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Related papers: Testing for jumps in a discretely observed process

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In this paper we consider two semimartingales driven by diffusions and jumps. We allow both for finite activity and for infinite activity jump components. Given discrete observations we disentangle the {\it integrated covariation} (the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Fabio Gobbi , Cecilia Mancini

We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

We investigate the utility in employing asymptotic results related to a clustering criterion to the problem of testing for the presence of jumps in financial models. We consider the Jump Diffusion model for option pricing and demonstrate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-08 Karthik Bharath , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Dipak. K. Dey

Pure-jump processes have been increasingly popular in modeling high-frequency financial data, partially due to their versatility and flexibility. In the meantime, several statistical tests have been proposed in the literature to check the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-03 Xin-Bing Kong , Zhi Liu , Bing-Yi Jing

We propose a nonparametric estimator of the jump activity index $\beta$ of a pure-jump semimartingale $X$ driven by a $\beta$-stable process when the underlying observations are coming from a high-frequency setting at irregular times. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-24 Adrian Theopold , Mathias Vetter

For $n$ equidistant observations of a L\'evy process at time distance $\Delta_n$ we consider the problem of testing hypotheses on the volatility, the jump measure and its Blumenthal-Getoor index in a non- or semiparametric manner.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Markus Reiß

A well-known It\^o formula for finite dimensional processes, given in terms of stochastic integrals with respect to Wiener processes and Poisson random measures, is revisited and is revised. The revised formula, which corresponds to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-30 István Gyöngy , Sizhou Wu

It is generally accepted that the asset price processes contain jumps. In fact, pure jump models have been widely used to model asset prices and/or stochastic volatilities. The question is: is there any statistical evidence from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-06 Bing-Yi Jing , Xin-Bing Kong , Zhi Liu

The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Mathias Vetter

This paper considers the problem of testing for the presence of a continuous part in a semimartingale sampled at high frequency. We provide two tests, one where the null hypothesis is that a continuous component is present, the other where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

We give a bare-hands approach to the martingale representation theorem for integer valued random measures, which allows for a wide class of infinite activity jump processes, as well as all processes with well-ordered jumps.

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Samuel N. Cohen

We consider the problem of detecting jumps in an otherwise smoothly evolving trend whilst the covariance and higher-order structures of the system can experience both smooth and abrupt changes over time. The number of jump points is allowed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

We derive a nonparametric estimator of the jump-activity index $\beta$ of a "locally-stable" pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingale from discrete observations of the process on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-19 Viktor Todorov

We propose methods to infer jumps of a semi-martingale, which describes long-term price dynamics, based on discrete, noisy, high-frequency observations. Different to the classical model of additive, centered market microstructure noise, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Alexander Ristig

The dynamics of the eigenvalues (semimartingales) of a L\'{e}vy process $X$ with values in Hermitian matrices is described in terms of It\^{o} stochastic differential equations with jumps. This generalizes the well known Dyson-Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Victor Pérez-Abreu , Alfonso Rocha-Arteaga

We provide verification theorems (at different levels of generality) for infinite horizon stochastic control problems in continuous time for semimartingales. The control framework is given as an abstract "martingale formulation", which…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Ma. Elena Hernández-Hernández , Saul Jacka , Aleksandar Mijatović

We provide a comprehensive analysis of spot volatility inference in pure-jump semimartingales under two asymptotic settings: fixed-$k$, where each local window uses a fixed number of observations, and large-$k$, where this number grows with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Chengxin Yan , Dachuan Chen , Jia Li

Asymptotic theory for approximate martingale estimating functions is generalised to diffusions with finite-activity jumps, when the sampling frequency and terminal sampling time go to infinity. Rate optimality and efficiency are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Nina Munkholt Jakobsen , Michael Sørensen

Standard methods for detecting discontinuities in conditional means are not applicable to outcomes that are complex, non-Euclidean objects like distributions, networks, or covariance matrices. This article develops a nonparametric test for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 David Van Dijcke