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The aim of this paper is to study the fluctuations of a general class of supercritical branching Markov processes with non-local branching mechanisms. We show the existence of three regimes according to the size of the spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

This work is a continuation of [7]. We consider a continuous-time birth-and-death process in which the transition rates have an asymptotical power-law dependence upon the position of the process. We establish rough exponential asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. A. Yambartsev

In this paper, we show that the likelihood-ratio measure (a) is invariant with respect to dominating sigma-finite measures, (b) satisfies logical consequences which are not satisfied by standard $p$-values, (c) respects frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Alexandre G. Patriota

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

Organisms adapt to fluctuating environments by regulating their dynamics, and by adjusting their phenotypes to environmental changes. We model population growth using multitype branching processes in random environments, where the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-08 Clément Dombry , Christian Mazza , Vincent Bansaye

If we follow an asexually reproducing population through time, then the amount of time that has passed since the most recent common ancestor (MRCA) of all current individuals lived will change as time progresses. The resulting "MRCA age"…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Steven N. Evans , Peter L. Ralph

Long-range dependent random fields with spectral densities which are unbounded at some frequencies are investigated. We demonstrate new examples of covariance functions which do not exhibit regular varying asymptotic behaviour at infinity.…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-15 Boris Klykavka , Andriy Olenko , Matthew Vicendese

Point processes are finding growing applications in numerous fields, such as neuroscience, high frequency finance and social media. So classic problems of classification and clustering are of increasing interest. However, analytic study of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Xinhui Rong , Victor Solo

We consider a critical continuous-time branching process (a Yule process) in which the individuals independently execute symmetric $\alpha-$stable random motions on the real line starting at their birth points. Because the branching process…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-16 Steven P. Lalley , Yuan Shao

We define a multi-type coalescent point process of a general branching process with finitely many types. This multi-type coalescent fully describes the genealogy of the (quasi-stationary) standing population, providing types along ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Lea Popovic , Mariolys Rivas

I introduce a generic method for inference on entire quantile and regression quantile processes in the presence of a finite number of large and arbitrarily heterogeneous clusters. The method asymptotically controls size by generating…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-16 Andreas Hagemann

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

Motivated as a null model for comparison with data, we study the following model for a phylogenetic tree on $n$ extant species. The origin of the clade is a random time in the past, whose (improper) distribution is uniform on $(0,\infty)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David J. Aldous , Lea Popovic

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

A theory of relative species abundance on sparsely-connected networks is presented by investigating the replicator dynamics with symmetric interactions. Sparseness of a network involves difficulty in analyzing the fixed points of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 Tomoyuki Obuchi , Yoshiyuki Kabashima , Kei Tokita

The controlled branching process is a generalization of the classical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson branching process. It is a useful model for describing the evolution of populations in which the population size at each generation needs to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-09 M. Gonzalez , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto

One of the fundamental questions of cultural evolutionary research is how individual-level processes scale up to generate population-level patterns. Previous studies in music have revealed that frequency-based bias (e.g. conformity and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-01 Mason Youngblood

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a supercritical controlled branching process consistently from a single observed trajectory of population size counts. Our goal is to establish which parameters can and cannot be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

By decomposing the random walk path, we construct a multitype branching process with immigration in random environment for corresponding random walk with bounded jumps in random environment. Then we give two applications of the branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-22 Wenming Hong , Huaming Wang

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is esablished. A set of combinations of expectation values whose value does not in general depend…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-10-05 Paolo Rossi