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Consider $K$ processes, each generating a sequence of identical and independent random variables. The probability measures of these processes have random parameters that must be estimated. Specifically, they share a parameter $\theta$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Arpan Mukherjee , Ali Tajer , Pin-Yu Chen , Payel Das

Generating labeled training datasets has become a major bottleneck in Machine Learning (ML) pipelines. Active ML aims to address this issue by designing learning algorithms that automatically and adaptively select the most informative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Mina Karzand , Robert D. Nowak

Adjusting for covariates is a well established method to estimate the total causal effect of an exposure variable on an outcome of interest. Depending on the causal structure of the mechanism under study there may be different adjustment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

This paper investigates theoretical properties and efficient numerical algorithms for the so-called elastic-net regularization originating from statistics, which enforces simultaneously l^1 and l^2 regularization. The stability of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Bangti Jin , Dirk Lorenz , Stefan Schiffler

Standard (network) meta-analysis methods for medical test accuracy evaluation analyse the data separately for each test threshold - wasting data - unless every study reports all thresholds. Previously proposed "multiple threshold" models…

Linear causal models are important tools for modeling causal dependencies and yet in practice, only a subset of the variables can be observed. In this paper, we examine the parameter identifiability of these models by investigating whether…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Xinshuai Dong , Ignavier Ng , Biwei Huang , Yuewen Sun , Songyao Jin , Roberto Legaspi , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

We propose a general purpose active learning algorithm for structured prediction, gathering labeled data for training a model that outputs a set of related labels for an image or video. Active learning starts with a limited initial training…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-06-16 Mehran Khodabandeh , Zhiwei Deng , Mostafa S. Ibrahim , Shinichi Satoh , Greg Mori

We propose a technique for reformulation of state and parameter estimation problems as that of matching explicitly computable definite integrals with known kernels to data. The technique applies for a class of systems of nonlinear ordinary…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-09-11 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban

Offline policy evaluation (OPE) allows us to evaluate and estimate a new sequential decision-making policy's performance by leveraging historical interaction data collected from other policies. Evaluating a new policy online without a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Allen Nie , Yash Chandak , Christina J. Yuan , Anirudhan Badrinath , Yannis Flet-Berliac , Emma Brunskil

We present a practical and statistically consistent scheme for actively learning binary classifiers under general loss functions. Our algorithm uses importance weighting to correct sampling bias, and by controlling the variance, we are able…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-05-20 Alina Beygelzimer , Sanjoy Dasgupta , John Langford

We present a scheme for sequential decision making with a risk-sensitive objective and constraints in a dynamic environment. A neural network is trained as an approximator of the mapping from parameter space to space of risk and policy with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-10 Shuai Ma , Jia Yuan Yu , Ahmet Satir

In many industrial applications, obtaining labeled observations is not straightforward as it often requires the intervention of human experts or the use of expensive testing equipment. In these circumstances, active learning can be highly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-19 Davide Cacciarelli , Murat Kulahci , John Sølve Tyssedal

This paper presents a new parameter estimation algorithm for the adaptive control of a class of time-varying plants. The main feature of this algorithm is a matrix of time-varying learning rates, which enables parameter estimation error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Eugene Lavretsky , Michael A. Bolender

This paper considers the problem of variable selection allowing for parameter instability. It distinguishes between signal and pseudo-signal variables that are correlated with the target variable, and noise variables that are not, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-17 Alexander Chudik , M. Hashem Pesaran , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi

We investigate the use of the Multiple Optimised Parameter Estimation and Data compression algorithm (MOPED) for data compression and faster evaluation of likelihood functions. Since MOPED only guarantees maintaining the Fisher matrix of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-17 Philip Graff , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby

The paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of plans in the presence of unmeasured variables, each plan consisting of several concurrent or sequential actions. We establish a graphical criterion for recognizing when the effects of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Judea Pearl , James M. Robins

Longitudinal and time-to-event data are often analyzed in biomarker research to study the association between the longitudinal biomarker measurements and the event-time outcome, in which the longitudinal information contributes to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Minzee Kim , Joel A. Dubin

We consider the problem of reconstructing the state of a network of nonlinear dynamical systems in the presence of directed higher-order interactions. Grounded on analytical convergence results, we propose an algorithmic observer design…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Roberto Rizzello , Davide Salzano , Stefano Boccaletti , Pietro De Lellis

Objective: Accurate probability estimates are essential for the safe deployment of medical image segmentation models in clinical decision-making. However, modern deep segmentation networks are often poorly calibrated, a problem exacerbated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Meritxell Riera-Marín , Javier García López , Júlia Rodríguez-Comas , Miguel A. González Ballester , Adrian Galdran

In social sciences, studies are often based on questionnaires asking participants to express ordered responses several times over a study period. We present a model-based clustering algorithm for such longitudinal ordinal data. Assuming…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Francesco Amato , Julien Jacques , Isabelle Prim-Allaz