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Existing inferential methods for small area data involve a trade-off between maintaining area-level frequentist coverage rates and improving inferential precision via the incorporation of indirect information. In this article, we propose a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 Elizabeth Bersson , Peter D. Hoff

This paper introduces to readers the new concept and methodology of confidence distribution and the modern-day distributional inference in statistics. This discussion should be of interest to people who would like to go into the depth of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-07 Yifan Cui , Min-ge Xie

The focus of this paper is on the quantification of sampling variation in frequentist probabilistic forecasts. We propose a method of constructing confidence sets that respects the functional nature of the forecast distribution, and use…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-09 David Harris , Gael M. Martin , Indeewara Perera , D. S. Poskitt

Manifold learning seeks a low dimensional representation that faithfully captures the essence of data. Current methods can successfully learn such representations, but do not provide a meaningful set of operations that are associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-21 David Eklund , Søren Hauberg

Confidence interval of mean is often used when quoting statistics. The same rigor is often missing when quoting percentiles and tolerance or percentile intervals. This article derives the expression for confidence in percentiles of a sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Sanjay M. Joshi

The goal of this paper is to give confidence regions for the excursion set of a spatial function above a given threshold from repeated noisy observations on a fine grid of fixed locations. Given an asymptotically Gaussian estimator of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-29 Max Sommerfeld , Stephen Sain , Armin Schwartzman

This paper revisits a fundamental problem in statistical inference from a non-asymptotic theoretical viewpoint $\unicode{x2013}$ the construction of confidence sets. We establish a finite-sample bound for the estimator, characterizing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Lang Liu , Zaid Harchaoui

We consider the problem of estimating the support of a measure from a finite, independent, sample. The estimators which are considered are constructed based on the empirical Christoffel function. Such estimators have been proposed for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Mai Trang Vu , François Bachoc , Edouard Pauwels

The goal of any estimation study is an interval estimation of a the parameter(s) of interest. These estimations are mostly expressed using empirical confidence intervals that are based on sample point estimates of the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Ilya Novikov

Establishing dense correspondences between a pair of images is an important and general problem. However, dense flow estimation is often inaccurate in the case of large displacements or homogeneous regions. For most applications and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-02 Prune Truong , Martin Danelljan , Luc Van Gool , Radu Timofte

The asymptotic results pertaining to the distribution of the log likelihood ratio allow for the creation of a confidence region, which is a general extension of the confidence interval. Two and three dimensional regions can be displayed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-08 Adam Jaeger

We propose a new inferential framework for constructing confidence regions and testing hypotheses in statistical models specified by a system of high dimensional estimating equations. We construct an influence function by projecting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Matey Neykov , Yang Ning , Jun S. Liu , Han Liu

This work presents a novel simulation-based approach for constructing confidence regions in parametric models, which is particularly suited for generative models and situations where limited data and conventional asymptotic approximations…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Elena Bortolato , Laura Ventura

Consider an unlimited homogeneous medium disturbed by points generated via Poisson process. The neighborhood of a point plays an important role in spatial statistics problems. Here, we obtain analytically the distance statistics to $k$th…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-11 Cristiano Roberto Fabri Granzotti , Alexandre Souto Martinez

6D pose confidence region estimation has emerged as a critical direction, aiming to perform uncertainty quantification for assessing the reliability of estimated poses. However, current sampling-based approach suffers from critical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Jinghao Wang , Zhang Li , Zi Wang , Banglei Guan , Yang Shang , Qifeng Yu

We propose a new method called localized conformal prediction, where we can perform conformal inference using only a local region around a new test sample to construct its confidence interval. Localized conformal inference is a natural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-08 Leying Guan

Recently, direct data-driven prediction has found important applications for controlling unknown systems, particularly in predictive control. Such an approach provides exact prediction using behavioral system theory when noise-free data are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

A set of orthonormal polynomials is proposed for image reconstruction from projection data. The relationship between the projection moments and image moments is discussed in detail, and some interesting properties are demonstrated.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-03-14 Huazhong Shu , Jian Zhou , Guo-Niu Han , Limin M. Luo , Jean-Louis Coatrieux

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a distribution supported by the $k$-dimensional probability simplex in the setting where an $\varepsilon$ fraction of observations are subject to adversarial corruption. A simple particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Amir-Hossein Bateni , Arnak S. Dalalyan

In this article we present very intuitive, easy to follow, yet mathematically rigorous, approach to the so called data fitting process. Rather than minimizing the distance between measured and simulated data points, we prefer to find such…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-07 Marek W. Gutowski