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Mixtures of experts models provide a framework in which covariates may be included in mixture models. This is achieved by modelling the parameters of the mixture model as functions of the concomitant covariates. Given their mixture model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-22 Isobel Claire Gormley , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter

Brexit and its implications are an ongoing topic of interest since the Brexit referendum in 2016. In 2019 the House of commons held a number of "indicative" and "meaningful" votes as part of the Brexit approval process. The voting behaviour…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Marco Berrettini , Giuliano Galimberti , Saverio Ranciati , Thomas Brendan Murphy

Understanding political phenomena requires measuring the political preferences of society. We introduce a model based on mixtures of spatial voting models that infers the underlying distribution of political preferences of voters with only…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-10-27 Alison Nahm , Alex Pentland , Peter Krafft

In this article, we consider modeling ranked responses from a heterogeneous population. Specifically, we analyze data from the Eurobarometer 34.1 survey regarding public policy preferences towards drugs, alcohol and AIDS. Such policy…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-27 Y. Samuel Wang , Ross Matsueda , Elena A. Erosheva

The estimation of voting blocs is an important statistical inquiry in political science. However, the scope of these analyses is usually restricted to roll call data where individual votes are directly observed. Here, we examine a Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-09 John D. O'Brien

Understanding consumer choice is fundamental to marketing and management research, as firms increasingly seek to personalize offerings and optimize customer engagement. Traditional choice modeling frameworks, such as multinomial logit (MNL)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Diego Vallarino

Mixture models are probabilistic models aimed at uncovering and representing latent subgroups within a population. In the realm of network data analysis, the latent subgroups of nodes are typically identified by their connectivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-27 Giacomo De Nicola , Benjamin Sischka , Göran Kauermann

Social network analysis is the study of how links between a set of actors are formed. Typically, it is believed that links are formed in a structured manner, which may be due to, for example, political or material incentives, and which…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-17 Arthur White , Thomas Brendan Murphy

A mixture of experts models the conditional density of a response variable using a mixture of regression models with covariate-dependent mixture weights. We extend the finite mixture of experts model by allowing the parameters in both the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-14 Parfait Munezero , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

The voter model consists of a set of agents whose opinion is a binary variable. At each time step, an agent along with a social neighbor is selected and the agent imitates the social neighbor at the next time step. In this paper, we study a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Hsin-Lun Li

The voter model is a simple agent-based model to mimic opinion dynamics in social networks: a randomly chosen agent adopts the opinion of a randomly chosen neighbour. This process is repeated until a consensus emerges. Although the basic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-06 Michael T. Gastner , Beáta Oborny , Máté Gulyás

In general insurance, risks from different categories are often modeled independently and their sum is regarded as the total risk the insurer takes on in exchange for a premium. The dependence from multiple risks is generally neglected even…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-10 Sen Hu , T Brendan Murphy , Adrian O'Hagan

Multi-winner voting is the process of selecting a fixed-size set of representative candidates based on voters' preferences. It occurs in applications ranging from politics (parliamentary elections) to the design of modern computer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Martin Lackner , Piotr Skowron

Opinion diffusion is a crucial phenomenon in social networks, often underlying the way in which a collective of agents develops a consensus on relevant decisions. The voter model is a well-known theoretical model to study opinion spreading…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Luca Becchetti , Vincenzo Bonifaci , Emilio Cruciani , Francesco Pasquale

Mixture model-based clustering has become an increasingly popular data analysis technique since its introduction over fifty years ago, and is now commonly utilized within a family setting. Families of mixture models arise when the component…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Sanjeena Subedi , Paul D. McNicholas

Researchers are usually interested in examining the impact of covariates when separating heterogeneous samples into latent classes that are more homogeneous. The majority of theoretical and empirical studies with such aims have focused on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-10 Jin Liu , Robert A. Perera

Numerous models in opinion dynamics focus on the temporal dynamics within a single electoral unit (e.g., country). The empirical observations, on the other hand, are often made across multiple electoral units (e.g., polling stations) at a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-11 Aleksejus Kononovicius

In some contexts, mixture models can fit certain variables well at the expense of others in ways beyond the analyst's control. For example, when the data include some variables with non-trivial amounts of missing values, the mixture model…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-06 Maria DeYoreo , Jerome P. Reiter , D. Sunshine Hillygus

With ever-increasing amounts of online information available, modeling and predicting individual preferences-for books or articles, for example-is becoming more and more important. Good predictions enable us to improve advice to users, and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-02-06 Antonia Godoy-Lorite , Roger Guimera , Cristopher Moore , Marta Sales-Pardo

The outcomes of democratic elections rest on individuals' decision-making that is driven by their varying preferences and beliefs. Individuals may prefer consensus to gridlock, or gridlock to consensus, and information may be fractured via…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-29 Jonathan Engle , Bryce Morsky
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