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Some classes of increment martingales, and the corresponding localized classes, are studied. An increment martingale is indexed by the real line and its increment processes are martingales. We focus primarily on the behavior as time goes to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Svend-Erik Graversen , Jan Pedersen

We generate the fractional Poisson process by subordinating the standard Poisson process to the inverse stable subordinator. Our analysis is based on application of the Laplace transform with respect to both arguments of the evolving…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-24 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

The asymptotic pseudo-trajectory approach to stochastic approximation of Benaim, Hofbauer and Sorin is extended for asynchronous stochastic approximations with a set-valued mean field. The asynchronicity of the process is incorporated into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-12-13 Steven Perkins , David S. Leslie

Using the concept of self-decomposable subordinators introduced in Gardini et al. [11], we build a new bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process that can capture stochastic delays. In addition, we also develop a novel path simulation scheme…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

Probabilistic inference provides a language for describing how organisms may learn from and adapt to their environment. The computations needed to implement probabilistic inference often require specific representations, akin to having the…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-28 Yarden Katz , Michael Springer , Walter Fontana

Instrumental variable methods are often used for parameter estimation in the presence of confounding. They can also be applied in stochastic processes. Instrumental variable analysis exploits moment equations to obtain estimators for causal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Søren Wengel Mogensen

An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

We consider a hidden Markov model, where the signal process, given by a diffusion, is only indirectly observed through some noisy measurements. The article develops a variational method for approximating the hidden states of the signal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Tobias Sutter , Arnab Ganguly , Heinz Koeppl

After collecting data from observations or experiments, the next step is to build an appropriate mathematical or stochastic model to describe the data so that further studies can be done with the help of the models. In this article, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-19 A. M. Mathai , H. J. Haubold

We consider simulation of spatially one-dimensional space-time fractional diffusion. Whereas in an earlier paper of ours we have developed the basic theory of what we call parametric subordination via three-fold splitting applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-01 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi

We propose a novel stochastic gradient descent method for solving linear least squares problems with partially observed data. Our method uses submatrices indexed by a randomly selected pair of row and column index sets to update the iterate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-10 Kui Du , Xiao-Hui Sun

A basic class of two-type continuous-state branching processes in varying environments are constructed by solving the backward equation determining the cumulant semigroup. The parameters of the process are allowed to be c\`adl\`ag in time…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-06 Zenghu Li , Junyan Zhang

The paper is devoted to a systematic study of the duality of processes in the sense that $E f(X_t^x,y)=E f (x, Y_t^y)$ for a certain $f$. This classical topic has well known applications in interacting particles, intertwining,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Vassili Kolokoltsov , RuiXin Lee

As Gaussian processes are used to answer increasingly complex questions, analytic solutions become scarcer and scarcer. Monte Carlo methods act as a convenient bridge for connecting intractable mathematical expressions with actionable…

We construct a pathwise calculus for functionals of integer-valued measures and use it to derive an martingale representation formula with respect to a large class of integer-valued random measures. Using these results, we extend the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Pierre M. Blacque-Florentin , Rama Cont

From a continuous-time long memory stochastic process, a discrete-time randomly sampled one is drawn. We investigate the second-order properties of this process and establish some time-and frequency-domain asymptotic results. We mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe , Caroline Robet

We are interested in the rate of convergence of a subordinate Markov process to its invariant measure. Given a subordinator and the corresponding Bernstein function (Laplace exponent) we characterize the convergence rate of the subordinate…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-01 Chang-Song Deng , René L. Schilling , Yan-Hong Song

We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav

The martingale comparison method is extended to derive comparison results for path-independent functions for general semimartingales. Our approach allows to dismiss with the Markovian assumption on one of the processes made in previous…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-28 Benedikt Köpfer , Ludger Rüschendorf

Monte Carlo sampling methods often suffer from long correlation times. Consequently, these methods must be run for many steps to generate an independent sample. In this paper a method is proposed to overcome this difficulty. The method…

Computation · Statistics 2007-09-13 Jonathan Weare