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We consider the paths of a Gaussian random process $x(t)$, $x(0)=0$ not exceeding a fixed positive level over a large time interval $(0,T)$, $T\gg 1$. The probability $p(T)$ of such event is frequently a regularly varying function at…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 G. Molchan , A. Khokhlov

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation problem for reflected OU processes. Both the estimates based on continuously observed processes and discretely observed processes are considered. The explicit formulas for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

We develop an operator-theoretic formulation of stochastic calculus for fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H in (0, 1/2). The approach is based on adjointness between stochastic integration and differentiation in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Ramiro Fontes

We derive estimates for the solutions to differential equations driven by a H\"older continuous function of order $\beta>1/2$. As an application we deduce the existence of moments for the solutions to stochastic partial differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yaozhong Hu David Nualart

Strongly consistent and asymptotic normal estimators of the Hurst index of a stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion are proposed. The estimators are based on discrete observations of the underlying process.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 K. Kubilius , V. Skorniakov , D. Melichov

Interesting data on $dN_{\rm ch}/d\eta$ in Au-Au collisions ($\eta=-\ln \tan (\theta/2)$) with the centrality cuts have been reported by BRAHMS Collaboration. Using the total multiplicity $N_{\rm ch} = \int (dN_{\rm ch}/d\eta)d\eta$, we…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Ide , M. Biyajima , T. Mizoguchi

We construct an estimator of the unknown drift parameter $\theta\in {\mathbb{R}}$ in the linear model \[X_t=\theta t+\sigma_1B^{H_1}(t)+\sigma_2B^{H_2}(t),\;t\in[0,T],\] where $B^{H_1}$ and $B^{H_2}$ are two independent fractional Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Yuliya Mishura , Ivan Voronov

We study the joint asymptotic distribution of the least squares estimator of the parameter $(\theta,\,\mu)$ for the non-ergodic Vasicek models driven by seven specific Gaussian processes. %The similar result concerning to the non-ergodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Yong Chen , Wu-Jun Gao , Ying Li

This paper studies the existence and uniqueness of solution of It\^o type stochastic differential equation $dx(t)=b(t, x(t), \om)dt+\si(t,x(t), \om) d B(t)$, where $B(t)$ is a fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H>1/2$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Yaozhong Hu

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

We combine the rough path theory and stochastic backward error analysis to develop a new framework for error analysis on numerical schemes. Based on our approach, we prove that the almost sure convergence rate of the modified Milstein…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-23 Chuying Huang

We simultaneously estimate the four parameters of a subcritical Heston process. We do not restrict ourself to the case where the stochastic volatility process never reaches zero. In order to avoid the use of unmanageable stopping times and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Marie du Roy de Chaumaray

For equidistant discretizations of fractional Brownian motion (fBm), the probabilities of ordinal patterns of order d=2 are monotonically related to the Hurst parameter H. By plugging the sample relative frequency of those patterns…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-11 Mathieu Sinn , Karsten Keller

A scalar Langevin-type process $X(t)$ that is driven by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck noise $\eta(t)$ is non-Markovian. However, the joint dynamics of $X$ and $\eta$ is described by a Markov process in two dimensions. But even though there exists a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-17 B. Lehle , J. Peinke

In this article we investigate the controllability for neutral stochastic functional integro-differential equations with finite delay, driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter lesser than $1/2$ in a Hilbert space. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-26 Brahim Boufoussi , Soufiane Mouchtabih

We analyse a class of estimators of the generalized diffusion coefficient for fractional Brownian motion $B_t$ of known Hurst index $H$, based on weighted functionals of the single time square displacement. We show that for a certain choice…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Denis Boyer , David S. Dean , Carlos Mejia-Monasterio , Gleb Oshanin

This paper developed an inference problem for Vasicek model driven by a general Gaussian process. We construct a least squares estimator and a moment estimator for the drift parameters of the Vasicek model, and we prove the consistency and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Xingzhi Pei

Let $Z:=\{Z_t,t\geq0\}$ be a stationary Gaussian process. We study two estimators of $\mathbb{E}[Z_0^2]$, namely $\widehat{f}_T(Z):= \frac{1}{T} \int_{0}^{T} Z_{t}^{2}dt$, and $\widetilde{f}_n(Z) :=\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i =1}^{n}…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Soukaina Douissi , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , George Kerchev , Ivan Nourdin

We examine a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process that perturbs an unknown Lipschitz-continuous drift and aim to estimate the drift's value at a predetermined time horizon by sampling the path of the process. Due to the time varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria , Berk Tan Perçin

Let $B=\{(B_{t}^{1},..., B_{t}^{d}), t\geq 0\}$ be a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H$ and let $R_{t}=% \sqrt{(B_{t}^{1})^{2}+... +(B_{t}^{d})^{2}}$ be the fractional Bessel process. It\^{o}'s formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart