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The problem of multiple hypothesis testing with observation control is considered in both fixed sample size and sequential settings. In the fixed sample size setting, for binary hypothesis testing, the optimal exponent for the maximal error…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-05 Sirin Nitinawarat , George Atia , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Concentration inequalities, a major tool in probability theory, quantify how much a random variable deviates from a certain quantity. This paper proposes a systematic convex optimization approach to studying and generating concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Celine Moucer , Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

After an autoencoder (AE) has learnt to reconstruct one dataset, it might be expected that the likelihood on an out-of-distribution (OOD) input would be low. This has been studied as an approach to detect OOD inputs. Recent work showed this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Bang Xiang Yong , Tim Pearce , Alexandra Brintrup

Let $A_1, A_2, \ldots, A_n$ be events in a sample space. Given the probability of the intersection of each collection of up to $k+1$ of these events, what can we say about the probability that at least $r$ of the events occur? This question…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Ilan Adler , Richard M. Karp , Sheldon M. Ross

Suppose that X_1,X_2,...,X_n are independent and identically Bernoulli(theta) distributed. Also suppose that our aim is to find an exact confidence interval for theta that is the intersection of a 1-\alpha/2 upper confidence interval and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Paul Kabaila

We present a concentration result concerning random weighted projections in high dimensional spaces. As applications, we prove (1) New concentration inequalities for random quadratic forms; (2) The infinity norm of most unit eigenvectors of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-19 Van Vu , Ke Wang

Fix a base B and let zeta have the standard exponential distribution; the distribution of digits of zeta base B is known to be very close to Benford's Law. If there exists a C such that the distribution of digits of C times the elements of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-16 Steven J. Miller , Mark. J. Nigrini

Let $X_1,X_2, \ldots $ be independent random uniform points in a bounded domain $A \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ with smooth boundary. Define the coverage threshold $R_n$ to be the smallest $r$ such that $A$ is covered by the balls of radius $r$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-12 Mathew D. Penrose

We consider the Last-Success-Problem with $n$ independent Bernoulli random variables with parameters $p_i>0$. We improve the lower bound provided by F.T. Bruss for the probability of winning and provide an alternative proof to the one given…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-21 J. M. Grau Ribas

We investigate the relationship between the sizes of the sum and difference sets attached to a subset of {0,1,...,N}, chosen randomly according to a binomial model with parameter p(N), with N^{-1} = o(p(N)). We show that the random subset…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-15 Peter Hegarty , Steven J. Miller

Let $f$ be sampled uniformly at random from the set of degree $n$ polynomials whose coefficients lie in $\{ \pm 1\}$. A folklore conjecture, known to hold under GRH, states that the probability that $f$ is irreducible tends to $1$ as $n$…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Lior Bary-Soroker , David Hokken , Gady Kozma , Bjorn Poonen

Let $X_{nr}$ be the $r$th largest of a random sample of size $n$ from a distribution $F (x) = 1 - \sum_{i = 0}^\infty c_i x^{-\alpha - i \beta}$ for $\alpha > 0$ and $\beta > 0$. An inversion theorem is proved and used to derive an…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-26 Saralees Nadarajah , Christopher S. Withers

We consider the classical sequential binary hypothesis testing problem in which there are two hypotheses governed respectively by distributions $P_0$ and $P_1$ and we would like to decide which hypothesis is true using a sequential test. It…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

For an ergodic Brownian diffusion with invariant measure $\nu$, we consider a sequence of empirical distributions ($\nu$n) n$\ge$1 associated with an approximation scheme with decreasing time step ($\gamma$n) n$\ge$1 along an adapted…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 I Honoré

We consider the minimization over probability measures of the expected value of a random variable, regularized by relative entropy with respect to a given probability distribution. In the general setting we provide a complete…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Hilbert J. Kappen

We study n by n symmetric random matrices H, possibly discrete, with iid above-diagonal entries. We show that H is singular with probability at most exp(-n^c), and the spectral norm of the inverse of H is O(sqrt{n}). Furthermore, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Roman Vershynin

The classical sharp Hardy-Littlewood-Sobolev inequality states that, for $1<p, t<\infty$ and $0<\lambda=n-\alpha <n$ with $ 1/p +1 /t+ \lambda /n=2$, there is a best constant $N(n,\lambda,p)>0$, such that $$ |\int_{\mathbb{R}^n}…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-07-11 Jingbo Dou , Meijun Zhu

We study binary hypothesis testing for i.i.d. observations under a multiplicative context weight. For the optimal weighted total loss, defined as the sum of weighted type-I and type-II losses, we prove the logarithmic asymptotic $$ L_n^* =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Mark Kelbert , El'mira Yu. Kalimulina

The likelihood function is a fundamental component in Bayesian statistics. However, evaluating the likelihood of an observation is computationally intractable in many applications. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric approximation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Man-Chung Yue , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

Given positive integers $n$ and $m$, let $p_n(m)$ be the probability that a uniform random permutation of $[n]$ has order exactly $m$. We show that, as $n \to \infty$, the maximum of $p_n(m)$ over all $m$ is asymptotic to $1/n$, the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Adrian Beker