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Statistical extreme value theory is concerned with the use of asymptotically motivated models to describe the extreme values of a process. A number of commonly used models are valid for observed data that exceed some high threshold.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-10 J. Lee , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

Many questions of fundamental interest in todays science can be formulated as inference problems: Some partial, or noisy, observations are performed over a set of variables and the goal is to recover, or infer, the values of the variables…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-24 Lenka Zdeborová , Florent Krzakala

The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the strong approximation of the $p$-fold integrated empirical process, $p$ being a fixed positive integer. More precisely, we obtain the exact rate of the approximations by a sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Sergio Alvarez-Andrade , Salim Bouzebda , Aimé Lachal

Given a matrix model, by combining the Schwinger-Dyson equations with positivity constraints on its solutions, in the large $N$ limit one is able to obtain explicit and numerical bounds on its moments. This technique is known as…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-02-27 Masoud Khalkhali , Nathan Pagliaroli , Andrei Parfeni , Brayden Smith

Using the newly proposed probability-changing cluster (PCC) Monte Carlo algorithm, we simulate the two-dimensional (2D) site-diluted Ising model. Since we can tune the critical point of each random sample automatically with the PCC…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Yusuke Tomita , Yutaka Okabe

We establish sharp non-asymptotic probabilistic bounds for the star discrepancy of double-infinite random matrices -- a canonical model for sequences of random point sets in high dimensions. By integrating the recently proved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Xiaoda Xu , Jun Xian

In probability theory and statistics, the IID model represents a single population, and a large, potentially infinite sample from this population. Main theorems, in particular the central limit theorem and laws of large number (LLN) assure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Uwe Saint-Mont

This paper is about models for a vector of probabilities whose elements must have a multiplicative structure and sum to 1 at the same time; in certain applications, as basket analysis, these models may be seen as a constrained version of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Antonio Forcina

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

This note presents sharp inequalities for deviation probability of a general quadratic form of a random vector \(\xiv\) with finite exponential moments. The obtained deviation bounds are similar to the case of a Gaussian random vector. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-08 Vladimir Spokoiny

We consider random rectangles in $\mathbb{R}^2$ that are distributed according to a Poisson random measure, i.e., independently and uniformly scattered in the plane. The distributions of the length and the width of the rectangles are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Frank Aurzada , Sebastian Schwinn

In this paper, we study fluctuations of conditionally centered statistics of the form $$N^{-1/2}\sum_{i=1}^N c_i(g(\sigma_i)-\mathbb{E}_N[g(\sigma_i)|\sigma_j,j\neq i])$$ where $(\sigma_1,\ldots ,\sigma_N)$ are sampled from a dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Nabarun Deb

The estimation of rare event or failure probabilities in high dimensions is of interest in many areas of science and technology. We consider problems where the rare event is expressed in terms of a computationally costly numerical model.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Felipe Uribe , Iason Papaioannou , Youssef M. Marzouk , Daniel Straub

Consider a sequence (indexed by n) of Markov chains Z^n in R^d characterized by transition kernels that approximately (in n) depend only on the rescaled state n^{-1} Z^n. Subject to a smoothness condition, such a family can be closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-17 Kamil Szczegot

Context: The huge and still rapidly growing amount of galaxies in modern sky surveys raises the need of an automated and objective classification method. Unsupervised learning algorithms are of particular interest, since they discover…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Rene Andrae , Peter Melchior , Matthias Bartelmann

A linear dispersive mechanism for error focusing in polychromatic solutions is identified. This local error pile-up corresponds to the existence of spurious caustics, which are allowed by the dispersive nature of the numerical error. From…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claire David , Pierre Sagaut , Tapan Sengupta

A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

Recent advances in statistical inference have significantly expanded the toolbox of probabilistic modeling. Historically, probabilistic modeling has been constrained to (i) very restricted model classes where exact or approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Andrés R. Masegosa , Rafael Cabañas , Helge Langseth , Thomas D. Nielsen , Antonio Salmerón

This paper considers limit theorems associated with subgraph counts in the age-dependent random connection model. First, we identify regimes where the count of sub-trees converges weakly to a stable random variable under suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Christian Hirsch , Takashi Owada

Recently, Brandt, Maus and Uitto [PODC'19] showed that, in a restricted setting, the dependency of the complexity of the distributed Lov\'asz Local Lemma (LLL) on the chosen LLL criterion exhibits a sharp threshold phenomenon: They proved…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Sebastian Brandt , Christoph Grunau , Václav Rozhoň