Related papers: Extremes of Levy processes with light tails
We present a tail inequality for suprema of empirical processes generated by variables with finite $\psi_\alpha$ norms and apply it to some geometrically ergodic Markov chains to derive similar estimates for empirical processes of such…
While effective concentration inequalities for suprema of empirical processes exist under boundedness or strict tail assumptions, no comparable results have been available under considerably weaker assumptions. In this paper, we derive…
We study rare events in the extreme value statistics of stochastic symmetric jump processes with power tails in the distributions of the jumps, using the big-jump principle. The principle states that in the presence of stochastic processes…
For a L\'evy process $X$ on a finite time interval consider the probability that it exceeds some fixed threshold $x>0$ while staying below $x$ at the points of a regular grid. We establish exact asymptotic behavior of this probability as…
We consider the optimal prediction problem of stopping a spectrally negative L\'evy process as close as possible to a given distance $b \geq 0$ from its ultimate supremum, under a squared error penalty function. Under some mild conditions,…
This paper studies the supremum of a chi-square process with trend over a threshold-dependent-time horizon. Under the assumption that the chi-square process is generated from a centered self-similar Gaussian process and the trend function…
Extreme events are by nature rare and difficult to predict, yet are often much more important than frequent, typical events. An interesting counterpoint to the prediction of such events is their retrodiction -- given a process in an outlier…
We provide short and simple proofs of the continuous time ballot theorem for processes with cyclically interchangeable increments and Kendall's identity for spectrally positive L\'evy processes. We obtain the later result as a direct…
We provide bounds on the tail probabilities for simple procedures that generate random samples _without replacement_, when the probabilities of being selected need not be equal.
This paper is concerned with asymptotic behavior (at zero and at infinity) of the favorite points of L\'evy processes. By exploring Molchan's idea for deriving lower tail probabilities of Gaussian processes with stationary increments, we…
In this paper we consider the semi-parametric estimation of extreme quantiles of a right heavy-tail model. We propose a new Log Probability Weighted Moment estimator for extreme quantiles, which is obtained from the estimators of the shape…
We consider a L\'evy process that starts from $x<0$ and conditioned on having a positive maximum. When Cram\'er's condition holds, we provide two weak limit theorems as $x\to -\infty$ for the law of the (two-sided) path shifted at the first…
In this paper, we study estimates on tail probabilities $\mathbb{P}(S_r \ge t)$ of several classes of subordinators under mild assumptions on the tail of its L\'evy measure. As an application of that result, we obtain two-sided estimates…
In this paper, we establish the precise asymptotic behaviors of the tail probability and the transition density of a large class of isotropic L\'evy processes when the scaling order is between 0 and 2 including 2. We also obtain the precise…
We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…
The present paper is an addendum to the paper ``L\'evy models amenable to efficient calculations", where we introduced a general class of Stieltjes-L\'evy processes (SL-processes) and signed SL processes defined in terms of certain…
We explore the statistical behavior of the order statistics of the flights of One-sided Levy Processes (OLPs). We begin with the study of the extreme flights of general OLPs,and then focus on the class of selfsimilar processes,investigating…
Let $Y$ be a spectrally positive L\'evy process with $E Y_1<0$, $C$ an independent subordinator with finite expectation, and $X=Y+C$. A curious distributional equality proved in Huzak et al., Ann. Appl. Probab. 14 (2004) 1278--1397, states…
We derive characteristic function identities for conditional distributions of an r-trimmed Levy process given its r largest jumps up to a designated time t. Assuming the underlying Levy process is in the domain of attraction of a stable…
In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of supercritical branching Markov processes $\{\mathbb{X}_t, t \ge0\}$ whose spatial motions are L\'evy processes with regularly varying tails. Recently, Ren et al. [Appl. Probab. 61…