em typical set} is key for data compression strategies and for the emergence of robust statistical observables in macroscopic physical systems. Standard approaches derive its existence from a restricted set of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-10 Rudolf Hanel , Bernat Corominas-Murtra

State-space models are dynamical systems defined by a latent and an observed process. In ecology, stochastic state-space models in discrete time are most often used to describe the imperfectly observed dynamics of population sizes or animal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Frederic Barraquand , Julien Gibaud

Multiclass open queueing networks find wide applications in communication, computer and fabrication networks. Often one is interested in steady-state performance measures associated with these networks. Conceptually, under mild conditions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Sarat Babu Moka , Sandeep Juneja