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We provide a framework for assessing the default nature of a prior distribution using the property of regular variation, which we study for global-local shrinkage priors. In particular, we demonstrate the horseshoe priors, originally…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-17 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Brandon T. Willard

This is a follow-up paper of Polson and Scott (2012, Bayesian Analysis), which claimed that the half-Cauchy prior is a sensible default prior for a scale parameter in hierarchical models. For estimation of a p-variate normal mean under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Yuzo Maruyama , Takeru Matsuda

We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

We explore the estimation of generalized additive models using basis expansion in conjunction with Bayesian model selection. Although Bayesian model selection is useful for regression splines, it has traditionally been applied mainly to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-02 Gyeonghun Kang , Seonghyun Jeong

We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric classification model that combines a Gaussian process prior for the latent function with a Dirichlet process prior for the link function, extending the interpretative framework of de Finetti…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Marcio Alves Diniz

This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison

For dimension reduction in $l_1$, the method of {\em Cauchy random projections} multiplies the original data matrix $\mathbf{A} \in\mathbb{R}^{n\times D}$ with a random matrix $\mathbf{R} \in \mathbb{R}^{D\times k}$ ($k\ll\min(n,D)$) whose…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ping Li , Trevor J. Hastie , Kenneth W. Church

We consider a new learning model in which a joint distribution over vector pairs $(x,y)$ is determined by an unknown function $c(x)$ that maps input vectors $x$ not to individual outputs, but to entire {\em distributions\/} over output…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-06-12 Michael Kearns , Zhiwei Steven Wu

We propose a class of structured diffusion models, in which the prior distribution is chosen as a mixture of Gaussians, rather than a standard Gaussian distribution. The specific mixed Gaussian distribution, as prior, can be chosen to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Nanshan Jia , Tingyu Zhu , Haoyu Liu , Zeyu Zheng

We develop a fully Bayesian, logistic tracking algorithm with the purpose of providing classification results that are unbiased when applied uniformly to individuals with differing sensitive variable values. Here, we consider bias in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-02 Martin B. Short , George O. Mohler

The nonparametric regression model with normal errors has been extensively studied, both from the frequentist and Bayesian viewpoint. A central result in Bayesian nonparametrics is that under assumptions on the prior, the data-generating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Paul Rosa

Distributionally balanced sampling designs are low-discrepancy probability designs obtained by minimizing the expected discrepancy between the auxiliary-variable distribution of a random sample and the target population distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Anton Grafström , Wilmer Prentius

Biased sampling designs can be highly efficient when studying rare (binary) or low variability (continuous) endpoints. We consider longitudinal data settings in which the probability of being sampled depends on a repeatedly measured…

The predictive quality of machine learning models is typically measured in terms of their (approximate) expected prediction accuracy or the so-called Area Under the Curve (AUC). Minimizing the reciprocals of these measures are the goals of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-04 Hiva Ghanbari , Minhan Li , Katya Scheinberg

Bayesian hierarchical models are commonly employed for inference in count datasets, as they account for multiple levels of variation by incorporating prior distributions for parameters at different levels. Examples include Beta-Binomial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Yuexi Wang , Nicholas G. Polson

We offer a general Bayes theoretic framework to derive posterior contraction rates under a hierarchical prior design: the first-step prior serves to assess the model selection uncertainty, and the second-step prior quantifies the prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Qiyang Han

Zero-shot learning methods typically assume that the new, unseen classes encountered during deployment come from the same distribution as the the classes in the training set. However, real-world scenarios often involve class distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Yuli Slavutsky , Yuval Benjamini

Generalized linear models are a popular tool in applied statistics, with their maximum likelihood estimators enjoying asymptotic Gaussianity and efficiency. As all models are wrong, it is desirable to understand these estimators' behaviours…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Elliot H. Young , Rajen D. Shah

This paper considers a Bayesian approach for inclusion detection in nonlinear inverse problems using two known and popular push-forward prior distributions: the star-shaped and level set prior distributions. We analyze the convergence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Babak Maboudi Afkham , Kim Knudsen , Aksel Kaastrup Rasmussen , Tanja Tarvainen

Standard nonlinear regression is commonly used when modeling indifference points due to its ability to closely follow observed data, resulting in a good model fit. However, standard nonlinear regression currently lacks a reasonable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Mingang Kim , Mikhail N. Koffarnus , Christopher T Franck