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The model representing two independent Poisson processes, labelled as "signal" and "background" and both contributing at the same time to the total number of counted events, is considered from a Bayesian point of view. This is a widely used…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-01-16 Diego Casadei

Bayesian statistics is concerned with conducting posterior inference for the unknown quantities in a given statistical model. Conventional Bayesian inference requires the specification of a probabilistic model for the observed data, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-11 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , David J. Nott

The most commonly used techniques for estimating the background contribution in IACT data analysis are the ring background model and the reflected region methods. However, these two techniques are poorly suited for analyses of sources with…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-13 Joshua V. Cardenzana

In this review statistical issues appearing in astrophysical searches for particle dark matter, i.e. indirect detection (dark matter annihilating into standard model particles) or direct detection (dark matter particles scattering in deep…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Jan Conrad

Uncertainty quantification in image retrieval is crucial for downstream decisions, yet it remains a challenging and largely unexplored problem. Current methods for estimating uncertainties are poorly calibrated, computationally expensive,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Frederik Warburg , Martin Jørgensen , Javier Civera , Søren Hauberg

Clustering is a crucial task in various domains of knowledge, including medicine, epidemiology, genomics, environmental science, economics, and visual sciences, among others. Methodologies for inferring the number of clusters have often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Clara Grazian

Clustering is widely studied in statistics and machine learning, with applications in a variety of fields. As opposed to classical algorithms which return a single clustering solution, Bayesian nonparametric models provide a posterior over…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-11 Sara Wade , Zoubin Ghahramani

Estimation of parameters that obey specific constraints is crucial in statistics and machine learning; for example, when parameters are required to satisfy boundedness, monotonicity, or linear inequalities. Traditional approaches impose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Lachlan Astfalck , Deborshee Sen , Sayan Patra , Edward Cripps , David Dunson

Bayesian inference is a powerful tool in gravitational-wave astronomy. It enables us to deduce the properties of merging compact-object binaries and to determine how these mergers are distributed as a population according to mass, spin, and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-15 Isobel M. Romero-Shaw , Eric Thrane , Paul D. Lasky

I describe an approach to fitting and comparison of radio spectra based on Bayesian analysis and realised using a new implementation of the nested sampling algorithm. Such an approach improves on the commonly used maximum-likelihood fitting…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2009-12-14 Bojan Nikolic

Theory testing in the physical sciences has been revolutionized in recent decades by Bayesian approaches to probability theory. Here, I will consider Bayesian approaches to theory extensions, that is, theories like inflation which aim to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-07 Luke A. Barnes

The problem of detecting new signals in the presence of an unknown background is ubiquitous in scientific discoveries and is especially prominent in the physical sciences. Most solutions proposed thus far to address the problem focus on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Aritra Banerjee , Sara Algeri

The work presented here attempts at answering the question: how do we decide when a given adetection is a planet or just residual noise in exoplanet direct imaging data? To this end we present a method implemented within a Bayesian…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-04 Jacob Golomb , Graça Rocha , Tiffany Meshkat , Michael Bottom , Dimitri Mawet , Bertrand Mennesson , Gautam Vasisht , Jason Wang

The article addresses the problem of detecting presence and location of a small low emission source inside of an object, when the background noise dominates. This problem arises, for instance, in some homeland security applications. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Xiaolei Xun , Bani Mallick , Raymond J. Carroll , Peter Kuchment

The Bayesian approach to the prediction of particle type given measurements of particle location is explored, using a parametric model whose prior is based on the transformation group. Two types of particle are considered, and locations are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-17 Robert W. Johnson

Optimal estimation of signal amplitude, background level, and photocentre location is crucial to the combined extraction of astrometric and photometric information from focal plane images, and in particular from the one-dimensional…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-05 Mario Gai , Deborah Busonero , Rossella Cancelliere

In astronomical and cosmological studies one often wishes to infer some properties of an infinite-dimensional field indexed within a finite-dimensional metric space given only a finite collection of noisy observational data. Bayesian…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-06-26 Ewan Cameron

We have developed a maximum likelihood source detection method capable of detecting ultra-faint streaks with surface brightnesses approximately an order of magnitude fainter than the pixel level noise. Our maximum likelihood detection…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-26 William A. Dawson , Michael D. Schneider , Chandrika Kamath

We present a Bayesian hierarchical modelling approach to infer the cosmic matter density field, and the lensing and the matter power spectra, from cosmic shear data. This method uses a physical model of cosmic structure formation to infer…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-03 Natalia Porqueres , Alan Heavens , Daniel Mortlock , Guilhem Lavaux

Inverse analysis, such as model calibration, often suffers from a lack of informative data in complex real-world scenarios. The standard remedy, designing new experimental setups, is often costly and time-consuming, while readily available…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Lea J. Haeusel , Jonas Nitzler , Lea J. Köglmeier , Wolfgang A. Wall
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