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Multivariate meta-analysis is gaining prominence in evidence synthesis research because it enables simultaneous synthesis of multiple correlated outcome data, and random-effects models have generally been used for addressing between-studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Hisashi Noma , Kengo Nagashima , Toshi A. Furukawa

The current standard for confidence interval construction in the context of a possibly misspecified model is to use an interval based on the sandwich estimate of variance. These intervals provide asymptotically correct coverage, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 James W. Harmon , Peter D. Hoff

The recent decade has seen an enormous rise in the popularity of deep learning and neural networks. These algorithms have broken many previous records and achieved remarkable results. Their outstanding performance has significantly sped up…

In the era of big data, we first need to manage the data, which requires us to find missing data or predict the trend, so we need operations including interpolation and data fitting. Interpolation is a process to discover deducing new data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Yijie Xu , Runqi Xu

By combining a bound on the absolute value of the difference of mutual information between two joint probablity distributions with a fixed variational distance, and a bound on the probability of a maximal deviation in variational distance…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-29 A. G. Stefani , J. B. Huber , C. Jardin , H. Sticht

Evaluating treatment effect heterogeneity widely informs treatment decision making. At the moment, much emphasis is placed on the estimation of the conditional average treatment effect via flexible machine learning algorithms. While these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-07 Lihua Lei , Emmanuel J. Candès

We compute bias, variance, and approximate confidence intervals for the efficiency of a random selection process under various special conditions that occur in practical data analysis. We consider the following cases: a) the number of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Hans Dembinski , Michael Schmelling

We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. We are mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

In the domain of physics experiments, data fitting is a pivotal technique for extracting insights from both experimental and simulated datasets. This article presents an approximation method designed to estimate the systematic errors…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-02-29 Lu Li

Objective: This paper proposes a framework to support the scientific research of standards so that they can be better measured, evaluated, and designed. Methods: Beginning with the notion of common models, the framework describes the…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Enrico Coiera

The behaviors of various confidence/credible interval constructions are explored, particularly in the region of low statistics where methods diverge most. We highlight a number of challenges, such as the treatment of nuisance parameters,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-04 Steven D. Biller , Scott M. Oser

A prediction interval covers a future observation from a random process in repeated sampling, and is typically constructed by identifying a pivotal quantity that is also an ancillary statistic. Analogously, a tolerance interval covers a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Geoffrey S Johnson

Asymptotic equivalence results for nonparametric regression experiments have always assumed that the variances of the observations are known. In practice, however the variance of each observation is generally considered to be an unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Andrew V. Carter

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

Using theoretical and numerical results, we document the accuracy of commonly applied variational Bayes methods across a range of state space models. The results demonstrate that, in terms of accuracy on fixed parameters, there is a clear…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-25 David T. Frazier , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin

Difference-in-differences (DID) is one of the most popular tools used to evaluate causal effects of policy interventions. This paper extends the DID methodology to accommodate interval outcomes, which are often encountered in empirical…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-10 Daisuke Kurisu , Yuta Okamoto , Taisuke Otsu

Fitting high-dimensional statistical models often requires the use of non-linear parameter estimation procedures. As a consequence, it is generally impossible to obtain an exact characterization of the probability distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-03 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

The construction of numerical value scales (or priority values) is a recurrent topic in decision-aiding research. However, in real contexts, uncertainty and limited cognitive precision often lead decision-makers to provide interval…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Diego García-Zamora , José Rui Figueira

The uncertainty or the variability of the data may be treated by considering, rather than a single value for each data, the interval of values in which it may fall. This paper studies the derivation of basic description statistics for…

Computation · Statistics 2008-12-18 Marie Chavent , Jérôme Saracco

Bayesian inference is widely used in many different fields to test hypotheses against observations. In most such applications, an assumption is made of precise input values to produce a precise output value. However, this is unrealistic for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-12 John T. Rickard , William A. Dembski , James Rickards