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Although much political capital has been made regarding the war on terrorism, and while appropriations have gotten underway, there has been a dearth of deep work on counter-terrorism, and despite massive efforts by the federal government,…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-07-30 Philip V. Fellman , Mark Strathern

Quantities with right-skewed distributions are ubiquitous in complex social systems, including political conflict, economics and social networks, and these systems sometimes produce extremely large events. For instance, the 9/11 terrorist…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-01-09 Aaron Clauset , Ryan Woodard

Robustness is an important property of complex networks. Up to now, there are plentiful researches focusing on the network's robustness containing error and attack tolerance of network's connectivity and the shortest path. In this paper,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-01-15 Jie Cheng , Xiaojia Li , Zengru Di , Ying Fan

A predictive model of terrorist activity is developed by examining the daily number of terrorist attacks in Indonesia from 1994 through 2007. The dynamic model employs a shot noise process to explain the self-exciting nature of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-19 Michael D. Porter , Gentry White

We study the susceptible-infected model with power-law waiting time distributions $P(\tau)\sim \tau^{-\alpha}$, as a model of spreading dynamics under heterogeneous human activity patterns. We found that the average number of new infections…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-03-09 Byungjoon Min , K. -I. Goh , Alexei Vazquez

Adversarial attacks are widely used to identify model vulnerabilities; however, their validity as proxies for robustness to random perturbations remains debated. We ask whether an adversarial example provides a representative estimate of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Giulio Rossolini

We propose a generalized extreme shock model with a possibly increasing failure threshold. While standard models assume that the crucial threshold for the system may only decrease over time, because of weakening shocks and obsolescence, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Pasquale Cirillo , Jürg Hüsler

We consider the criticality for firing structures of a simplified integrate-and-fire neural model on the regular network, small-world network, and random networks. We simplify an integrate-and-fire model suggested by Levina, Herrmann and…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-05-19 Hyung Wooc Choi , Nam Jung , Jae Woo Lee

We investigate the behavior of extended urban traffic networks within the framework of percolation theory by using real and synthetic traffic data. Our main focus shifts from the statistical properties of the cluster size distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-21 Marco Cogoni , Giovanni Busonera

In the last 20 years, terrorism has led to hundreds of thousands of deaths and massive economic, political, and humanitarian crises in several regions of the world. Using real-world data on attacks occurred in Afghanistan and Iraq from 2001…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Gian Maria Campedelli , Mihovil Bartulovic , Kathleen M. Carley

Though many aggregation theories exist for physical, chemical and biological systems, they do not account for the significant heterogeneity found, for example, in populations of living objects. This is unfortunate since understanding how…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-01 Pedro D. Manrique , Minzhang Zheng , Zhenfeng Cao , Neil F. Johnson

We report a remarkable universality in the patterns of violence arising in three high-profile ongoing wars, and in global terrorism. Our results suggest that these quite different conflict arenas currently feature a common type of enemy,…

We revisit the number theoretic division model of self-organized criticality [Phys. Rev. Lett. 101, 158702 (2008)]. The model consists of a pool of $M-1$ ordered integers $\{2, 3, \cdots, M\}$, and the aim is to dynamically form a primitive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-10 Rahul Chhimpa , Avinash Chand Yadav

Preconception-free analyses of the inclusive invariant transverse-momentum distribution data taken from the measurements of Au+Au collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}=130$ GeV and $\sqrt{s_{NN}}=200$ GeV have been performed. It is observed that the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Meng Ta-chung , Liu Qin

Spatio-temporal hierarchical modeling is an extremely attractive way to model the spread of crime or terrorism data over a given region, especially when the observations are counts and must be modeled discretely. The spatio-temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-27 Nicholas J. Clark , Philip M. Dixon

Terrorism has become one of the most tedious problems to deal with and a prominent threat to mankind. To enhance counter-terrorism, several research works are developing efficient and precise systems, data mining is not an exception.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-22 Vivek Kumar , Manuel Mazzara , Maj. Gen. , Angelo Messina , JooYoung Lee

Although we have made progress in understanding disease spread in complex systems with non-Poissonian activity patterns, current models still fail to capture the full range of recovery time distributions. In this paper, we propose an…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Jiexi Tang , Yichao Yao , Meiling Xie , Minyu Feng

We propose a discrete model for how opinion about a given phenomenon, about which various groups of a population have different degrees of enthusiasm, such as fanaticism and extreme social and political positions, including terrorism, may…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Dietrich Stauffer , Muhammad Sahimi

The September 11 attack on the US has revealed an unprecedented terrorism worldwide range of destruction. Recently, it has been related to the percolation of worldwide spread passive supporters. This scheme puts the suppression of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Serge Galam , Alain Mauger

We introduce the generalized rumor spreading model and investigate some properties of this model on different complex social networks. Despite pervious rumor models that both the spreader-spreader ($SS$) and the spreader-stifler ($SR$)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-26 Yaghoob Naimi , Mohammad Naimi