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Prediction polling is an increasingly popular form of crowdsourcing in which multiple participants estimate the probability or magnitude of some future event. These estimates are then aggregated into a single forecast. Historically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-25 Ville A. Satopää , Shane T. Jensen , Robin Pemantle , Lyle H. Ungar

We present a new model that describes the process of electing a group of representatives (e.g., a parliament) for a group of voters. In this model, called the voting committee model, the elected group of representatives runs a number of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-11-22 Piotr Skowron

Dirichlet Process Mixture (DPM) models have been increasingly employed to specify random partition models that take into account possible patterns within the covariates. Furthermore, to deal with large numbers of covariates, methods for…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-01 William Barcella , Maria De Iorio , Gianluca Baio

For several years, model-based clustering methods have successfully tackled many of the challenges presented by data-analysts. However, as the scope of data analysis has evolved, some problems may be beyond the standard mixture model…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-31 Arthur White , Thomas Brendan Murphy

We propose a new Ising-PageRank model of opinion formation on a social network by introducing an Ising- or spin-like structure of the corresponding Google matrix. Each elector or node of the network has two components corresponding to a red…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-18 Klaus M. Frahm , Dima L. Shepelyansky

The objective of an expert recommendation system is to trace a set of candidates' expertise and preferences, recognize their expertise patterns, and identify experts. In this paper, we introduce a multimodal classification approach for…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-08-25 N. Nikzad-Khasmakhi , M. A. Balafar , M. Reza Feizi-Derakhshi , Cina Motamed

The paper considers a general model of electoral systems combining district-based elections with a compensatory mechanism in order to create any outcome between strictly majoritarian and purely proportional seat allocation. It contains vote…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-27 László Csató

When selecting multiple candidates based on approval preferences of agents, the proportional representation of agents' opinions is an important and well-studied desideratum. Existing criteria for evaluating the representativeness of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Markus Brill , Jonas Israel , Evi Micha , Jannik Peters

The classical mixture of linear experts (MoE) model is one of the widespread statistical frameworks for modeling, classification, and clustering of data. Built on the normality assumption of the error terms for mathematical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-15 Elham Mirfarah , Mehrdad Naderi , Ding-Geng Chen

Voter control problems model situations such as an external agent trying to affect the result of an election by adding voters, for example by convincing some voters to vote who would otherwise not attend the election. Traditionally, voters…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2014-06-27 Laurent Bulteau , Jiehua Chen , Piotr Faliszewski , Rolf Niedermeier , Nimrod Talmon

Collective decision-making is a process by which a group of individuals determines a shared outcome that shapes societal dynamics; from innovation diffusion to organizational choices. A common approach to model these processes is using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-03 Maciej Doniec , Pratik Mullick , Parongama Sen , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

A mixture of common skew-t factor analyzers model is introduced for model-based clustering of high-dimensional data. By assuming common component factor loadings, this model allows clustering to be performed in the presence of a large…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-05 Paula M. Murray , Paul D. McNicholas , Ryan P. Browne

In a wide variety of situations, anomalies in the behaviour of a complex system, whose health is monitored through the observation of a random vector X = (X1,. .. , X d) valued in R d , correspond to the simultaneous occurrence of extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-18 Maël Chiapino , Stéphan Clémençon , Vincent Feuillard , Anne Sabourin

A voting center is in charge of collecting and aggregating voter preferences. In an iterative process, the center sends comparison queries to voters, requesting them to submit their preference between two items. Voters might discuss the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Lihi Dery , Svetlana Obraztsova , Zinovi Rabinovich , Meir Kalech

Mixture models provide a flexible representation of heterogeneity in a finite number of latent classes. From the Bayesian point of view, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods provide a way to draw inferences from these models. In particular,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-06 Carolina Valani Cavalcante , Kelly Cristina Mota Gonçalves

In this paper we examine a variant of the voter model on a dynamically changing network where agents have the option of changing their friends rather than changing their opinions. We analyse, in the context of dense random graphs, two…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Riddhipratim Basu , Allan Sly

Clustering multivariate data is a pervasive task in many applied problems, particularly in social studies and life science. Model-based approaches to clustering rely on mixture models, where each mixture component corresponds to the kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Laura Ferrini , Federico Castelletti

Voter demographics and socio-economic factors like age, sex, ethnicity, education level, income, and other measurable factors like behaviour in previous elections or referenda are of key importance in modelling opinion formation dynamics.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-04 Bertram Düring , Oliver Wright

In approval-based multiwinner voting, voters express approval preferences over a set of candidates, and the goal is to return a winning committee. This model captures a broad range of subset selection problems under preferences. Prior work…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Niclas Boehmer , Luca Kreisel , Jannik Peters

Massive informations about individual (household, small and medium enterprise) consumption are now provided with new metering technologies and the smart grid. Two major exploitations of these data are load profiling and forecasting at…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-02 Emilie Devijver , Yannig Goude , Jean-Michel Poggi
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