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Aims. We develop, test and characterise of a new statistical tool (intelligent system) for the sifting and analysis of nearby young open cluster (NYOC) populations. Methods. Using a Bayesian formalism, this statistical tool is able to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-19 J. Olivares , L. M. Sarro , E. Moraux , A. Berihuete , H. Bouy , S. Hernandéz-Jiménez , E. Bertin , P. A. B. Galli , N. Huelamo , J. Bouvier , D. Barrado

Undirected graphical models are widely used in statistics, physics and machine vision. However Bayesian parameter estimation for undirected models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior typically involves the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-03-19 Richard G. Everitt

So far, various techniques have been implemented for generating discrete distributions based on continuous distributions. The characteristics and properties of this kind of probability distributions have been studied. Furthermore, the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-05 Halaleh Kamari , Hossein Bevrani , Kaniav Kamary

Clustering of proteins is of interest in cancer cell biology. This article proposes a hierarchical Bayesian model for protein (variable) clustering hinging on correlation structure. Starting from a multivariate normal likelihood, we enforce…

Computation · Statistics 2022-02-09 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Arnab Kumar Maity , Mohsen Pourahmadi , Bani K. Mallick

Traditional Bayesian random partition models assume that the size of each cluster grows linearly with the number of data points. While this is appealing for some applications, this assumption is not appropriate for other tasks such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Brenda Betancourt , Giacomo Zanella , Rebecca C. Steorts

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

Many statistical models can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to infer properties of these models from data. Traditionally these methods approximate the posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-03 George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

Clustering is a powerful tool in data analysis, but it is often difficult to find a grouping that aligns with a user's needs. To address this, several methods incorporate constraints obtained from users into clustering algorithms, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-28 Sharad Vikram , Sanjoy Dasgupta

In many domains, we are interested in analyzing the structure of the underlying distribution, e.g., whether one variable is a direct parent of the other. Bayesian model-selection attempts to find the MAP model and use its structure to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Nir Friedman , Daphne Koller

We introduce a new method for learning Bayesian neural networks, treating them as a stack of multivariate Bayesian linear regression models. The main idea is to infer the layerwise posterior exactly if we know the target outputs of each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Richard Kurle , Alexej Klushyn , Ralf Herbrich

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for bi-variate data observed in time but with observation times which occur non-synchronously. In particular, this occurs in a wide variety of applications in finance, such as high-frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Amin Wu

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

Modern Bayesian inference involves a mixture of computational techniques for estimating, validating, and drawing conclusions from probabilistic models as part of principled workflows for data analysis. Typical problems in Bayesian workflows…

We present a new method aimed at improving the efficiency of component by component ionization modeling of intervening quasar absorption line systems. We carry out cloud-by-cloud, multiphase modeling making use of CLOUDY and Bayesian…

Estimating the entropy rate of discrete time series is a challenging problem with important applications in numerous areas including neuroscience, genomics, image processing and natural language processing. A number of approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Ioannis Papageorgiou , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Context. Stars form in dense, dusty clumps of molecular clouds, but little is known about their origin, their evolution and their detailed physical properties. In particular, the relationship between the mass distribution of these clumps…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2014-05-08 L. Olmi , D. Angles-Alcazar , D. Elia , S. Molinari , M. Pestalozzi , S. Pezzuto , E. Schisano , L. Testi , M. Thompson

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu

Bayesian approaches for learning deep neural networks (BNN) have been received much attention and successfully applied to various applications. Particularly, BNNs have the merit of having better generalization ability as well as better…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-25 Insung Kong , Dongyoon Yang , Jongjin Lee , Ilsang Ohn , Gyuseung Baek , Yongdai Kim

Cosmological inference becomes increasingly difficult when complex data-generating processes cannot be modeled by simple probability distributions. With the ever-increasing size of data sets in cosmology, there is increasing burden placed…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Anja Weyant , Chad Schafer , W. Michael Wood-Vasey

Prior information often takes the form of parameter constraints. Bayesian methods include such information through prior distributions having constrained support. By using posterior sampling algorithms, one can quantify uncertainty without…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Leo L Duan , Alexander L Young , Akihiko Nishimura , David B Dunson