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Related papers: Outliers in INAR(1) models

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We consider the problem of threshold estimation for autoregressive time series with a "space switching" in the situation, when the regression is nonlinear and the innovations have a smooth, possibly non Gaussian, probability density.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Pavel Chigansky , Yury Kutoyants

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are known to produce incorrect predictions with very high confidence on out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs. This limitation is one of the key challenges in the adoption of deep learning models in high-assurance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Ramneet Kaur , Susmit Jha , Anirban Roy , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

In this paper, we consider the normalized least squares estimator of the parameter in a mildly stationary first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) model with dependent errors which are modeled as a mildly stationary AR(1) process. By martingale…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-08 Hui Jiang , Guangyu Yang , Mingming Yu

The random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive process was introduced by Zheng, Basawa, and Datta. In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of this model (in particular, weak limits of extreme values and the growth rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-17 Zheng Zhong , Alexander Roitershtein

Most real-world IoT data analysis tasks, such as clustering and anomaly event detection, are unsupervised and highly susceptible to the presence of outliers. In addition to sporadic scattered outliers caused by factors such as faulty sensor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Yiqun Zhang , Zexi Tan , Xiaopeng Luo , Yunlin Liu

To conduct regression analysis for data contaminated with outliers, many approaches have been proposed for simultaneous outlier detection and robust regression, so is the approach proposed in this manuscript. This new approach is called…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-25 Xiaoli Gao , Yixin Fang

We study prediction intervals based on leave-one-out residuals in a linear regression model where the number of explanatory variables can be large compared to sample size. We establish uniform asymptotic validity (conditional on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Lukas Steinberger , Hannes Leeb

Anomalies and outliers are common in real-world data, and they can arise from many sources, such as sensor faults. Accordingly, anomaly detection is important both for analyzing the anomalies themselves and for cleaning the data for further…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-13 Haitao Liu , Randy C. Paffenroth , Jian Zou , Chong Zhou

The classical tests in the instrumental variable model can behave arbitrarily if the data is contaminated. For instance, one outlying observation can be enough to change the outcome of a test. We develop a framework to construct testing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-26 Jens Klooster , Mikhail Zhelonkin

A new approach to nonlinear modelling is presented which, by incorporating the global behaviour of the model, lifts shortcomings of both least squares and total least squares parameter estimates. Although ubiquitous in practice, a least…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

Outlying curves often occur in functional or longitudinal datasets, and can be very influential on parameter estimators and very hard to detect visually. In this article we introduce estimators of the mean and the principal components that…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-03 Daniel Gervini

Parameter estimation in a class of heteroscedastic time series models is investigated. The existence of conditional least-squares and conditional likelihood estimators is proved. Their consistency and their asymptotic normality are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji

In linear regression, the least squares (LS) estimator has certain optimality properties if the errors are normally distributed. This assumption is often violated in practice, partly caused by data outliers. Robust estimators can cope with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-01 Sukru Acitas , Peter Filzmoser , Birdal Senoglu

In this article, we consider the parameter estimation of regression model with pth order autoregressive (AR(p)) error term. We use the Maximum Lq-likelihood (MLq) estimation method that is proposed by Ferrari and Yang (2010a), as a robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-23 Yesim Guney , Yetkin Tuac , Senay Ozdemir , Olcay Arslan

This paper shows how to adapt several simple and classical sampling-based algorithms for the $k$-means problem to the setting with outliers. Recently, Bhaskara et al. (NeurIPS 2019) showed how to adapt the classical $k$-means++ algorithm to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Christoph Grunau , Václav Rozhoň

Learning from data in the presence of outliers is a fundamental problem in statistics. Until recently, no computationally efficient algorithms were known to compute the mean of a high dimensional distribution under natural assumptions in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Sidhanth Mohanty , Morris Yau

In data analysis, contamination caused by outliers is inevitable, and robust statistical methods are strongly demanded. In this paper, our concern is to develop a new approach for robust data analysis based on scoring rules. The scoring…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-22 Takafumi Kanamori , Hironori Fujisawa

Outlier detection (OD) is the task of identifying unusual observations (or outliers) from a given or upcoming data by learning unique patterns of normal observations (or inliers). Recently, a study introduced a powerful unsupervised OD…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-08 Seoyoung Cho , Jaesung Hwang , Kwan-Young Bak , Dongha Kim

The sensitivity of loss reserving techniques to outliers in the data or deviations from model assumptions is a well known challenge. It has been shown that the popular chain-ladder reserving approach is at significant risk to such aberrant…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-22 Benjamin Avanzi , Mark Lavender , Greg Taylor , Bernard Wong

We propose an inlier-based outlier detection method capable of both identifying the outliers and explaining why they are outliers, by identifying the outlier-specific features. Specifically, we employ an inlier-based outlier detection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-22 Makoto Yamada , Song Liu , Samuel Kaski