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Datasets in the fields of climate and environment are often very large and irregularly spaced. To model such datasets, the widely used Gaussian process models in spatial statis- tics face tremendous challenges due to the prohibitive…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-31 Huang Huang , Ying Sun

The Brown-Resnick max-stable process has proven to be well-suited for modeling extremes of complex environmental processes, but in many applications its likelihood function is intractable and inference must be based on a composite…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-16 Emeric Thibaud , Juha Aalto , Daniel S. Cooley , Anthony C. Davison , Juha Heikkinen

Max-stable processes play an important role as models for spatial extreme events. Their complex structure as the pointwise maximum over an infinite number of random functions makes simulation highly nontrivial. Algorithms based on finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-16 Clément Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

Max-stable random fields play a central role in modeling extreme value phenomena. We obtain an explicit formula for the conditional probability in general max-linear models, which include a large class of max-stable random fields. As a…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-29 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev

Statistical modelling of spatial extreme events has gained increasing attention over the last few decades with max-stable processes, and more recently $r$-Pareto processes, becoming the reference tools for the statistical analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Peng Zhong , Scott A. Sisson , Boris Beranger

Composite likelihoods are increasingly used in applications where the full likelihood is analytically unknown or computationally prohibitive. Although the maximum composite likelihood estimator has frequentist properties akin to those of…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-08 Mathieu Ribatet , Daniel Cooley , Anthony C. Davison

Max-stable processes have been expanded to quantify extremal dependence in spatio-temporal data. Due to the interaction between space and time, spatio-temporal data are often complex to analyze. So, characterizing these dependencies is one…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Abdul-Fattah Abu-Awwad , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. For statistical inference it is often assumed that…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-25 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

Due to complex physical phenomena, the distribution of heavy rainfall events is difficult to model spatially. Physically based numerical models can often provide physically coherent spatial patterns, but may miss some important…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-13 Marco Oesting , Philippe Naveau

Predicting extreme events is important in many applications in risk analysis. The extreme-value theory suggests modelling extremes by max-stable distributions. The Bayesian approach provides a natural framework for statistical prediction.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Large-scale Gaussian process models are becoming increasingly important and widely used in many areas, such as, computer experiments, stochastic optimization via simulation, and machine learning using Gaussian processes. The standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Yongxiang Li , Qiang Zhou , Kwok Leung Tsui , Javier Cabrera

Being the max-analogue of $\alpha$-stable stochastic processes, max-stable processes form one of the fundamental classes of stochastic processes. With the arrival of sufficient computational capabilities, they have become a benchmark in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-18 Marco Oesting , Kirstin Strokorb

We proposed a semi-parametric estimation procedure in order to estimate the parameters of a max-mixture model and also of a max-stable model (inverse max-stable model) as an alternative to composite likelihood. A good estimation by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-06 M. Ahmed , V Maume-Deschamps , P. Ribereau , C. Vial

Statistical methods for inference on spatial extremes of large datasets are yet to be developed. Motivated by standard dimension reduction techniques used in spatial statistics, we propose an approach based on empirical basis functions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Samuel A. Morris , Brian J. Reich , Emeric Thibaud

Max-stable processes are increasingly widely used for modelling complex extreme events, but existing fitting methods are computationally demanding, limiting applications to a few dozen variables. $r$-Pareto processes are mathematically…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 Raphaël de Fondeville , Anthony C. Davison

This paper develops likelihood-based methods for estimation, inference, model selection, and forecasting of continuous-time integer-valued trawl processes. The full likelihood of integer-valued trawl processes is, in general, highly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Neil Shephard , Almut E. D. Veraart

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

Max-stable processes are a common choice for modelling spatial extreme data as they arise naturally as the infinite-dimensional generalisation of multivariate extreme value theory. Statistical inference for such models is complicated by the…

Max-stable processes are the most popular models for high-impact spatial extreme events, as they arise as the only possible limits of spatially-indexed block maxima. However, likelihood inference for such models suffers severely from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-14 Raphaël Huser , Michael L. Stein , Peng Zhong

Multivariate extreme-value analysis is concerned with the extremes in a multivariate random sample, that is, points of which at least some components have exceptionally large values. Mathematical theory suggests the use of max-stable models…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-03 Johan Segers