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The paper presents a new efficient and robust method for rare event probability estimation for computational models of an engineering product or a process returning categorical information only, for example, either success or failure. For…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Miroslav Vořechovský

We study discrete probabilistic programs with potentially unbounded looping behaviors over an infinite state space. We present, to the best of our knowledge, the first decidability result for the problem of determining whether such a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mingshuai Chen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Lutz Klinkenberg , Tobias Winkler

A perturbative renormalization group method is used to obtain steady-state density profiles of a particle non-conserving asymmetric simple exclusion process. This method allows us to obtain a globally valid solution for the density profile…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-05 Sutapa Mukherji

We demonstrate existence of a tile assembly system that self-assembles the statistically self-similar Sierpinski Triangle in the Winfree-Rothemund Tile Assembly Model. This appears to be the first paper that considers self-assembly of a…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2011-07-21 Aaron Sterling

We consider tilings of a rectangle which is n units wide and m units long by non-overlapping 1 X 1 squares and s X s squares. Bivariate generating functions are computed with the Transfer Matrix Method for moderately large but fixed widths…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Richard J. Mathar

In this note, we develop a novel algorithm for generating random numbers from a distribution with a probability density function proportional to $\sin^k(x)$, $x \in (0,\pi)$ and $k \geq 1$. Our algorithm is highly efficient and is based on…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-22 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

It is common to conduct causal inference in matched observational studies by proceeding as though treatment assignments within matched sets are assigned uniformly at random and using this distribution as the basis for inference. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Samuel D. Pimentel , Yaxuan Huang

Adaptive randomized pivoting (ARP) is a recently proposed and highly effective algorithm for column subset selection. This paper reinterprets the ARP algorithm by drawing connections to the volume sampling distribution and active learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-06 Ethan N. Epperly

Conventional wisdom holds that autoregressive models for image generation are typically accompanied by vector-quantized tokens. We observe that while a discrete-valued space can facilitate representing a categorical distribution, it is not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Tianhong Li , Yonglong Tian , He Li , Mingyang Deng , Kaiming He

For recursive circular filtering based on circular statistics, we introduce a general framework for estimation of a circular state based on different circular distributions, specifically the wrapped normal distribution and the von Mises…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-01 Gerhard Kurz , Igor Gilitschenski , Uwe D. Hanebeck

The aim of this paper is to present an elementary computable theory of random variables, based on the approach to probability via valuations. The theory is based on a type of lower-measurable sets, which are controlled limits of open sets,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Pieter Collins

The direct sampling method proposed by Walker et al. (JCGS 2011) can generate draws from weighted distributions possibly having intractable normalizing constants. The method may be of interest as a useful tool in situations which require…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-19 Andrew M. Raim

In this paper we explore the power of tile self-assembly models that extend the well-studied abstract Tile Assembly Model (aTAM) by permitting tiles of shapes beyond unit squares. Our main result shows the surprising fact that any aTAM…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-12-20 Erik D. Demaine , Martin L. Demaine , Sándor P. Fekete , Matthew J. Patitz , Robert T. Schweller , Andrew Winslow , Damien Woods

Let g : $\Omega$ = [0, 1] d $\rightarrow$ R denote a Lipschitz function that can be evaluated at each point, but at the price of a heavy computational time. Let X stand for a random variable with values in $\Omega$ such that one is able to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-29 Lucie Bernard , Albert Cohen , Arnaud Guyader , Florent Malrieu

Selective prediction, where a model has the option to abstain from making a decision, is crucial for machine learning applications in which mistakes are costly. In this work, we focus on distributional regression and introduce a framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Ahmed Zaoui , Clément Dombry

We consider the estimation of densities in multiple subpopulations, where the available sample size in each subpopulation greatly varies. This problem occurs in epidemiology, for example, where different diseases may share similar…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-15 Jiaming Qiu , Xiongtao Dai , Zhengyuan Zhu

We present an exact Bayesian inference method for discrete statistical models, which can find exact solutions to a large class of discrete inference problems, even with infinite support and continuous priors. To express such models, we…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Fabian Zaiser , Andrzej S. Murawski , Luke Ong

In this article we propose a method of performing arithmetic operations on varia-bles with unknown distribution. The approach to the evaluation results of arithme-tic operations can select probability intervals of the algebraic equations…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-12-11 V. N. Petrushin , E. V. Nikulchev , D. A. Korolev

When random effects are correlated with sample design variables, the usual approach of employing individual survey weights (constructed to be inversely proportional to the unit survey inclusion probabilities) to form a pseudo-likelihood no…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Terrance D. Savitsky , Matthew R. Williams

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani
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