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Spatial phenomena in environmental and biological contexts often involve events that are unevenly distributed across space and carry attributes, whose associations/variations are space-dependent. In this paper, we introduce the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Mehdi Moradi , Matthias Eckardt

Random fields are useful mathematical tools for representing natural phenomena with complex dependence structures in space and/or time. In particular, the Gaussian random field is commonly used due to its attractive properties and…

For a non-stationary or non-ergodic marked point process (MPP) on $\R^d$, the definition of averages becomes ambiguous as the process might have a different stochastic behavior in different realizations (non-ergodicity) or in different…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-05 Alexander Malinowski , Martin Schlather , Zhengjun Zhang

Point processes offer a versatile framework for sequential event modeling. However, the computational challenges and constrained representational power of the existing point process models have impeded their potential for wider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Zheng Dong , Zekai Fan , Shixiang Zhu

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 David Criens , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Thorsten Schmidt

Within the Correlated Gaussian Method the parameters of the Gaussian basis functions are often chosen stochastically using pseudo-random sequences. We show that alternative low-discrepancy sequences, also known as quasi-random sequences,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-10-14 D. V. Fedorov

Motivated by objects such as electric fields or fluid streams, we study the problem of learning stochastic fields, i.e. stochastic processes whose samples are fields like those occurring in physics and engineering. Considering general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Peter Holderrieth , Michael Hutchinson , Yee Whye Teh

The present paper aims to demonstrate the usage of Convolutional Neural Networks as a generative model for stochastic processes, enabling researchers from a wide range of fields (such as quantitative finance and physics) to develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-12 Fernando Fernandes Neto

We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 James Hensman , Nicolo Fusi , Neil D. Lawrence

We classify the rare events of structured, memoryful stochastic processes and use this to analyze sequential and parallel generators for these events. Given a stochastic process, we introduce a method to construct a new process whose…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-05 C. Aghamohammadi , J. P. Crutchfield

Often we wish to predict a large number of variables that depend on each other as well as on other observed variables. Structured prediction methods are essentially a combination of classification and graphical modeling, combining the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-11-19 Charles Sutton , Andrew McCallum

We study pathwise invariances of centred random fields that can be controlled through the covariance. A result involving composition operators is obtained in second-order settings, and we show that various path properties including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-07 David Ginsbourger , Olivier Roustant , Nicolas Durrande

For controlled discrete-time stochastic processes we introduce a new class of dynamic risk measures, which we call process-based. Their main features are that they measure risk of processes that are functions of the history of a base…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Jingnan Fan , Andrzej Ruszczynski

We consider a measurable stationary Gaussian stochastic process. A criterion for testing hypotheses about the covariance function of such a process using estimates for its norm in the space $L_p(\mathbb {T}),\,p\geq1$, is constructed.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yuriy Kozachenko , Viktor Troshki

Despite the increasing importance of stochastic processes on linear networks and graphs, current literature on multivariate (vector-valued) Gaussian random fields on metric graphs is elusive. This paper challenges several aspects related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-20 Tobia Filosi , Emilio Porcu , Xavier Emery , Claudio Agostinelli , Alfredo Alegrìa

Stein [Statist. Sci. 4 (1989) 432--433] proposed the Mat\'{e}rn-type Gaussian random fields as a very flexible class of models for computer experiments. This article considers a subclass of these models that are exactly once mean square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei-Liem Loh

Within the applications of spatial point processes, it is increasingly becoming common that events are labeled by marks, prompting an exploration beyond the spatial distribution of events by incorporating the marks in the undertaken…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Matthias Eckardt , Mehdi Moradi

We provide a new kriging procedure of processes on graphs. Based on the construction of Gaussian random processes indexed by graphs, we extend to this framework the usual linear prediction method for spatial random fields, known as kriging.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-26 Thibault Espinasse , Jean-Michel Loubes

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti