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Inferring the causal structure of a system typically requires interventional data, rather than just observational data. Since interventional experiments can be costly, it is preferable to select interventions that yield the maximum amount…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Michele Zemplenyi , Jeffrey W. Miller

Causal effect estimation often succeeds cost-constrained sequential data collection. This work considers multivariate linear front-door models with arbitrary unobserved confounding on treatment and response. We optimize the experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Leopold Mareis , Mathias Drton

Linear regression models are among the models most used in practice, although the practitioners are often not sure whether their assumed linear regression model is at least approximately true. In such situations, only designs for which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wolfgang Bischoff , Frank Miller

Space-filling designs are crucial for efficient computer experiments, enabling accurate surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification in many scientific and engineering applications, such as digital twin systems and cyber-physical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Xinwei Deng , Lulu Kang , C. Devon Lin

Regression discontinuity design (RDD) is a quasi-experimental approach to study the causal effects of an intervention/treatment on later health outcomes. It exploits a continuously measured assignment variable with a clearly defined cut-off…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-28 Maja Popovic , Daniela Zugna , Lorenzo Richiardi

We consider repeated measurement designs when a residual or carry-over effect may be present in at most one later period. Since assuming an additive model may be unrealistic for some applications and leads to biased estimation of treatment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-20 R. A. Bailey , P. Druilhet

We consider an experiment with two qualitative factors at 2 levels each and a binary response, that follows a generalized linear model. In Mandal, Yang and Majumdar (2010) we obtained basic results and characterizations of locally D-optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 Jie Yang , Abhyuday Mandal , Dibyen Majumdar

We study random designs that minimize the asymptotic variance of a de-biased lasso estimator when a large pool of unlabeled data is available but measuring the corresponding responses is costly. The optimal sampling distribution arises as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Hamid Eftekhari , Moulinath Banerjee , Ya'acov Ritov

Modern computers enable methods for design optimization that account for uncertainty in the system---so-called optimization under uncertainty. We propose a metric for OUU that measures the distance between a designer-specified probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Pranay Seshadri , Paul Constantine , Gianluca Iaccarino , Geoffrey Parks

Exploration of structure-property relationships as a function of dopant concentration is commonly based on mean field theories for solid solutions. However, such theories that work well for semiconductors tend to fail in materials with…

Defining an effective way to design stable emulsions with limited resources is a challenge that every laboratory is facing at least once. Two ways of experiments have been trending as a cost-and-time-efficient method to explore factor…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-10-29 Natacha Guyader , Magalie Michiel , Vincent Cobut , Stephane Serfaty

Optimal experiment design for parameter estimation is a research topic that has been in the interest of various studies. A key problem in optimal input design is that the optimal input depends on some unknown system parameters that are to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-17 Lirong Huang , Håkan Hjalmarsson , László Gerencsér

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in generative modeling. Despite more stable training, the loss of diffusion models is not indicative of absolute data-fitting quality, since its optimal value is typically not zero but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Yixian Xu , Shengjie Luo , Liwei Wang , Di He , Chang Liu

This paper introduces a practical sampling method for training surrogate models in the context of uncertainty propagation. We propose a heuristic method to uniformly draw samples within highest density regions of the density given by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Jocelyn Minini , Micha Wasem

Sequential experimental design to discover interventions that achieve a desired outcome is a key problem in various domains including science, engineering and public policy. When the space of possible interventions is large, making an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Jiaqi Zhang , Louis Cammarata , Chandler Squires , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , Caroline Uhler

Determining the causal structure of a set of variables is critical for both scientific inquiry and decision-making. However, this is often challenging in practice due to limited interventional data. Given that randomized experiments are…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-28 Raj Agrawal , Chandler Squires , Karren Yang , Karthik Shanmugam , Caroline Uhler

Bayesian experimental design involves the optimal allocation of resources in an experiment, with the aim of optimising cost and performance. For implicit models, where the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael Gutmann

This paper considers the estimation of treatment effects in randomized experiments with complex experimental designs, including cases with interference between units. We develop a design-based estimation theory for arbitrary experimental…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-27 Haoge Chang

An approach to optimal actuator design based on shape and topology optimisation techniques is presented. For linear diffusion equations, two scenarios are considered. For the first one, best actuators are determined depending on a given…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Dante Kalise , Karl Kunisch , Kevin Sturm

The primary objective of phase I cancer clinical trials is to evaluate the safety of a new experimental treatment and to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). We show that the MTD estimation problem can be regarded as a level set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Keiichiro Seno , Kota Matsui , Shogo Iwazaki , Yu Inatsu , Shion Takeno , Shigeyuki Matsui