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Extinction of a long-lived isolated stochastic population can be described as an exponentially slow decay of quasi-stationary probability distribution of the population size. We address extinction of a population in a two-population system…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Michael Khasin , Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

The two-species population dynamics model is the simplest paradigm of interspecies interaction. Here, we include intraspecific competition to the Lotka-Volterra model and solve it analytically. Despite being simple and thoroughly studied,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Brenno Caetano Troca Cabella , Alexandre Souto Martinez , Fabiano Ribeiro

We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics for an asexually reproducing population with mutation, with linear birth and death rates, as well as a density-dependent competition. To depict repeating changes of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

We consider a spatial stochastic model for a pathogen population growing inside a host that attempts to eliminate the pathogens through its immune system. The pathogen population is divided into different types. A pathogen can either…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Fábio Lopes , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

In this paper, we study a finite population undergoing discrete, nonoverlapping generations, that is structured into $D$ demes, each containing $N$ individuals of two possible types, $A$ and $B$, whose viability coefficients, $s_A$ and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-02 Dhaker Kroumi , Sabin Lessard

In complex systems, the interplay between nonlinear and stochastic dynamics, e.g., J. Monod's necessity and chance, gives rise to an evolutionary process in Darwinian sense, in terms of discrete jumps among attractors, with punctuated…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-03-18 Hong Qian

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

We provide a probabilistic approach to modeling the movements of subjects through multiple stages, with "stays" or survival at each stage for a random length of time, and ending at a desired final stage. We use conditional Markov chains…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-16 Martial Longla , Siva Sivaganesan

This paper provides a survey of known results and open problems for the two-type Richardson model, which is a stochastic model for competition on $\mathbb{Z}^d$. In its simplest formulation, the Richardson model describes the evolution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-24 Maria Deijfen , Olle Häggström

In this paper, we study the significance of ecological interactions and separation of birth and death dynamics in stochastic heterogeneous populations via general birth-death processes. Interactions can manifest through the birth dynamics,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-03 Erin Beckman , Heyrim Cho , Linh Huynh

A model of interacting random walkers is presented and shown to give rise to patterns consisting in periodic arrangements of fluctuating particle clusters. The model represents biological individuals that die or reproduce at rates depending…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Cristobal Lopez , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia

In this paper we consider the stability of a class of deterministic and stochastic SEIRS epidemic models with delay. Indeed, we assume that the transmission rate could be stochastic and the presence of a latency period of $r$ consecutive…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-22 Xavier Bardina , Marco Ferrante , Carles Rovira

We study a multilayer SIR model with two levels of mixing, namely a global level which is uniformly mixing, and a local level with two layers distinguishing household and workplace contacts, respectively. We establish the large population…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Madeleine Kubasch

A dynamical model of an ecological community is analyzed within a "mean-field approximation" in which one of the species interacts with the combination of all of the other species in the community. Within this approximation the model may be…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-10-31 Alan McKane , David Alonso , Ricard V. Sole

It is well-established that including spatial structure and stochastic noise in models for predator-prey interactions invalidates the classical deterministic Lotka-Volterra picture of neutral population cycles. In contrast, stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-09-20 Uwe C. Tauber

We investigate extinction of a long-lived self-regulating stochastic population, caused by intrinsic (demographic) noise. Extinction typically occurs via one of two scenarios depending on whether the absorbing state n=0 is a repelling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

Motivated by the Einstein classical description of the matter-radiation dynamics we revise a dynamical system producing spikes of the photon emission. Then we study the corresponding stochastic model, which takes into account the randomness…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 E. Pechersky , A. Yambartsev , V. Zagrebnov

In this paper a stochastic reaction diffusion system is considered, which models the spread of a finite population reacting with a non-renewable resource in the presence of individual based noise. A two-parameter phase diagram is…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-27 Carl Mueller , Roger Tribe

We consider a stochastic model for species evolution. A new species is born at rate lambda and a species dies at rate mu. A random number, sampled from a given distribution F, is associated with each new species at the time of birth. Every…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-15 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We consider models of the population or opinion dynamics which result in the non-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) exhibiting the spurious long-range memory. In this context, the correspondence between the description of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-28 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius