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We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression under L^\infty constraints on the linear combination. When the input distribution is known, there already exists…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-14 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

We consider the problem of robustly predicting as well as the best linear combination of $d$ given functions in least squares regression, and variants of this problem including constraints on the parameters of the linear combination. For…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-24 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

Empirically, the PAC-Bayesian analysis is known to produce tight risk bounds for practical machine learning algorithms. However, in its naive form, it can only deal with stochastic predictors while such predictors are rarely used and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-22 Kohei Miyaguchi

Variational approximation techniques and inference for stochastic models in machine learning has gained much attention the last years. Especially in the case of Gaussian Processes (GP) and their deep versions, Deep Gaussian Processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Roman Föll , Ingo Steinwart

We study the problem of aggregation under the squared loss in the model of regression with deterministic design. We obtain sharp PAC-Bayesian risk bounds for aggregates defined via exponential weights, under general assumptions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-25 Arnak Dalalyan , Alexandre Tsybakov

In a groundbreaking work, Schmidt-Hieber (2020) proved the minimax optimality of deep neural networks with ReLu activation for least-square regression estimation over a large class of functions defined by composition. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-12 Pierre Alquier , William Kengne

The topics dicussed in this paper take their origin inthe estimation of the Gram matrix of a random vector from a sample made of n independent copies. They comprise the estimation of the covariance matrix and the study of least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-17 Olivier Catoni

We present a new PAC-Bayesian generalization bound. Standard bounds contain a $\sqrt{L_n \cdot \KL/n}$ complexity term which dominates unless $L_n$, the empirical error of the learning algorithm's randomized predictions, vanishes. We manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Zakaria Mhammedi , Peter D. Grunwald , Benjamin Guedj

We exhibit a strong link between frequentist PAC-Bayesian risk bounds and the Bayesian marginal likelihood. That is, for the negative log-likelihood loss function, we show that the minimization of PAC-Bayesian generalization risk bounds…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-14 Pascal Germain , Francis Bach , Alexandre Lacoste , Simon Lacoste-Julien

We study the problem of predicting as well as the best linear predictor in a bounded Euclidean ball with respect to the squared loss. When only boundedness of the data generating distribution is assumed, we establish that the least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Tomas Vaškevičius , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

This paper is focused on dimension-free PAC-Bayesian bounds, under weak polynomial moment assumptions, allowing for heavy tailed sample distributions. It covers the estimation of the mean of a vector or a matrix, with applications to least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-03 Olivier Catoni , Ilaria Giulini

This paper studies the truncation method from Alquier [1] to derive high-probability PAC-Bayes bounds for unbounded losses with heavy tails. Assuming that the $p$-th moment is bounded, the resulting bounds interpolate between a slow rate $1…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-26 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Omar Rivasplata , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

PAC-Bayesian bounds have proven to be a valuable tool for deriving generalization bounds and for designing new learning algorithms in machine learning. However, it typically focus on providing generalization bounds with respect to a chosen…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 The Tien Mai

The problem of least squares regression of a $d$-dimensional unknown parameter is considered. A stochastic gradient descent based algorithm with weighted iterate-averaging that uses a single pass over the data is studied and its convergence…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-10 Kobi Cohen , Angelia Nedic , R. Srikant

In this paper, we improve the PAC-Bayesian error bound for linear regression derived in Germain et al. [10]. The improvements are twofold. First, the proposed error bound is tighter, and converges to the generalization loss with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Vera Shalaeva , Alireza Fakhrizadeh Esfahani , Pascal Germain , Mihaly Petreczky

Missing values arise in most real-world data sets due to the aggregation of multiple sources and intrinsically missing information (sensor failure, unanswered questions in surveys...). In fact, the very nature of missing values usually…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-04 Alexis Ayme , Claire Boyer , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Erwan Scornet

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have emerged as a powerful methodology with significant practical successes in fields such as computer vision and natural language processing. Recent works have demonstrated that sparsely connected DNNs with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-08 The Tien Mai

A new risk bound is presented for the problem of convex/concave function estimation, using the least squares estimator. The best known risk bound, as had appeared in \citet{GSvex}, scaled like $\log(en) n^{-4/5}$ under the mean squared…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-11 Sabyasachi Chatterjee

We focus on a stochastic learning model where the learner observes a finite set of training examples and the output of the learning process is a data-dependent distribution over a space of hypotheses. The learned data-dependent distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Omar Rivasplata , Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvari , John Shawe-Taylor

We apply the PAC-Bayes theory to the setting of learning-to-optimize. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first framework to learn optimization algorithms with provable generalization guarantees (PAC-bounds) and explicit trade-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Michael Sucker , Peter Ochs
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