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Time series forecasting presents significant challenges in real-world applications across various domains. Building upon the decomposition of the time series, we enhance the architecture of machine learning models for better multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Sanjeev Panta , Xu Yuan , Li Chen , Nian-Feng Tzeng

We propose a novel approach for density estimation called histogram trend filtering. Our estimator arises from looking at surrogate Poisson model for counts of observations in a partition of the support of the data. We begin by showing…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-09 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

This paper proposes a new methodology to predict and update the residual useful lifetime of a system using a sequence of degradation images. The methodology integrates tensor linear algebra with traditional location-scale regression widely…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-13 Xiaolei Fang , Kamran Paynabar , Nagi Gebraeel

In this paper, we develop {finite-time horizon} causal filters using the nonanticipative rate distortion theory. We apply the {developed} theory to {design optimal filters for} time-varying multidimensional Gauss-Markov processes, subject…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-13 Photios A. Stavrou , Themistoklis Charalambous , Charalambos D. Charalambous , Sergey Loyka

Time series data are often obtained only within a limited time range due to interruptions during observation process. To classify such partial time series, we need to account for 1) the variable-length data drawn from 2) different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Azusa Sawada , Taiki Miyagawa , Akinori F. Ebihara , Shoji Yachida , Toshinori Hosoi

In recent years, specific evaluation metrics for time series anomaly detection algorithms have been developed to handle the limitations of the classical precision and recall. However, such metrics are heuristically built as an aggregate of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Alexis Huet , Jose Manuel Navarro , Dario Rossi

We provide a continuous time limit analysis for the class of Ensemble Square Root Filter algorithms with deterministic model perturbations. In the particular linear case, we specify general conditions on the model perturbations implying…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Temporal networks model a variety of important phenomena involving timed interactions between entities. Existing methods for machine learning on temporal networks generally exhibit at least one of two limitations. First, time is assumed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Sudhanshu Chanpuriya , Ryan A. Rossi , Sungchul Kim , Tong Yu , Jane Hoffswell , Nedim Lipka , Shunan Guo , Cameron Musco

We consider the online sparse linear regression problem, which is the problem of sequentially making predictions observing only a limited number of features in each round, to minimize regret with respect to the best sparse linear regressor,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Dean Foster , Satyen Kale , Howard Karloff

This paper presents an adaptive causal discrete-time filter for derivative estimation, exemplified by its use in estimating relative velocity in a mechatronic application. The filter is based on a constrained least squares estimator with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Alexey Pavlov , Michael Ruderman

In this paper, we study the problem of online sparse linear regression (OSLR) where the algorithms are restricted to accessing only $k$ out of $d$ attributes per instance for prediction, which was proved to be NP-hard. Previous work gave…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Junfan Li , Shizhong Liao , Zenglin Xu , Liqiang Nie

Under a standard assumption in complexity theory (NP not in P/poly), we demonstrate a gap between the minimax prediction risk for sparse linear regression that can be achieved by polynomial-time algorithms, and that achieved by optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-22 Yuchen Zhang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

This paper considers the problem of frequency estimation for a multi-sinusoidal signal consisting of n sinuses in finite-time. The parameterization approach based on applying delay operators to a measurable signal is used. The result is the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-15 Anastasiia Vediakova , Alexey Vedyakov , Anton Pyrkin , Alexey Bobtsov , Vladislav Gromov

This work extends local linear regression to Banach space-valued time series for estimating smoothly varying means and their derivatives in non-stationary data. The asymptotic properties of both the standard and bias-reduced Jackknife…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Florian Heinrichs

Many data-fitting applications require the solution of an optimization problem involving a sum of large number of functions of high dimensional parameter. Here, we consider the problem of minimizing a sum of $n$ functions over a convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-29 Farbod Roosta-Khorasani , Michael W. Mahoney

We study the statistical-computational trade-offs for learning with exact invariances (or symmetries) using kernel regression. Traditional methods, such as data augmentation, group averaging, canonicalization, and frame-averaging, either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Ashkan Soleymani , Behrooz Tahmasebi , Stefanie Jegelka , Patrick Jaillet

Bayesian online algorithms for Sum-Product Networks (SPNs) need to update their posterior distribution after seeing one single additional instance. To do so, they must compute moments of the model parameters under this distribution. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Han Zhao , Geoff Gordon

Model selection requires repeatedly evaluating models on a given dataset and measuring their relative performances. In modern applications of machine learning, the models being considered are increasingly more expensive to evaluate and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Anant Raj , Cameron Musco , Lester Mackey , Nicolo Fusi

We introduce a fast iterative non-local shrinkage algorithm to recover MRI data from undersampled Fourier measurements. This approach is enabled by the reformulation of current non-local schemes as an alternating algorithm to minimize a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-05-22 Yasir Q. Moshin , Greg Ongie , Mathews Jacob